Flickering-Chime — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$549

Unrealized P&L

-$41

Hit rate

73.3%

Resolved (7d)

120

Trades (7d)

279

3,548 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$10.2K

$121.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 11-08 21:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 159 days

Categories

Other

48% 62% -$2,228

Politics

23% 49% -$1,126

Sports

21% 52% -$1,160

Crypto

7% 46% -$146

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$107

Tech

0% 33% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	Yes		+48	$39	2¢	$1	-$38	11-08 09:02
Will Lando Norris win 3+ Grands Prix in 2026?	No		+4	$3	1¢	$0	-$3	10-23 20:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	80	$7.4K	6,196	6,196	+0	Yes	+$292	08-22 20:26
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	17	$1.6K	1,264	1,264	+0	Yes	+$902	07-07 19:36
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	13	$1.5K	1,233	1,233	+0	No	+$518	06-01 17:00
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	13	$1.5K	1,938	1,557	+381	Yes	-$291	08-30 13:49
Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	21	$1.1K	1,434	1,434	+0	No	-$65	07-13 03:38
iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	23	$867	1,378	587	+791	Yes	-$227	07-14 00:51
Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?	20	$847	760	760	+0	Yes	$0	04-03 11:02
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	17	$781	784	784	+0	Jakub Mensik	+$89	05-31 21:13
iran confirmed not to participate in 2026 fifa world cup by march 31	11	$775	603	603	+0	No	+$15	03-24 02:40
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	14	$731	838	838	+0	No	+$25	04-10 12:43
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	15	$729	1,042	359	+684	No	-$456	04-25 23:23
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?	9	$725	509	509	+0	Yes	+$256	07-21 18:23
iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	11	$689	629	629	+0	No	+$71	07-19 08:53
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta	15	$670	581	581	+0	Rafael Jodar	+$88	05-31 14:41
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	14	$599	1,015	321	+694	No	-$297	04-10 22:09
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	15	$568	1,820	0	+1,820	No	-$568	10-25 23:10
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	16	$551	634	554	+79	Joao Fonseca	-$82	05-29 18:34
iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	14	$545	394	394	+0	No	+$187	07-28 00:18
iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	14	$532	439	409	+30	No	+$14	07-25 00:32
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	6	$508	317	317	+0	Yes	+$18	08-06 15:05
iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	15	$488	564	370	+194	No	-$40	07-24 17:22
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$468	691	691	+0	Yes	+$75	07-19 21:44
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	9	$421	435	435	+0	No	+$21	04-10 15:23
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	12	$419	263	263	+0	Yes	+$2	04-06 19:20
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	10	$415	308	308	+0	No	-$6	03-22 20:57
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	8	$410	258	258	+0	Yes	+$80	05-30 15:39
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	11	$398	256	256	+0	Yes	-$4	05-08 12:26
Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	9	$393	326	326	+0	No	-$11	07-31 20:50
Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?	11	$393	268	268	+0	No	+$107	07-01 19:18
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5	10	$386	261	261	+0	Under 5.5	-$6	05-09 21:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 21:27:25	Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	SELL	61	97¢	$59	0xa8fb9a…
11-08 21:14:01	Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x85b7a2…
11-08 20:12:24	Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	62	76¢	$47	0x71eddd…
11-08 17:49:15	Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	78	80¢	$63	0x00d840…
11-08 17:49:07	Will Le Mans FC win on 2026-11-08?	No	SELL	41	97¢	$40	0x579e4f…
11-08 17:39:51	Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x668277…
11-08 17:38:30	Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	No	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0xfab7b0…
11-08 17:35:12	Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x9ad528…
11-08 17:17:49	Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x84eae2…
11-08 17:08:43	Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	78	57¢	$45	0x694256…
11-08 17:08:25	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?	No	SELL	64	72¢	$46	0xda9325…
11-08 17:05:42	Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	123	68¢	$83	0x6e00eb…
