Taut-Zither — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

289

Trades

290

lifetime

Volume

$3.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-01 10:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 234 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 13:15
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 06:11
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:23
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-12 07:17
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 09:48
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 09:15
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or below on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 10:44
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C or below on May 8?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 03:48
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-07 16:56
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:25
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on May 6?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-06 08:57
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on May 5?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 11:38
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 02:43
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-04 09:29
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C or higher on May 3?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-03 14:51
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-02 08:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:27
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:22
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 07:00
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 13c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-05 09:07
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 24c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 15:55
highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 22corhigher	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 04:38
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 28c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 14:51
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:38
highest temperature in hong kong on april 1 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 14:54
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:44
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 08:27
highest temperature in miami on march 30 2026 78 79f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-31 01:39
highest temperature in lucknow on march 30 2026 37c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-30 14:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 10:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on November 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x123bc4…
10-31 15:47:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a97c5…
10-30 14:43:55	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9dc29e…
10-29 17:44:52	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa5adc…
10-29 09:05:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x312364…
10-28 07:42:38	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbb7b04…
10-27 08:27:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9fed6e…
10-26 09:20:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xae78ac…
10-24 11:41:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x880371…
10-22 10:17:48	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe18988…
10-20 07:35:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4d8d73…
10-19 09:14:08	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x538be4…
10-18 09:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x18b40b…
10-17 15:20:45	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d7e77…
10-16 09:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x13c6c4…
10-15 09:24:17	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6174be…
10-14 09:22:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f27a5…
10-13 14:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x014e23…
10-13 09:15:14	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ebdb9…
10-12 09:06:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbdf940…
10-11 08:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb8399b…
10-08 09:11:11	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7a233e…
10-07 15:22:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2cded9…
10-06 08:39:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x178245…
10-05 01:57:10	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe75b2c…
10-03 08:17:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xda7ee5…
10-02 11:41:11	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xff22e9…
10-01 08:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d94ed…
09-30 12:53:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb34fdc…
09-29 14:48:33	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e1e2a…
09-28 09:49:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xafc6dd…
09-27 08:49:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x52f224…
09-25 12:57:27	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a6caa…
09-24 08:32:41	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5e18dd…
09-23 07:55:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x52418b…
09-22 08:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x382393…
09-21 09:23:05	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x335fcf…
09-20 05:48:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa1fffb…
09-19 08:26:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa4f36f…
09-18 06:26:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe9572b…
09-17 04:05:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea009c…
09-16 08:23:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d533b…
09-15 09:12:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x34ba01…
09-14 08:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xed0d7f…
09-12 16:30:39	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0b2b3b…
09-11 07:19:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x609425…
09-10 08:18:19	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12b5e7…
09-09 09:23:18	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6c22fc…
09-08 15:39:07	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x450722…
09-08 06:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdbb17c…
09-07 08:22:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa9f954…
09-06 17:37:06	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x69c7a3…
09-06 09:18:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0ad748…
09-05 01:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee874b…
09-03 15:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7c6d90…
09-02 07:43:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x47c750…
08-30 09:12:31	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9b2689…
08-29 09:12:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb2ca64…
08-28 08:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1cacf0…
08-27 08:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7ed701…
08-26 08:29:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x825411…
08-25 09:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea11a6…
08-24 10:36:24	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ca6e5…
08-23 14:52:52	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfcfc6a…
08-22 08:49:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x43f3b6…
08-21 07:42:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb93a0…
08-20 08:43:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c7a28…
08-19 11:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x315fe0…
08-18 08:16:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f4f09…
08-17 07:27:43	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9f8ac1…
08-16 11:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb72a85…
08-15 09:51:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3435c4…
08-14 06:50:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5fa5b…
08-13 08:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaae01a…
08-12 07:56:39	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x884766…
08-11 06:55:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x389cc7…
08-10 07:48:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa2f1e6…
08-09 01:25:55	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x025158…
08-08 07:30:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c446a…
08-07 01:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4387a9…
08-06 06:45:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc7f8b…
08-05 07:56:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdfc2fd…
08-04 08:17:20	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f0e70…
08-03 07:37:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x27acf7…
08-02 01:42:32	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4108c2…
08-01 07:03:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb8f6ad…
07-31 13:03:50	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x974192…
07-30 06:56:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x90d364…
07-29 07:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd91898…
07-28 06:31:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc5d649…
07-27 08:23:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d071d…
07-26 07:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x685827…
07-25 08:13:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc9b23c…
07-24 10:07:27	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeccb95…
07-23 08:09:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x051849…
07-22 02:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd84c9…
07-21 09:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x23ec94…
07-21 00:13:45	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x14b7b9…
07-20 07:54:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6272f4…
07-18 23:18:25	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d0fe8…