Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$183.9K

Unrealized P&L

-$48

Hit rate

13.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,016

lifetime

Volume

$903.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$889

Open exposure

$2.91K

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 11-03 09:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

99% 67% -$185,110

Crypto

0% 100% +$165

Sports

0% 100% +$1,098

Politics

0% 0% -$44

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 201 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes	+1,510	$1,248	96¢	$1.5K	+$204	09-19 08:08
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	-1,200	-$1,141	100¢	$-1197	-$56	06-28 04:54
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+3,029	$428	5¢	$165	-$263	11-03 09:20
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	-46,198	-$104	0¢	$-69	+$35	07-31 20:02
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	-11,509	-$42	0¢	$-17	+$25	08-01 10:48
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	-5,000	-$15	0¢	$-8	+$8	08-01 10:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	897	$772.7K	1,108,394	958,394	+150,000	No	-$209,477	09-16 17:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	32	$88.1K	108,837	5,000	+103,837	Yes	+$23,704	07-29 17:47
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	5	$26.3K	13,231	13,231	+0	Yes	+$90	07-15 02:24
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	3	$3.9K	18,600	18,600	+0	No	-$1,627	02-17 15:37
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	1	$2.3K	2,497	0	+2,497	Yes	+$165	06-07 15:37
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$2.1K	0	42,814	-42,814	No	+$2,141	01-09 13:31
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$1.9K	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	+$1,098	06-09 03:54
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	7	$1.6K	1,682	172	+1,510	open	—	09-19 08:08
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	1	$1.1K	0	1,200	-1,200	open	—	06-28 04:54
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	2	$755	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	08-03 13:53
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	3	$716	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$44	09-20 06:50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$701	730	730	+0	Yes	+$58	08-31 00:09
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	8	$483	3,397	368	+3,029	open	—	11-03 09:20
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	27	$104	0	46,198	-46,198	open	—	07-31 20:02
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	4	$102	0	34,083	-34,083	open	—	07-31 19:57
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	7	$82	0	38,415	-38,415	open	—	07-31 21:13
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	2	$58	0	29,051	-29,051	open	—	06-30 12:36
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	6	$42	0	11,509	-11,509	open	—	08-01 10:48
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	2	$35	0	17,729	-17,729	open	—	06-30 12:36
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	2	$33	0	16,318	-16,318	open	—	06-30 12:35
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	2	$15	0	5,000	-5,000	open	—	08-01 10:51
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	1	$8	0	8,334	-8,334	open	—	06-28 04:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 09:20:39	Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	368	7¢	$27	0xfb923b…
09-22 23:59:38	Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	856	12¢	$103	0x5d3bb3…
09-22 23:07:10	Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0xe5672c…
09-22 21:25:18	Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	12¢	$5	0xc28fa5…
09-22 21:16:22	Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,580	12¢	$190	0xf2e179…
09-22 21:16:22	Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0x694af8…
09-22 21:16:22	Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	12¢	$2	0x608d70…
09-22 14:26:13	Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	897	17¢	$155	0x970aba…
09-20 06:50:51	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0xdcd518…
09-19 08:08:15	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x10c0ea…
09-19 05:01:52	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes	BUY	66	89¢	$59	0xe49958…
09-16 17:52:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50,000	14¢	$7,000	0x14bbb5…
09-16 17:42:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	63,905	14¢	$8,947	0xc529b5…
09-16 17:41:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	227,853	14¢	$31,899	0x661ad2…
09-16 17:33:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	35	15¢	$5	0x293436…
09-16 17:31:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,913	15¢	$587	0xf16b5f…
09-16 17:31:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	60,000	15¢	$9,000	0x397d82…
09-16 03:53:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	204	12¢	$25	0x9e4e98…
09-16 03:53:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0xedfcb4…
09-16 03:53:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0xb3286e…
09-16 03:53:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	16	12¢	$2	0x1e8345…
09-16 03:52:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	775	12¢	$93	0xac5033…
09-16 03:51:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	414	12¢	$50	0xbf4ddf…
09-16 03:51:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	417	12¢	$50	0x736b99…
09-16 03:51:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	42	12¢	$5	0x122ebe…
09-16 03:48:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	290	12¢	$35	0xcf2a10…
09-16 03:48:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	260	12¢	$31	0x65963b…
09-16 03:48:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0xcf58fb…
09-16 03:47:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	83	12¢	$10	0x21db76…
09-16 03:47:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	156	12¢	$19	0x9bba39…
