Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or below on May 8?
No won
Total volume
$344
Trades
30
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-08 10:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $70 | $70 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | — | $264 | $264 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $48 | $48 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 14 | — | $207 | $207 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $79 | $79 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-06 19:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x74ca…690d | No | +39 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 05-08 08:00 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-08 09:30 |
| Giant-Interject 0x8d57…2a1f | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-08 06:39 |
| Feminine-Kidney 0xa223…c65c | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-08 10:44 |
| Political-Emphasis 0xdf50…7826 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-08 10:44 |
| Impassioned-Engineer 0x3e83…ccfa | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-08 10:44 |
| Taut-Zither 0x017f…8350 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-08 10:44 |
| Orange-Coverage 0x9e72…0ef5 | No | +24 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-08 10:44 |
| French-Bloomer 0xe1df…3a94 | No | +24 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-08 10:44 |
| Extraneous-Telephone 0x36c6…3bc5 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-08 02:57 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-08 09:30 |
| Trained-Geology 0x5936…bdcc | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-06 13:27 |
| Idle-Lunchroom 0x4586…15f3 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-08 00:57 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 10:59:37 | Stunning-Mousse 0xaf78…c915 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x8f13a7… |
| 05-08 10:44:40 | Taut-Zither 0x017f…8350 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0xba4d85… |
| 05-08 10:44:40 | Political-Emphasis 0xdf50…7826 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0xe7300a… |
| 05-08 10:44:36 | French-Bloomer 0xe1df…3a94 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $23 | 0xf74bdf… |
| 05-08 10:44:31 | Feminine-Kidney 0xa223…c65c | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x7e981f… |
| 05-08 10:44:31 | Orange-Coverage 0x9e72…0ef5 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $23 | 0x0e137c… |
| 05-08 10:44:26 | Impassioned-Engineer 0x3e83…ccfa | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x63598c… |
| 05-08 09:45:57 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb03bba… |
| 05-08 09:30:42 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x710302… |
| 05-08 09:30:28 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x10f3f3… |
| 05-08 09:30:28 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0ea7d5… |
| 05-08 09:30:28 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc370b0… |
| 05-08 09:30:28 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe6d8ae… |
| 05-08 09:30:24 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7c5b33… |
| 05-08 09:30:24 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcb09a4… |
| 05-08 09:30:24 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xec3cdb… |
| 05-08 09:30:24 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xe621d7… |
| 05-08 08:00:57 | (anonymous) 0x74ca…690d | No | BUY | 39 | 100¢ | $39 | 0xc8181e… |
| 05-08 06:39:22 | Giant-Interject 0x8d57…2a1f | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x3b2b5e… |
| 05-08 03:26:45 | Stunning-Mousse 0xaf78…c915 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x1f54d1… |
| 05-08 03:20:32 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x109ad0… |
| 05-08 03:20:32 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa4d92f… |
| 05-08 03:20:31 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa14a3c… |
| 05-08 02:57:14 | Extraneous-Telephone 0x36c6…3bc5 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xc0b629… |
| 05-08 00:57:20 | Idle-Lunchroom 0x4586…15f3 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x0b682e… |
| 05-07 15:36:57 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3956c7… |
| 05-07 14:09:32 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf67ad5… |
| 05-07 14:01:17 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa87962… |
| 05-06 19:25:24 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x3028a3… |
| 05-06 13:27:12 | Trained-Geology 0x5936…bdcc | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x59de20… |