11-08 17:05:16	Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	No	SELL	83	43¢	$36	0x308d6f…
11-08 09:34:33	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-08?	No	BUY	53	74¢	$39	0xd6f9f1…
11-08 09:05:00	Will Le Mans FC win on 2026-11-08?	No	BUY	41	82¢	$34	0xd4cbcb…
11-08 09:04:31	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?	No	BUY	64	70¢	$45	0xf29c41…
11-08 09:02:36	Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	48	82¢	$39	0x57c64e…
11-08 09:01:37	Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	No	BUY	89	35¢	$31	0xb234ae…
11-08 02:25:40	Nets vs. Hawks	Hawks	SELL	120	40¢	$48	0x92b4fe…
11-08 01:02:43	Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	No	BUY	51	68¢	$35	0x77f7e4…
11-08 00:58:36	Nets vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	120	41¢	$49	0x3fd5ef…
11-08 00:32:45	Vila Nova FC vs. Criciúma EC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	69	51¢	$35	0xf318dc…
11-08 00:17:22	Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xd00405…
11-08 00:00:16	Vila Nova FC vs. Criciúma EC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	49	75¢	$37	0xde4509…
11-07 19:49:30	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	No	SELL	86	96¢	$82	0x9ecabb…
11-07 18:13:43	Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	No	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0xc1d0b6…
11-07 18:13:24	Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	No	BUY	46	83¢	$38	0xcc9a70…
11-07 17:44:57	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-11-07?	No	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x16511d…
11-07 16:38:22	Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	82	96¢	$79	0x623046…
11-07 16:35:18	Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: Arsenal FC O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x267770…
11-07 16:29:48	Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	82	55¢	$45	0x83c66f…
11-07 16:11:10	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	SELL	55	88¢	$48	0x00e472…
11-07 16:09:07	Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: Arsenal FC O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	41	85¢	$35	0xe1019b…
11-07 16:06:46	Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x888efa…
11-07 16:01:03	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	SELL	53	90¢	$48	0xb30e79…
11-07 15:50:27	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	SELL	65	97¢	$63	0xc0edb8…
11-07 15:21:01	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	55	64¢	$35	0x62e222…
11-07 15:19:00	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	53	64¢	$34	0x38940c…
11-07 15:17:40	Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	49	43¢	$21	0x07d58c…
11-07 15:05:45	Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	No	BUY	49	72¢	$35	0xdec5b5…
11-07 14:22:31	Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	49	39¢	$19	0x2b20c9…
11-07 14:20:30	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	No	BUY	86	76¢	$65	0x9fcb08…
11-07 09:37:00	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-11-07?	No	BUY	42	81¢	$34	0xbd9236…
11-07 08:13:19	Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	47	77¢	$36	0x03a9f2…
11-07 02:51:15	76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5	Under	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x15b7b8…
11-07 02:33:28	76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5	Under	SELL	97	93¢	$90	0x9fac05…
11-07 02:33:15	76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5	Under	SELL	58	80¢	$46	0x59d841…
11-07 01:25:51	EC Vitória vs. Fluminense FC: EC Vitória O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x3f18b6…
11-07 01:22:24	76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5	Under	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0xcbe4fc…
11-07 01:13:01	76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5	Under	BUY	53	74¢	$39	0x1d3ead…
11-07 00:56:09	76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5	Under	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0xa791ef…
11-07 00:55:55	76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5	Under	BUY	44	79¢	$35	0xa82c3f…
11-07 00:48:34	Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)	Fluminense FC	SELL	51	90¢	$46	0x3ca7b8…
11-07 00:06:22	Operário Ferroviário EC vs. SC Recife: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	61	56¢	$34	0x21d054…
11-07 00:03:40	Operário Ferroviário EC vs. SC Recife: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	62	60¢	$37	0xf654e2…
11-07 00:03:28	Operário Ferroviário EC vs. SC Recife: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	1	77¢	$0	0x49ab06…
11-07 00:03:25	Operário Ferroviário EC vs. SC Recife: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	47	77¢	$36	0xd5a396…
