Icy-Flu — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$610

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.0%

Resolved

741

Trades

1,858

lifetime

Volume

$52.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 09:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Other

90% 39% -$94

Politics

7% 10% -$179

Crypto

3% 18% -$294

Sports

1% 10% -$42

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	35	$4.1K	4,101	4,101	+0	No	-$20	04-07 15:02
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 90 114	166	$3.9K	4,128	3,278	+850	Yes	+$427	04-03 20:53
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	79	$3.8K	2,781	3,468	-687	Yes	-$215	04-03 14:44
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	14	$1.6K	1,700	1,700	+0	Yes	-$20	04-16 13:59
highest temperature in seoul on april 6 2026 13c	84	$1.4K	1,274	1,367	-94	No	+$32	04-06 05:51
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	10	$1.2K	4,000	4,000	+0	Yes	-$34	04-04 12:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	81	$870	10,524	8,970	+1,554	No	-$48	04-07 15:07
epl bre ful 2026 04 18 bre	2	$850	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$10	04-18 12:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	17	$847	779	779	+0	Yes	-$4	04-20 06:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	11	$844	2,742	2,303	+439	Yes	+$346	04-04 12:54
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 65 89	13	$789	882	866	+16	Yes	-$22	04-07 17:38
nflx up or down on april 8 2026	2	$768	760	760	+0	Up	-$8	04-07 14:15
qqq up or down on april 16 2026	19	$695	775	708	+67	Up	+$39	04-16 13:37
Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?	2	$597	369	369	+0	Yes	+$117	07-27 14:54
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 90 114	7	$538	500	500	+0	No	-$8	04-07 15:04
bun lei bay 2026 01 17 bay	3	$511	331	331	+0	Yes	+$151	01-17 22:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	22	$492	498	498	+0	Yes	-$12	04-07 15:05
will mrbeasts next video get between 55 and 58 million views on day 2	40	$492	781	740	+41	Yes	-$50	04-20 09:04
nvda up or down on april 10 2026	6	$420	280	680	-400	Up	-$249	04-10 08:28
highest temperature in nyc on april 6 2026 52 53f	8	$400	457	455	+3	No	-$47	04-06 19:48
googl up or down on april 16 2026	11	$399	507	276	+232	Down	-$171	04-16 12:26
will mrbeasts next video get between 58 and 61 million views on day 2	37	$397	782	365	+417	No	-$108	04-20 08:54
lal vil rea 2026 01 24 rea	3	$368	256	256	+0	Yes	+$123	01-24 21:51
spy up or down on april 17 2026	12	$356	390	438	-49	Up	+$21	04-17 06:23
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 19c	18	$350	269	320	-51	No	+$84	04-05 06:38
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 40 64	21	$336	497	495	+2	Yes	-$4	04-20 08:06
cdr rrc fcb 2026 01 15 fcb	3	$325	183	183	+0	Yes	+$29	01-15 22:04
sea int bol 2026 01 04 int	2	$324	192	192	+0	Yes	+$59	01-05 15:28
xauusd up or down on april 17 2026	7	$324	300	300	+0	Up	-$24	04-17 06:24
xagusd up or down on april 16 2026	4	$290	200	200	+0	Down	-$2	04-16 10:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 09:39:55	Will Rodri join Paris Saint-Germain?	Yes	BUY	32	1¢	$0	0x1fbcee…
08-11 09:38:09	Will Rodri join Paris Saint-Germain?	Yes	BUY	363	1¢	$3	0xc1cd6b…
08-11 09:37:06	Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	96	3¢	$3	0xe66f3d…
07-27 14:54:57	Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	369	97¢	$357	0x2098d9…
07-25 18:39:22	Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x64b4f2…
07-25 18:38:58	Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?	No	SELL	276	8¢	$22	0x07799c…
07-24 22:34:52	Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?	No	BUY	276	3¢	$9	0x643481…
07-24 22:15:36	Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	369	65¢	$240	0xd1cd18…
07-24 19:56:54	Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	60	64¢	$38	0xd8c364…
07-15 18:50:37	Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	182	1¢	$2	0x5015fe…
07-15 18:50:19	Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	87	2¢	$2	0xf21f33…
07-15 18:49:47	Exact Score: England 1 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	57	4¢	$2	0x4d290c…
07-15 18:49:20	Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	227	2¢	$5	0x5a6e08…
07-14 06:56:43	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	40	56¢	$22	0x9fe5d0…
06-17 10:55:08	Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x104ae6…
06-17 10:51:26	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x550981…
06-16 23:02:56	Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x9dadf6…
06-16 23:00:10	Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x8a348a…
06-15 17:53:27	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xfed8bd…
06-15 17:45:04	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	132	4¢	$5	0x515bde…
06-15 05:03:55	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xeeb879…
06-14 13:24:51	Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 14?	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x4dfd5a…
06-14 13:23:49	will bitcoin dip to 64k on june 14	No	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xfa3b16…
06-14 13:07:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	258	10¢	$25	0xe1a071…
06-14 13:06:22	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xa4c3e0…
06-14 13:05:16	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xd195b7…
06-14 13:05:01	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xd804f8…
06-14 13:04:42	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0xfcf1d8…
06-14 13:01:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0x27f2fe…
06-14 12:59:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x3186a6…
