Fond-Warrior — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

29 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$96

$4.47K lifetime

Avg / trade

$154

Open exposure

$97

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 11-08 05:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 100% +$4

Other

39% 100% +$10

Politics

9% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No		+53	$52	99¢	$53	+$1	11-08 05:00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No		+46	$44	97¢	$44	+$0	11-08 05:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will solana reach 190 in february 2026	1	$310	310	0	+310	No	+$0	02-25 07:39
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 560 579	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	02-03 02:36
bitcoin above 58k on april 12	1	$300	300	0	+300	Yes	+$0	04-11 05:40
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	05-17 07:37
Will Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$280	282	0	+282	No	+$2	05-11 07:55
will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	1	$280	280	0	+280	No	+$0	01-28 07:03
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$265	266	0	+266	No	+$1	03-03 06:28
zelenskyy of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 120 139	1	$230	231	0	+231	No	+$1	04-22 04:54
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$220	222	0	+222	No	+$2	07-02 05:25
solana above 110 on june 11 2026	1	$188	188	0	+188	No	+$0	06-09 07:36
Will the price of Solana be greater than $110 on June 16?	1	$185	185	0	+185	No	+$0	06-14 11:23
ethereum above 2200 on august 4 2026	1	$180	180	0	+180	No	+$0	08-03 08:19
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on June 23?	1	$158	158	0	+158	No	+$0	06-21 07:27
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 26?	1	$145	145	0	+145	No	+$0	05-25 10:46
Will Solana dip to $20 in September?	1	$140	140	0	+140	No	+$0	09-05 09:30
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on August 3?	1	$140	140	0	+140	No	+$0	08-03 08:18
bitcoin above 80k on april 17	1	$115	116	0	+116	No	+$1	04-16 06:37
Will BNB dip to $200 in September?	1	$105	105	0	+105	No	+$0	09-05 09:30
will wti dip to 20 in july 2026 174	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	07-02 05:24
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	1	$85	86	0	+86	No	+$1	05-25 10:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	1	$82	83	0	+83	No	+$1	09-05 09:30
zelenskyy of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 140 159	1	$78	80	0	+80	No	+$2	04-17 20:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$62	33	33	+0	No	+$2	05-26 21:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	1	$52	53	0	+53	open	—	11-08 05:00
Iran leadership change by October 31?	1	$51	52	0	+52	No	+$1	10-16 05:25
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	1	$44	46	0	+46	open	—	11-08 05:01
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	1	$43	43	0	+43	No	+$0	10-16 05:26
ethereum above 1500 on march 4	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	03-03 06:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 05:01:15	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0x639299…
11-08 05:00:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	53	97¢	$52	0x8ba697…
10-16 05:26:25	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0xed3641…
10-16 05:25:52	Iran leadership change by October 31?	No	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0x3b7289…
09-05 09:30:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0x9d4cc9…
09-05 09:30:28	Will Solana dip to $20 in September?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xf1a02c…
09-05 09:30:06	Will BNB dip to $200 in September?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x6e8c79…
08-03 08:19:09	ethereum above 2200 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0xde08f0…
08-03 08:18:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on August 3?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x542804…
07-02 05:25:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	222	99¢	$220	0x365991…
07-02 05:24:10	will wti dip to 20 in july 2026 174	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x494ae6…
06-21 07:27:37	Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on June 23?	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0xbe4071…
06-14 11:23:54	Will the price of Solana be greater than $110 on June 16?	No	BUY	185	100¢	$185	0x06572e…
06-09 07:36:36	solana above 110 on june 11 2026	No	BUY	188	100¢	$188	0xe963c4…
05-26 21:47:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$32	0xcaf3c8…
05-25 10:47:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0xc161c2…
05-25 10:46:46	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	BUY	86	98¢	$85	0xa83969…
05-25 10:46:04	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 26?	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0x1bbefb…
05-17 07:37:08	Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x8ac44f…
05-11 07:55:32	Will Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	282	99¢	$280	0x7c2c2a…
04-22 04:54:42	zelenskyy of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 120 139	No	BUY	231	100¢	$230	0x018de0…
04-17 20:16:06	zelenskyy of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 140 159	No	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0x81eb4e…
04-16 06:37:12	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	116	99¢	$115	0xac0955…
04-11 05:40:51	bitcoin above 58k on april 12	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xe18560…
03-03 06:28:57	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	266	100¢	$265	0x58a5a4…
03-03 06:28:27	ethereum above 1500 on march 4	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x1dcc9c…
02-25 07:39:32	will solana reach 190 in february 2026	No	BUY	310	100¢	$310	0x66a288…
02-03 02:36:48	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 560 579	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x4617b5…
01-28 07:03:13	will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	No	BUY	280	100¢	$280	0x2f0e42…