11-06 23:58:45	EC Vitória vs. Fluminense FC: EC Vitória O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	45	85¢	$38	0x3c6b79…
11-06 23:58:30	Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)	Fluminense FC	BUY	51	69¢	$35	0x2e07a5…
11-06 23:57:58	Operário Ferroviário EC vs. SC Recife: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	48	73¢	$35	0xdc8c45…
11-06 21:34:24	Montpellier HSC vs. FC Metz: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x267c21…
11-06 21:34:15	Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	SELL	88	93¢	$82	0x88bf1b…
11-06 20:54:42	Fritz vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 23.5	Over	SELL	35	98¢	$35	0xb1cf65…
11-06 20:54:40	Fritz vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 23.5	Over	SELL	35	98¢	$35	0xd7ddd3…
11-06 20:54:40	Fritz vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 23.5	Over	SELL	29	98¢	$29	0x18a329…
11-06 20:14:27	Fritz vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 23.5	Over	BUY	53	66¢	$35	0xd7b62c…
11-06 20:13:49	Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	88	42¢	$37	0x09352d…
11-06 20:13:25	Fritz vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 23.5	Over	BUY	47	83¢	$39	0x57fbe2…
11-06 20:13:04	Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	SELL	47	44¢	$21	0xdb1abe…
11-06 20:11:28	Montpellier HSC vs. FC Metz: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0xf50e5c…
11-06 20:10:58	Montpellier HSC vs. FC Metz: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	41	85¢	$35	0x078657…
11-06 20:02:43	Set 1 Winner: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	68	57¢	$39	0x74a2e6…
11-06 20:01:34	Set 1 Winner: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	54	55¢	$30	0xe2c900…
11-06 19:57:06	Set 1 Winner: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	36	82¢	$30	0x3e904c…
11-06 19:54:46	Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	47	76¢	$36	0x2a0a42…
11-06 19:41:22	Set 1 Winner: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	47	80¢	$38	0x3548e2…
11-06 19:36:58	Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	56	61¢	$34	0xfea56d…
11-06 19:36:28	Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?	No	BUY	60	65¢	$39	0x166de8…
11-06 19:25:33	Montpellier HSC vs. FC Metz: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	83	47¢	$39	0x8fa0b3…
11-06 19:24:39	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	65	75¢	$49	0x49c84f…
11-06 01:00:42	SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: Clube do Remo O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xf87e6a…
11-06 01:00:19	Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)	SE Palmeiras	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x64b012…
11-06 00:01:28	Spread: SE Palmeiras (-3.5)	SE Palmeiras	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0x1ce074…
11-05 23:26:55	SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: Clube do Remo O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0x1ee71a…
11-05 23:14:28	Will Londrina EC win on 2026-11-06?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x3eaefd…
11-05 22:55:09	Spread: SE Palmeiras (-3.5)	SE Palmeiras	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0xfc1fc5…
11-05 22:55:00	Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)	SE Palmeiras	BUY	39	88¢	$34	0x56674e…
11-05 22:46:01	SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: SE Palmeiras 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x1db46d…
11-05 22:45:34	SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	41	88¢	$36	0x34f31d…
11-05 22:38:00	Will Londrina EC win on 2026-11-06?	No	BUY	41	83¢	$34	0xd5f986…
11-05 22:35:46	SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: Both Teams to Score in First Half	No	BUY	43	79¢	$34	0xe45bc1…
11-05 22:35:09	SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	93	99¢	$92	0x26368e…
11-05 22:34:40	SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	93	97¢	$90	0x2fdf2e…
11-05 22:33:09	SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: SE Palmeiras 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xd5268b…
11-05 22:09:42	Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x213e0a…
11-05 22:07:22	Getafe CF vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0x2c2d02…
11-05 21:49:48	Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	SELL	59	93¢	$54	0xd072d1…
11-05 21:48:33	AS Monaco FC vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	55	88¢	$48	0x623508…
11-05 21:38:10	Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	54	99¢	$54	0x6bef06…
11-05 21:35:13	Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-11-05?	No	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0x32f45f…