Flickering-Chime — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$662

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

57.1%

Resolved

Trades

2,154

lifetime

Volume

$69.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

$65

1 position

First seen

2026-03-06

last 07-22 01:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

45% 67% $-215

Sports

22% 39% $-447

Politics

19% — —

Crypto

13% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?	Yes		+95	$77	68¢	$65	$-12	07-13 13:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	17	$1.6K	1,264	1,264	+0	open	—	07-07 19:36
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	13	$1.5K	1,233	1,233	+0	open	—	06-01 17:00
Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	21	$1.1K	1,434	1,434	+0	open	—	07-13 03:38
iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	23	$867	1,378	587	+791	open	—	07-14 00:51
Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?	20	$847	760	760	+0	open	—	04-03 11:02
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	17	$781	784	784	+0	open	—	05-31 21:13
iran confirmed not to participate in 2026 fifa world cup by march 31	11	$775	603	603	+0	open	—	03-24 02:40
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	14	$731	838	838	+0	open	—	04-10 12:43
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	15	$729	1,042	359	+684	open	—	04-25 23:23
iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	11	$689	629	629	+0	open	—	07-19 08:53
iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	5	$687	432	509	-76	open	—	07-21 18:23
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	14	$599	1,015	321	+694	open	—	04-10 22:09
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	16	$551	634	554	+79	open	—	05-29 18:34
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta	10	$509	382	460	-78	open	—	05-31 14:41
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	9	$421	435	435	+0	open	—	04-10 15:23
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	12	$419	263	263	+0	Yes	+$2	04-06 19:20
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	10	$415	308	308	+0	open	—	03-22 20:57
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	8	$410	258	258	+0	open	—	05-30 15:39
will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	11	$393	268	268	+0	open	—	07-01 19:18
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5	10	$386	261	261	+0	Under 5.5	$-6	05-09 21:45
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	6	$380	219	219	+0	open	—	06-01 14:33
Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	9	$372	476	476	+0	open	—	06-10 15:22
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5	13	$371	320	320	+0	Under	+$13	05-09 01:34
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 total 228pt5	9	$357	330	210	+120	open	—	06-09 02:44
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	5	$337	360	360	+0	open	—	03-09 22:01
will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	8	$333	219	219	+0	open	—	04-12 19:27
Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	9	$333	374	374	+0	open	—	05-12 02:30
atp monfils grieksp 2026 04 06	16	$324	222	219	+3	open	—	04-05 16:48
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	8	$313	239	239	+0	open	—	06-12 16:19
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	4	$310	201	201	+0	open	—	03-11 13:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 01:56:24	sud ucv san 2026 07 21 spread away 1pt5	Santos FC	SELL	76	92¢	$70	0xeeb296…
07-22 01:07:06	sud ucv san 2026 07 21 spread away 1pt5	Santos FC	BUY	67	51¢	$34	0xbbf515…
07-22 00:52:24	sud ucv san 2026 07 21 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	79	50¢	$40	0x5a5fa2…
07-22 00:37:48	sud ucv san 2026 07 21 spread away 1pt5	Santos FC	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x917785…
07-21 22:10:31	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x5c03d1…
07-21 22:08:37	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0xaa0708…
07-21 22:04:54	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	51	77¢	$39	0x59bb89…
07-21 18:23:51	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	SELL	328	97¢	$317	0x4d1eb2…
07-21 11:25:00	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	SELL	181	96¢	$173	0x2aff1c…
07-20 21:53:10	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	131	57¢	$75	0x3f8b0c…
07-20 19:03:21	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	BUY	257	39¢	$100	0x4006aa…
07-20 17:28:09	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	BUY	72	69¢	$49	0x44aa82…
07-20 16:43:25	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	BUY	104	46¢	$47	0xcb73e5…
07-20 14:28:52	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	114	35¢	$40	0xf0d11f…
07-20 14:15:22	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	95	37¢	$35	0xf66519…
07-20 14:13:37	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	95	40¢	$38	0x0293ac…
07-20 14:12:30	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	61	62¢	$38	0x0fc589…
07-20 14:07:21	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	61	74¢	$45	0x3494e5…
07-19 22:44:18	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	63	97¢	$61	0xdd722d…
07-19 22:28:43	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	63	59¢	$37	0xedda43…
07-19 21:43:00	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	SELL	81	96¢	$78	0x59271d…
07-19 21:27:55	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	60	58¢	$35	0x83d026…
07-19 21:19:52	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	81	59¢	$48	0x9894fe…
07-19 19:07:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	280	21¢	$58	0x1c49ba…
07-19 08:53:36	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	SELL	163	93¢	$152	0xd99860…
07-19 08:49:54	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	SELL	67	93¢	$63	0xf651c6…
07-18 22:33:28	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	23	47¢	$11	0xf808c0…
07-18 12:02:00	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	BUY	166	50¢	$83	0x9e26a3…
07-18 12:01:39	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	Yes	SELL	425	20¢	$83	0x8adc31…
07-18 11:37:42	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	BUY	64	50¢	$32	0xac6ed7…
07-18 11:37:21	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	69	48¢	$33	0x603a5f…
07-16 23:54:56	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	Yes	BUY	110	40¢	$44	0x3aafaf…
07-16 23:40:38	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	Yes	BUY	214	37¢	$80	0xaf7e1d…