09-16 03:46:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	73	12¢	$9	0xcaa497…
09-16 03:46:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	42	12¢	$5	0x5dcd82…
09-16 03:46:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	107	12¢	$13	0x62a338…
09-16 03:45:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	125	12¢	$15	0x1fb49c…
09-16 03:45:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	186	12¢	$22	0x0d9da2…
09-16 03:45:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	87	12¢	$10	0xf9d403…
09-16 03:45:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	16	12¢	$2	0x0ac5fb…
09-16 03:43:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0x6cfe9b…
09-16 03:43:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	424	12¢	$51	0x057a27…
09-16 03:43:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,000	12¢	$240	0x597938…
09-16 03:43:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,000	12¢	$240	0xfa317b…
09-16 03:42:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,028	12¢	$123	0xb8db46…
09-16 03:42:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	42	12¢	$5	0x942a3d…
09-16 03:40:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	39	12¢	$5	0xf6f4c2…
09-16 03:39:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7,867	12¢	$944	0xe89e27…
09-16 03:38:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7,936	12¢	$952	0xc3eeb6…
09-16 03:36:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,667	12¢	$200	0xf649b5…
09-16 03:36:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	42	12¢	$5	0x74d2ab…
09-16 03:36:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	119	12¢	$14	0xab5a5e…
09-16 03:36:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	794	12¢	$95	0x8d2d6e…
09-16 03:36:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	130	12¢	$16	0x9512b3…
09-16 03:36:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x2e4969…
09-16 03:35:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	83	12¢	$10	0xaba48d…
09-16 03:33:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	358	12¢	$43	0x988fd3…
09-16 03:32:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	159	12¢	$19	0x1b6296…
09-16 03:31:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,788	12¢	$335	0x6934b0…
09-16 03:31:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8,182	12¢	$982	0x66385d…
09-16 03:30:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	292	12¢	$35	0xca006c…
09-16 03:30:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0x3ffe98…
09-16 03:29:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	417	12¢	$50	0x6349cf…
09-16 03:29:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	917	12¢	$110	0x9731dc…
09-16 03:29:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	167	12¢	$20	0x9cfd7b…
09-16 03:28:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0xbd2da9…
09-16 03:27:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x9c2e34…
09-16 03:27:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	83	12¢	$10	0xbca731…
09-16 03:26:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	12¢	$24	0xa25ea2…
09-16 03:25:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	24	12¢	$3	0x26d695…
09-16 03:24:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	46	12¢	$6	0xdebcba…
09-16 03:23:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	399	12¢	$48	0x77a3ee…
09-16 03:23:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x1a651f…
09-16 03:22:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	800	12¢	$96	0x8b7f7a…
09-16 03:22:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	79	12¢	$10	0x13c1ed…
09-16 03:22:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0xe03f21…
09-16 03:21:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7,366	12¢	$884	0xaccb76…
09-15 16:05:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	14,485	13¢	$1,883	0x361985…
09-15 16:05:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	38	13¢	$5	0x11d831…
09-15 16:04:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	59	13¢	$8	0x1faf16…
09-15 16:04:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	298	13¢	$39	0x0d3d3d…
09-15 16:04:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	148	13¢	$19	0x69b445…
09-15 16:04:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	70	13¢	$9	0x4ca8f4…
09-15 16:04:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	135	13¢	$18	0xac1b21…
09-15 16:03:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x006e8b…
09-15 16:03:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	12	13¢	$2	0xf1c5b8…
09-15 16:03:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	37	13¢	$5	0xabd841…
09-15 16:02:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	12	13¢	$2	0xd0c11e…
09-15 16:02:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	364	13¢	$47	0xad7e8a…
09-15 16:02:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	298	13¢	$39	0x7b1cba…
09-15 16:01:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	148	13¢	$19	0xd2de0f…
09-15 16:01:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	97	13¢	$13	0xe11910…
09-15 16:01:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,966	13¢	$386	0xae340d…
09-15 16:01:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	54	13¢	$7	0xe3a7ed…
09-15 16:00:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	13,750	13¢	$1,787	0x7db83e…
09-15 16:00:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	68	13¢	$9	0x4590c2…
09-15 15:59:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	298	13¢	$39	0x0dc406…
09-15 15:59:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	26	13¢	$3	0xebde80…
09-15 15:59:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	279	13¢	$36	0x7ed5cf…
09-15 15:58:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	215	13¢	$28	0x2ad424…
09-15 15:58:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	731	13¢	$95	0x92c771…
09-15 15:57:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,187	13¢	$154	0x36b234…
09-15 15:57:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	730	13¢	$95	0xd25a2e…