06-14 12:55:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x14ec3e…
06-14 12:51:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0xcf5748…
06-14 12:48:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xa9feb6…
06-14 12:47:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xbe2b39…
06-13 22:26:00	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0x3eb8a6…
06-13 22:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	84	36¢	$30	0x1dc819…
06-13 22:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x515f3c…
06-13 22:23:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x0823e9…
06-13 22:22:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 22:20 UTC	Down	SELL	186	39¢	$72	0xf8c149…
06-13 22:21:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	186	21¢	$40	0x7615b9…
06-13 22:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xe876ed…
06-13 22:19:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 22:15 UTC	Up	SELL	59	41¢	$24	0xe2ebdb…
06-13 22:16:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xc6c152…
06-13 22:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	167	43¢	$72	0xd2a2bc…
06-13 22:11:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xe9ec61…
06-13 22:11:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	108	37¢	$40	0xfc9686…
06-13 22:05:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xd130f4…
06-13 22:03:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x6e7f63…
06-13 22:01:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xc9794d…
06-13 22:00:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xf1975f…
06-13 21:58:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 21:55 UTC	Down	SELL	28	83¢	$23	0x387cf2…
06-13 21:58:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x19b8fd…
06-13 21:54:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 21:50 UTC	Up	SELL	91	70¢	$64	0xeee216…
06-13 21:52:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xec4558…
06-13 21:51:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xccd5e8…
06-13 21:48:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	73	7¢	$5	0x6d03e1…
06-13 21:47:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x272102…
06-13 13:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xc49211…
06-13 13:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x21a358…
06-13 13:05:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x55b9d8…
06-13 13:03:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	116	4¢	$5	0xf207f2…
06-13 13:02:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x8e60ef…
06-13 12:58:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x6a9b6d…
06-13 12:57:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x422702…
06-13 12:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xb1ce2d…
06-13 12:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x39c0ae…
06-13 12:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x188753…
06-13 12:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0x0c4dd0…
06-13 12:46:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x66860d…
06-13 12:44:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:40 UTC	Down	SELL	34	77¢	$26	0x9ea351…
06-13 12:44:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x720647…
06-13 12:32:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	120	5¢	$6	0xcd638a…
06-13 12:32:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	74	14¢	$10	0xe2cf6c…
06-13 12:30:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x0e23aa…
06-13 12:27:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x780eb8…
06-13 12:23:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:20 UTC	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x6dbc7e…
06-13 12:22:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:20 UTC	Up	SELL	17	52¢	$9	0x5564ff…
06-13 12:21:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xede49d…
05-07 05:53:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	130	4¢	$5	0x1833b7…
05-07 05:49:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	5,520	1¢	$50	0x62c560…
05-05 20:35:32	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	SELL	69	83¢	$57	0xf55bf3…
05-03 07:26:14	Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x5356ce…
05-03 07:20:20	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	44	39¢	$17	0xb0a5d2…
05-02 18:32:54	Will FC Metz vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x0a1200…
05-02 18:14:46	Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xbccc0a…
05-01 21:05:44	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	39	56¢	$22	0xbf5451…
05-01 21:02:38	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x481bd0…
05-01 21:01:28	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xc7cd2c…
05-01 21:01:08	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x384748…
05-01 20:59:40	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	BUY	69	58¢	$40	0x7d9f1d…
05-01 20:59:28	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xf75a25…
05-01 20:18:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	7,500	2¢	$127	0xe2d86a…
05-01 20:18:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	506	2¢	$8	0x209f4d…
05-01 19:11:54	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x084a7d…
05-01 18:21:52	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x7b6bb1…
05-01 18:21:42	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x395699…
05-01 18:21:32	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x11f9cf…
05-01 18:20:32	Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x6695aa…
05-01 18:19:18	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x4d9dee…
04-29 07:18:40	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?	Yes	BUY	60	41¢	$25	0x8ef33f…