07-16 23:34:59	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	Yes	BUY	101	36¢	$36	0xfd4733…
07-16 23:25:19	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	SELL	224	52¢	$117	0xcde85f…
07-16 17:16:59	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	BUY	166	58¢	$96	0x26a88d…
07-16 17:15:56	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	BUY	59	56¢	$33	0x72acd3…
07-16 17:15:37	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	SELL	74	45¢	$33	0x5d54ba…
07-15 23:04:46	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	BUY	74	67¢	$50	0x755963…
07-15 20:56:59	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x1099e0…
07-15 20:53:59	will lionel messi score 11 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232523891	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xfa6bea…
07-15 20:53:55	will lionel messi score 11 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232523891	No	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0x506766…
07-15 16:46:59	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x80b329…
07-15 16:46:52	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	No	BUY	114	13¢	$15	0x637fb3…
07-15 16:10:05	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	116	46¢	$54	0xcff480…
07-15 16:09:34	Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	56	90¢	$50	0xed4fd2…
07-15 12:36:07	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9c7656…
07-15 12:34:07	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	62	52¢	$32	0x7317af…
07-14 20:57:20	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 spread away 1pt5	Spain	SELL	58	96¢	$55	0x25b566…
07-14 20:50:29	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 spread away 1pt5	Spain	BUY	58	81¢	$47	0x0cda56…
07-14 20:50:07	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 spread away 1pt5	Spain	SELL	64	77¢	$49	0x6244c7…
07-14 20:24:25	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 spread away 1pt5	Spain	BUY	64	63¢	$40	0xc0744c…
07-14 20:24:14	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0x8a71f1…
07-14 19:04:59	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	114	76¢	$87	0x26955d…
07-14 18:06:52	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	SELL	80	97¢	$78	0xb225b4…
07-14 12:52:17	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x89b6ca…
07-14 12:50:11	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	BUY	80	84¢	$67	0xbdeae1…
07-14 01:09:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	SELL	41	17¢	$7	0x6a2ce5…
07-14 00:51:07	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	277	12¢	$33	0xb6d254…
07-14 00:48:13	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x1fab59…
07-13 23:03:16	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	46	81¢	$37	0x13e7c6…
07-13 22:15:50	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	Yes	BUY	43	81¢	$35	0x749df2…
07-13 22:15:47	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	No	SELL	58	20¢	$12	0x44af98…
07-13 21:56:23	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	97	16¢	$15	0x981d65…
07-13 21:13:07	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xc3599e…
07-13 17:10:49	Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	80	4¢	$3	0xa9bb67…
07-13 17:10:22	Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	262	3¢	$9	0x221189…
07-13 17:00:32	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	77	29¢	$22	0x34c6f1…
07-13 14:24:32	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	No	BUY	58	24¢	$14	0x9020f8…
07-13 14:24:32	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	BUY	41	34¢	$14	0x275598…
07-13 13:37:55	Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x5bb9f6…
07-13 13:37:32	Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x52b7ea…
07-13 13:37:26	Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?	Yes	BUY	31	73¢	$23	0xdfbdf7…
07-13 12:56:55	Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0xacb834…
07-13 06:07:17	Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	40	98¢	$40	0xfcfbfb…
07-13 03:38:37	Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	62	98¢	$61	0x4fafbd…
07-12 23:02:59	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	40	67¢	$27	0x0c8bbd…
07-12 23:02:46	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	Yes	SELL	43	64¢	$27	0x6f6688…
07-12 18:48:23	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12 set handicap home 1pt5	Sinner	SELL	41	95¢	$39	0x80ded1…
07-12 18:42:47	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12 set handicap home 1pt5	Sinner	SELL	34	95¢	$32	0x436cd1…
07-12 16:20:08	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	65	66¢	$43	0x2559c3…
07-12 13:54:10	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	52	56¢	$29	0x92f414…
07-12 13:40:10	will lionel messi score 11 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232523891	No	BUY	39	87¢	$34	0x0e42eb…
07-12 12:01:46	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	63	80¢	$50	0xb6e3f6…
07-12 12:01:37	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	Yes	BUY	43	87¢	$37	0x7506fb…
07-12 12:01:26	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	73	80¢	$58	0x40e826…
07-12 12:01:25	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	289	20¢	$59	0xd05229…
07-12 11:53:37	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0xc39ec3…
07-12 11:50:37	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xd2582e…
07-12 11:50:20	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	116	28¢	$32	0xd08523…
07-12 11:50:05	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	62	21¢	$13	0x18fec1…
07-12 11:48:59	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	SELL	178	81¢	$145	0xe82925…
07-12 03:33:08	Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	62	53¢	$33	0x8f84b7…
07-12 03:20:47	Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	62	56¢	$35	0x112e34…
07-12 03:06:47	Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	47	97¢	$46	0xa24f11…
07-12 03:05:47	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	Benoît Saint Denis	BUY	65	55¢	$36	0x5d94fd…
07-12 03:01:34	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x575501…
07-12 02:10:43	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	47	74¢	$35	0x8db0a7…
07-12 02:08:02	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x823739…
07-12 02:07:22	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	33	96¢	$31	0xb71b41…