Flickering-Chime — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$662

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.1%

Resolved

Trades

2,265

lifetime

Volume

$73.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 08-06 19:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

44% 67% $-215

Politics

22% — —

Sports

21% 39% $-447

Crypto

12% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	17	$1.6K	1,264	1,264	+0	open	—	07-07 19:36
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	13	$1.5K	1,233	1,233	+0	open	—	06-01 17:00
Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	21	$1.1K	1,434	1,434	+0	open	—	07-13 03:38
iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	23	$867	1,378	587	+791	open	—	07-14 00:51
Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?	20	$847	760	760	+0	open	—	04-03 11:02
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	17	$781	784	784	+0	open	—	05-31 21:13
iran confirmed not to participate in 2026 fifa world cup by march 31	11	$775	603	603	+0	open	—	03-24 02:40
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	14	$731	838	838	+0	open	—	04-10 12:43
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	15	$729	1,042	359	+684	open	—	04-25 23:23
iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	11	$689	629	629	+0	open	—	07-19 08:53
iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	5	$687	432	509	-76	open	—	07-21 18:23
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	14	$599	1,015	321	+694	open	—	04-10 22:09
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	16	$551	634	554	+79	open	—	05-29 18:34
iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	14	$545	394	394	+0	open	—	07-28 00:18
iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	14	$532	439	409	+30	open	—	07-25 00:32
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta	10	$509	382	460	-78	open	—	05-31 14:41
iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	15	$488	564	370	+194	open	—	07-24 17:22
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	9	$421	435	435	+0	open	—	04-10 15:23
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	12	$419	263	263	+0	Yes	+$2	04-06 19:20
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	10	$415	308	308	+0	open	—	03-22 20:57
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	8	$410	258	258	+0	open	—	05-30 15:39
will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	11	$393	268	268	+0	open	—	07-01 19:18
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5	10	$386	261	261	+0	Under 5.5	$-6	05-09 21:45
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	6	$380	219	219	+0	open	—	06-01 14:33
Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	9	$372	476	476	+0	open	—	06-10 15:22
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5	13	$371	320	320	+0	Under	+$13	05-09 01:34
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 total 228pt5	9	$357	330	210	+120	open	—	06-09 02:44
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	5	$337	360	360	+0	open	—	03-09 22:01
will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	8	$333	219	219	+0	open	—	04-12 19:27
Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	9	$333	374	374	+0	open	—	05-12 02:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 19:03:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x0e69e2…
08-06 19:03:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	77	31¢	$24	0x7d5df5…
08-05 14:04:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x43b57d…
08-01 21:42:00	brco vas flu 2026 08 01 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	57	65¢	$37	0xe745b2…
07-31 14:39:05	next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	86	31¢	$27	0x55b843…
07-30 20:32:48	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	45	63¢	$28	0x2815f2…
07-30 17:37:47	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	SELL	100	29¢	$29	0x452fa9…
07-30 16:18:56	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	44	78¢	$35	0x34d294…
07-30 15:52:23	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xee4f9d…
07-30 02:00:00	bra flu bah 2026 07 29 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	44	61¢	$27	0xf61750…
07-30 01:59:48	bra flu bah 2026 07 29 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x3b0819…
07-30 01:37:47	atp cerundo boyer 2026 07 29 set 2 winner Cerundolo vs Boyer	Cerundolo	BUY	49	71¢	$35	0x255c45…
07-30 00:59:39	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	141	87¢	$123	0x69ea48…
07-30 00:51:02	sud vas dim 2026 07 29 total 0pt5	Over	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa8f4a6…
