Distorted-Drop — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

289

Trades

291

lifetime

Volume

$3.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-03 16:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 233 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% -$2

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 07:29
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:17
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 05:33
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 10:01
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:48
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 08:12
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 07:23
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 06:47
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 10:37
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 06:10
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 01:32
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 10:41
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-07 01:42
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 15:20
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-06 04:56
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-05 11:24
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on May 4?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 05:50
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 4?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:34
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 3?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	05-03 12:27
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-02 15:33
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-02 04:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:20
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:15
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-07 06:54
highest temperature in seoul on april 6 2026 14c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-06 09:44
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 21c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-05 08:54
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 25corhigher	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 15:06
highest temperature in denver on april 2 2026 70 71f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 02:29
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 14:41
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 16:50:19	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe6ef1b…
11-02 06:23:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa8cf68…
10-31 15:54:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x359bf9…
10-30 14:54:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc0384…
10-29 17:51:44	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x98c068…
10-29 09:27:40	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f7a65…
10-28 07:53:47	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee1563…
10-27 09:18:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d74c2…
10-26 09:32:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x36c872…
10-24 11:48:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc8322…
10-22 10:26:51	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa89531…
10-20 07:42:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc105cc…
10-19 09:23:23	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f162c…
10-18 10:14:50	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa94cb8…
10-17 15:40:02	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1b307d…
10-16 10:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc9f5cc…
10-15 09:38:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x512be5…
10-14 09:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xabb2a0…
10-13 09:24:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbef3bb…
10-12 09:32:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x010151…
10-11 09:13:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x39a7eb…
10-08 12:28:02	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8898de…
10-07 15:34:50	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe24e4c…
10-06 15:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x73d456…
10-05 06:25:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on October 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c999a…
10-03 08:46:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xafd2b8…
10-02 13:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe136bc…
10-01 08:32:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e2419…
09-30 02:42:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C or below on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xceaa59…
09-28 09:57:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2aeca5…
09-27 09:05:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x36c124…
09-25 16:17:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x731aab…
09-24 08:42:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa46339…
09-23 08:49:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ee7cb…
09-22 08:34:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1aa9c7…
09-21 09:33:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe237bd…
09-20 05:54:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1ea6b8…
09-19 08:57:03	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40ae03…
09-18 07:43:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc38766…
09-17 04:11:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd282e…
09-16 08:55:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcef2ec…
09-15 10:20:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4b5e3c…
09-14 09:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea4750…
09-13 02:51:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d7ccd…
09-11 09:23:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x927b0f…
09-10 08:42:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd17d4f…
09-09 02:38:27	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x92853c…
09-08 06:14:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x238360…
09-07 08:45:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x864732…
09-06 16:03:40	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x44f0d9…
09-06 10:42:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a2129…
09-05 01:20:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x509577…
09-04 01:00:03	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x825fbd…
09-02 07:54:03	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x48c5e9…
08-30 09:20:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe3c515…
08-29 09:43:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a64d3…
08-28 08:51:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x785a67…
08-27 09:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x955c63…
08-26 08:44:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f0653…
08-25 09:42:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x084fe3…
08-24 14:05:25	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x579ffc…
08-23 15:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x64e596…
08-22 09:04:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc203e…
08-21 07:52:39	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc69231…
08-20 09:03:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfde319…
08-18 08:30:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc7ffdf…
08-17 08:19:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x35b85c…
08-16 14:23:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3876d5…
08-15 10:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x47b280…
08-14 06:57:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x444f00…
08-13 08:57:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29bb36…
08-12 09:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xad0b3d…
08-11 07:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x55c7c3…
08-10 08:10:34	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x604f3c…
08-09 06:14:49	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd55b76…
08-08 07:43:04	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x67a231…
08-07 07:52:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc22062…
08-06 07:40:32	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9c6808…
08-05 08:03:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x43f282…
08-04 08:26:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x823551…
08-03 07:43:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f4c60…
08-02 06:33:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb9ba16…
08-01 07:12:38	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb0e2ee…
07-31 13:50:54	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x398347…
07-30 07:03:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0e475a…
07-29 07:14:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x934aff…
07-28 07:08:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0526fe…
07-27 09:37:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb62435…
07-26 07:25:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5fffab…
07-25 08:35:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd34559…
07-24 13:33:45	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x11bd96…
07-23 08:17:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb3d851…
07-22 02:09:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x221539…
07-21 09:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xead78e…
07-21 00:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xae17fe…
07-20 08:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1760f7…
07-18 23:27:00	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc871cc…
07-18 00:37:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc55da…
07-17 07:26:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x70c756…
07-15 22:16:59	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8aa547…