Flickering-Chime — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.91K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.8%

Resolved

948

Trades

3,226

lifetime

Volume

$110.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 10-25 23:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 150 days

Categories

Other

45% 61% -$1,678

Politics

25% 49% -$1,122

Sports

21% 52% -$1,127

Crypto

8% 46% -$100

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$107

Tech

0% 33% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	80	$7.4K	6,196	6,196	+0	Yes	+$292	08-22 20:26
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	17	$1.6K	1,264	1,264	+0	Yes	+$902	07-07 19:36
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	13	$1.5K	1,233	1,233	+0	No	+$518	06-01 17:00
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	13	$1.5K	1,938	1,557	+381	Yes	-$291	08-30 13:49
Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	21	$1.1K	1,434	1,434	+0	No	-$65	07-13 03:38
iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	23	$867	1,378	587	+791	Yes	-$227	07-14 00:51
Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?	20	$847	760	760	+0	Yes	$0	04-03 11:02
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	17	$781	784	784	+0	Jakub Mensik	+$89	05-31 21:13
iran confirmed not to participate in 2026 fifa world cup by march 31	11	$775	603	603	+0	No	+$15	03-24 02:40
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	14	$731	838	838	+0	No	+$25	04-10 12:43
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	15	$729	1,042	359	+684	No	-$456	04-25 23:23
iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	9	$725	509	509	+0	Yes	+$256	07-21 18:23
iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	11	$689	629	629	+0	No	+$71	07-19 08:53
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta	15	$670	581	581	+0	Rafael Jodar	+$88	05-31 14:41
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	14	$599	1,015	321	+694	No	-$297	04-10 22:09
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	15	$568	1,820	0	+1,820	No	-$568	10-25 23:10
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	16	$551	634	554	+79	Joao Fonseca	-$82	05-29 18:34
iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	14	$545	394	394	+0	No	+$187	07-28 00:18
iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	14	$532	439	409	+30	No	+$14	07-25 00:32
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	6	$508	317	317	+0	Yes	+$18	08-06 15:05
iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	15	$488	564	370	+194	No	-$40	07-24 17:22
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$468	691	691	+0	Yes	+$75	07-19 21:44
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	9	$421	435	435	+0	No	+$21	04-10 15:23
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	12	$419	263	263	+0	Yes	+$2	04-06 19:20
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	10	$415	308	308	+0	No	-$6	03-22 20:57
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	8	$410	258	258	+0	Yes	+$80	05-30 15:39
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	11	$398	256	256	+0	Yes	-$4	05-08 12:26
Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	9	$393	326	326	+0	No	-$11	07-31 20:50
Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?	11	$393	268	268	+0	No	+$107	07-01 19:18
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5	10	$386	261	261	+0	Under 5.5	-$6	05-09 21:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 23:10:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	265	14¢	$37	0x9d9916…
10-25 23:09:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	219	14¢	$30	0x5bffb4…
10-25 23:09:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	295	13¢	$38	0x1b2f41…
10-25 23:09:14	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	191	56¢	$107	0x85c3b3…
10-25 22:46:14	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	99	40¢	$40	0x621d43…
10-25 22:44:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x71b0e8…
10-25 22:44:44	Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01?	No	SELL	75	64¢	$48	0x7f7970…
10-25 22:34:15	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	150	33¢	$50	0xa1ffce…
10-25 22:32:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	97	26¢	$25	0x8c09d1…
10-25 22:27:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	91	27¢	$25	0xa229ff…
10-25 22:19:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	92	38¢	$35	0x2dab75…
10-25 22:12:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	81	43¢	$35	0x1a5c95…
10-25 22:10:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	86	35¢	$30	0x09a6f3…
10-25 22:08:51	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	83	48¢	$40	0xdeb8a2…
10-25 22:02:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	63	63¢	$40	0x025ac5…
10-25 21:42:06	Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0xbd30df…
10-25 21:32:00	Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	89	22¢	$20	0x8ec805…
10-25 21:30:03	Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0x355727…
10-25 21:29:24	Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	126	31¢	$39	0x15d921…
10-25 21:29:05	Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	SELL	40	72¢	$29	0x600b68…
10-25 21:27:53	Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	41	98¢	$41	0x4c36a0…
10-25 21:27:26	Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0xfe1088…
10-25 21:26:02	Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x239018…
10-25 21:25:59	Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$0	0x6bafcf…
10-25 21:23:27	Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x966bd9…
10-25 21:23:14	Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x99950d…
10-25 21:09:23	Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0x08dd5b…
10-25 21:00:47	Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	43	81¢	$35	0x1239e2…
10-25 20:59:17	Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	44	78¢	$34	0xe61323…
10-25 20:58:48	Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	41	82¢	$34	0xc6ca58…
10-25 20:55:21	Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	SELL	103	73¢	$75	0xf9ddd2…
10-25 20:53:57	Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	88	85¢	$75	0x098c4a…
10-25 20:32:30	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	53	68¢	$36	0x08913c…
10-25 18:39:20	SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x25ca3d…
10-25 18:23:06	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	61	94¢	$57	0x5c9c91…