07-29 23:42:36	sud vas dim 2026 07 29 total 0pt5	Over	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x94bc52…
07-29 23:42:36	sud vas dim 2026 07 29 total 0pt5	Over	SELL	47	95¢	$45	0x91a543…
07-29 23:30:29	sud vas dim 2026 07 29 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x627cd1…
07-29 22:57:06	wta krueger osaka 2026 07 29 set handicap away 1pt5	Osaka	BUY	36	73¢	$26	0xca9e1a…
07-29 22:48:30	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	57	95¢	$54	0x6cdced…
07-29 18:39:51	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	No	SELL	53	72¢	$38	0xe30544…
07-29 15:25:27	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	48	88¢	$42	0xa845cc…
07-29 14:53:08	Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?	Yes	SELL	95	52¢	$49	0xc49764…
07-29 13:48:50	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	No	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0x5b0683…
07-29 13:47:44	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	56	43¢	$24	0x9db2d4…
07-28 23:15:46	bra2 juv ava 2026 07 28 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	52	75¢	$39	0x4b4292…
07-28 21:42:32	atp svajd mensik 2026 07 27 set 2 winner Svajda vs Mensik	Mensik	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x058b2d…
07-28 21:29:07	atp svajd mensik 2026 07 27 set 2 winner Svajda vs Mensik	Mensik	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0x0ad9d5…
07-28 21:24:11	atp svajd mensik 2026 07 27 set handicap away 1pt5	Mensik	BUY	49	79¢	$39	0xafa61c…
07-28 00:18:13	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	SELL	74	91¢	$68	0xa71993…
07-27 21:39:45	iran military action against a gulf state on july 28 20260708212322953	No	SELL	26	95¢	$24	0xaae957…
07-27 18:38:42	iran military action against a gulf state on july 28 20260708212322953	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xe2d828…
07-27 18:08:25	iran military action against a gulf state on july 28 20260708212322953	No	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0xb13a6d…
07-27 16:20:30	iran military action against a gulf state on july 28 20260708212322953	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x5fe42c…
07-27 00:37:33	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	BUY	143	4¢	$6	0xb8c356…
07-27 00:34:30	iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	No	SELL	68	90¢	$61	0x4cbef0…
07-27 00:33:57	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x11efcb…
07-27 00:33:19	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	52	67¢	$35	0x4e3cc4…
07-26 22:32:00	bra fla sao 2026 07 26 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	47	79¢	$37	0xb85c91…
07-26 16:42:39	f1 hungarian grand prix driver podium piastri 2026 07 26	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0xca56f4…
07-26 16:41:55	f1 hungarian grand prix driver podium antonelli 2026 07 26	Yes	SELL	104	99¢	$103	0x15354f…
07-26 14:25:58	f1 hungarian grand prix driver podium verstappen 2026 07 26	No	BUY	98	34¢	$33	0xa2bd22…
07-26 14:12:22	f1 hungarian grand prix driver podium verstappen 2026 07 26	No	BUY	48	74¢	$35	0xd2fb9f…
07-26 12:59:52	f1 hungarian grand prix h2h leclerc vs hamilton 2026 07 26	Hamilton	BUY	65	51¢	$33	0xf23931…
07-26 12:01:30	iran military action against a gulf state on july 24 20260708212322949	No	SELL	70	95¢	$67	0x8c9372…
07-26 11:39:03	f1 hungarian grand prix driver podium piastri 2026 07 26	No	BUY	54	74¢	$40	0xb168e0…
07-26 11:37:57	f1 hungarian grand prix driver podium antonelli 2026 07 26	Yes	BUY	104	45¢	$47	0xe85beb…
07-26 10:48:45	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	SELL	72	95¢	$69	0x12d1df…
07-26 10:47:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	SELL	53	94¢	$50	0x3d8a9f…
07-26 10:05:28	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	SELL	66	90¢	$59	0x57b4bd…
07-26 06:32:18	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x781dca…
07-26 06:16:21	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	No	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0xbf234b…
07-26 04:50:57	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0xb2d0b5…
07-26 04:06:10	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xd5d0cf…
07-26 02:48:07	iran military action against a gulf state on july 25 20260708212322950	No	SELL	73	92¢	$67	0x281fa6…
07-25 22:58:49	bra san cha 2026 07 25 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	40	76¢	$30	0xc89172…
07-25 22:40:48	bra san cha 2026 07 25 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0xb1b462…
