Waterlogged-Tractor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$131

Unrealized P&L

-$81

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$258

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$46

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-29

last 07-26 17:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

46% 0% -$100

Tech

42% — —

Sports

12% 0% -$31

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-26).

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?	OpenAI	+420	$87	6¢	$25	-$62	07-26 17:05
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Yes	+154	$20	12¢	$19	-$1	05-29 06:48
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	+105	$20	2¢	$2	-$18	05-29 06:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?	3	$87	420	+420	open	—	07-26 17:05
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	2	$50	95	+95	No	-$50	07-19 19:14
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?	1	$20	275	+275	No	-$20	07-19 19:04
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	1	$20	154	+154	open	—	05-29 06:48
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?	1	$20	91	+91	No	-$20	05-29 07:01
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	1	$20	105	+105	open	—	05-29 06:45
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$11	400	+400	No	-$11	07-02 06:29
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	97	+97	No	-$10	05-29 07:02
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?	1	$10	67	+67	No	-$10	07-19 19:16
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	150	+150	No	-$10	07-02 06:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-26 17:05:40	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	OpenAI	BUY	304	21¢	$64	0xaf32a4…
07-23 19:17:40	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	OpenAI	BUY	16	21¢	$3	0x53ba84…
07-19 19:16:27	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xcbc668…
07-19 19:14:49	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x1e8da7…
07-19 19:12:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xb5fb77…
07-19 19:04:34	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	275	7¢	$20	0xb56c85…
07-02 06:29:41	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	150	6¢	$10	0x18ab2f…
07-02 06:29:11	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	400	3¢	$11	0xd6de67…
05-29 07:02:21	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	97	10¢	$10	0xbb9c57…
05-29 07:01:08	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x792631…
05-29 06:52:54	Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?	OpenAI	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xc5e577…
05-29 06:48:51	OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Yes	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x0b3a36…
05-29 06:45:54	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x2ee7c6…