10-25 17:56:12	SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	45	75¢	$34	0x42fb67…
10-25 14:48:09	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	49	69¢	$34	0xb216b4…
10-25 14:46:39	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x1a8d53…
10-25 14:31:48	Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	54	72¢	$39	0xc27ed3…
10-25 14:17:32	Will Celtic FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xdb6afc…
10-25 12:22:54	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	61	66¢	$40	0x52ea7d…
10-25 12:22:03	Will Celtic FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	60	57¢	$34	0xc344d7…
10-25 12:21:32	FC Internazionale Milano vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	41	86¢	$35	0x48eec8…
10-25 12:20:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xc0c1dc…
10-25 12:20:24	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	BUY	24	67¢	$16	0x47c779…
10-25 02:08:03	Spread: EC Bahia (-1.5)	Santos FC	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x162600…
10-25 01:57:29	Santos FC vs. EC Bahia: Santos FC O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	43	97¢	$41	0x560b18…
10-25 01:55:15	Santos FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x3976fe…
10-25 01:55:12	Santos FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x3e994a…
10-25 01:47:23	Spread: EC Bahia (-1.5)	Santos FC	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0xc5874b…
10-25 01:33:14	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x34f63d…
10-25 01:24:38	Santos FC vs. EC Bahia: Santos FC O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	43	82¢	$35	0x7997b6…
10-25 01:19:29	Santos FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	51	73¢	$37	0xecac3e…
10-24 20:20:36	Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xe2782b…
10-24 19:59:26	EC Vitória vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	37	78¢	$29	0xbc25d3…
10-24 19:55:41	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: Club Atlético de Madrid O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	44	79¢	$35	0x348f95…
10-24 19:55:09	Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	58	65¢	$38	0xf54783…
10-24 18:43:54	Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	41	87¢	$36	0x5d82d0…
10-24 18:43:17	Will Mercedes get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xb6b085…
10-24 18:26:29	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	46	78¢	$36	0x56be48…
10-24 17:59:54	Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	81	46¢	$37	0x3fbdc4…
10-24 17:50:39	Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	43	79¢	$34	0x778378…
10-24 17:47:51	Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0xa2299c…
10-24 17:46:26	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	49	70¢	$34	0x888ae8…
10-24 17:19:30	Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	60	69¢	$41	0x3736d8…
10-24 17:18:27	Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	44	87¢	$38	0x20b976…
10-24 17:15:51	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Chelsea FC O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	49	71¢	$35	0x5126fc…
10-24 11:58:23	Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaider	Elena Rybakina	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xed8535…
10-24 11:58:09	Set 2 Winner: Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaider	Elena Rybakina	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0x841311…
10-24 11:54:39	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	51	67¢	$34	0x787476…
10-24 11:03:33	Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaider	Elena Rybakina	BUY	51	67¢	$34	0xe55593…
10-24 10:51:47	Set 2 Winner: Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaider	Elena Rybakina	BUY	61	57¢	$35	0x1afc75…
10-24 10:50:59	Set 2 Winner: Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaider	Elena Rybakina	BUY	48	71¢	$34	0xedbeb2…
10-24 00:47:05	Timberwolves vs. Magic	Timberwolves	SELL	55	96¢	$53	0x15d37c…
10-24 00:37:03	Cruzeiro EC leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0xd10fe8…
10-23 23:23:29	Timberwolves vs. Magic	Timberwolves	BUY	55	67¢	$37	0xc038e9…
10-23 23:11:35	Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	48	75¢	$36	0xf12f1e…
10-23 23:09:56	Cruzeiro EC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	68	53¢	$36	0xbe1480…
10-23 22:40:02	Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Almaty, Kazakhstan?	No	SELL	41	78¢	$32	0x61ede4…
10-23 22:39:36	Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	Stefanos Tsitsipas	SELL	54	69¢	$37	0x388f4e…
10-23 21:47:09	Bulls vs. Bucks	Bucks	BUY	58	59¢	$34	0x75e998…
10-23 21:46:48	Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaider	Elena Rybakina	SELL	55	63¢	$34	0xc1dd55…
10-23 21:38:02	Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	58	56¢	$32	0x817200…
10-23 21:37:47	Rybakina vs. Shnaider: Match O/U 21.5	Over	SELL	66	51¢	$34	0xf8d8fc…
10-23 21:37:33	Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	24	55¢	$13	0x4045fb…
10-23 21:34:38	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	31	44¢	$14	0x2e6f6b…
10-23 21:00:02	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	31	47¢	$15	0x59698b…
10-23 20:59:47	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	45	84¢	$38	0x3e4f24…
10-23 20:29:08	Ipswich Town FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x2a63ad…
10-23 20:28:57	Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0xb35159…
10-23 20:27:27	Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	45	80¢	$36	0x8c5c11…
10-23 20:24:47	Will Lando Norris win 3+ Grands Prix in 2026?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xaa938b…
10-23 20:21:59	VfB Stuttgart vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x9e983a…
10-23 20:08:56	VfB Stuttgart vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	59	59¢	$35	0x955d9a…
10-23 19:11:24	Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x6c7c62…
10-23 19:09:18	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	BUY	58	66¢	$38	0x09dc03…
10-23 19:04:32	Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Almaty, Kazakhstan?	No	BUY	41	86¢	$35	0x3e3b72…
10-23 19:03:33	Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	54	70¢	$38	0x58443f…
10-23 19:01:35	Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaider	Elena Rybakina	BUY	55	64¢	$35	0x5a72ac…
10-23 19:01:26	wta rybakin shnaide 2026 10 24 match total 21pt5	Over	BUY	66	53¢	$35	0x45981e…