07-25 20:40:03	will it rain during the hungarian grand prix 20260722162637051	No	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0x218bf6…
07-25 17:38:31	f1 hungarian grand prix driver podium hamilton 2026 07 26	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x4735ff…
07-25 13:14:01	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	66	32¢	$21	0x346abe…
07-25 12:41:18	will it rain during the hungarian grand prix 20260722162637051	No	BUY	31	68¢	$21	0x9e4b1e…
07-25 11:03:54	f1 hungarian grand prix driver podium hamilton 2026 07 26	Yes	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x132011…
07-25 10:27:06	iran military action against a gulf state on july 28 20260708212322953	No	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0xf0402e…
07-25 10:26:52	iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	No	BUY	68	59¢	$40	0x7ea050…
07-25 10:16:54	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	No	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0x054941…
07-25 10:16:27	iran military action against a gulf state on july 25 20260708212322950	No	BUY	73	55¢	$40	0x874575…
07-25 10:15:54	iran military action against a gulf state on july 24 20260708212322949	No	BUY	70	57¢	$40	0x2abe9d…
07-25 10:01:10	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xb6ef0b…
07-25 00:32:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x6a188f…
07-25 00:06:30	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	29	38¢	$11	0x29f8b6…
07-24 21:14:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	No	SELL	128	87¢	$111	0xd574fd…
07-24 20:09:03	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	72	54¢	$39	0xe0ab6d…
07-24 17:46:45	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	No	BUY	44	36¢	$16	0x9b69d8…
07-24 17:22:45	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	145	24¢	$35	0xcc77de…
07-24 15:03:15	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	SELL	51	97¢	$49	0x4d96e8…
07-24 12:09:58	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	No	BUY	32	59¢	$19	0x68abb4…
07-23 17:41:37	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	No	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0x1f514f…
07-23 17:35:22	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	49	45¢	$22	0xb3c78d…
07-23 17:35:06	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	No	SELL	39	57¢	$22	0xf0c44f…
07-23 17:25:00	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x58c6c7…
07-23 17:22:22	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x3ea9ca…
07-23 17:22:15	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	No	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x4d5c36…
07-23 15:28:19	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	46	31¢	$14	0x2a2a71…
07-23 15:21:42	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	No	SELL	194	63¢	$122	0x8716fd…
07-23 15:21:31	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	No	SELL	122	76¢	$92	0xed0767…
07-23 01:58:19	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	51	73¢	$37	0x40a916…
07-22 23:20:27	bra2 ope pop 2026 07 22 first half team total home 0pt5	Over	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x3468bb…
07-22 21:09:36	bra2 ope pop 2026 07 22 first half team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xf02d70…
07-22 20:43:15	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	53	36¢	$19	0x21ac07…
07-22 20:27:34	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	No	BUY	32	44¢	$14	0x7067cc…
07-22 20:27:25	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	No	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x7a515a…
07-22 20:27:15	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	No	BUY	145	41¢	$59	0xa8338b…
07-22 20:26:49	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	SELL	137	58¢	$79	0x0369f3…
07-22 20:26:21	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	No	BUY	122	58¢	$70	0x8b2d4c…
07-22 20:25:39	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	SELL	159	44¢	$70	0xc808a6…
07-22 20:16:19	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	61	67¢	$41	0x97e6d9…
07-22 19:48:40	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	BUY	68	41¢	$28	0x52355a…
07-22 19:48:19	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	48	59¢	$28	0x727d89…
07-22 19:47:04	bra2 ope pop 2026 07 22 spread home 1pt5	Operário Ferroviário EC	BUY	106	46¢	$49	0x91e4f1…
07-22 19:34:10	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	61	71¢	$43	0x5488d1…
07-22 18:57:12	next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	86	41¢	$35	0x9d7df7…