Political-Emphasis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

291

Trades

291

lifetime

Volume

$3.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-01 10:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 235 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 13:15
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:23
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 06:11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-12 07:17
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 09:48
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 09:15
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or below on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 10:44
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C or below on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 03:48
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 7?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 16:55
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:36
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on May 6?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-06 08:57
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on May 5?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 11:38
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 02:43
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-04 09:29
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 3?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-03 14:49
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-02 08:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:27
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:22
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 07:00
highest temperature in moscow on april 6 2026 14c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-06 15:18
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 13c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-05 09:07
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 24c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 15:55
highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 22corhigher	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 04:38
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 28c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 14:51
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:38
highest temperature in hong kong on april 1 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 14:54
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:44
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 08:27
highest temperature in miami on march 30 2026 78 79f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-31 01:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 10:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on November 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x02cb77…
10-31 15:47:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1ea7f9…
10-30 14:44:00	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x469237…
10-29 17:44:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf60491…
10-29 09:05:32	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8ab39e…
10-28 07:42:41	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29c9ca…
10-27 08:27:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f39bf…
10-26 09:21:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x48736f…
10-24 11:41:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d5adb…
10-22 10:17:51	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x506c9d…
10-20 07:35:26	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x61bba8…
10-19 09:14:11	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a8e3a…
10-18 09:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe52f26…
10-17 15:20:50	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcffd1b…
10-16 09:09:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x80cdd5…
10-15 09:24:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcfdf91…
10-14 09:22:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe7aa8e…
10-13 14:05:20	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x393260…
10-13 09:15:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe67df0…
10-12 09:06:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xce7248…
10-11 08:21:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x66892d…
10-08 09:11:14	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00d811…
10-07 15:22:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbbe869…
10-06 08:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c23d5…
10-05 01:57:13	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xda0774…
10-03 08:17:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfda125…
10-02 11:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x91dcf1…
10-01 08:26:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0fd68…
09-30 12:54:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x32fd20…
09-29 14:48:36	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x810119…
09-28 09:49:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2d2376…
09-27 08:49:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x391354…
09-25 12:57:30	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x877edd…
09-24 08:32:44	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc92839…
09-23 07:55:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb01026…
09-22 08:13:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb96b64…
09-21 09:23:08	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbfcded…
09-20 05:48:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfba682…
09-19 08:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf008ce…
09-18 06:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd1aa33…
09-17 04:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcacfda…
09-16 08:23:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x795874…
09-15 09:12:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x26a430…
09-14 08:44:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd09578…
09-12 16:30:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00a726…
09-11 07:19:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8be521…
09-10 08:18:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xddeb28…
09-09 09:23:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f7183…
09-08 15:39:10	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2250bf…
09-08 06:08:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xda73b3…
09-07 08:22:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x55c096…
09-06 17:37:07	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb8981…
09-06 09:18:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x94b2c9…
09-05 01:11:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc7cab7…
09-03 15:32:43	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe28e51…
09-02 07:43:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb417cd…
08-30 09:12:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb3cdd…
08-29 09:12:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x705f59…
08-28 08:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xda7965…
08-27 08:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x38ce58…
08-26 08:29:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb0a4dc…
08-25 09:15:37	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x20b2c0…
08-24 10:36:27	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd39d56…
08-23 14:52:54	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x86f332…
08-22 08:49:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb42055…
08-21 07:42:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb5269…
08-20 08:43:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd66344…
08-19 11:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x232f4c…
08-18 08:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x93aa60…
08-17 07:27:46	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb805b…
08-16 11:22:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1554a8…
08-15 09:51:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc0808f…
08-14 06:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe11d2c…
08-13 08:09:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa91723…
08-12 07:56:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x779184…
08-11 06:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdd8366…
08-10 07:48:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f700d…
08-09 01:25:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x251572…
08-08 07:30:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb940b7…
08-07 01:14:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5dafa8…
08-06 06:45:05	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x947b5c…
08-05 07:56:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x169b37…
08-04 08:17:23	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x698b2a…
08-03 07:37:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ef426…
08-02 01:42:35	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe2f5c4…
08-01 07:03:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x798d61…
07-31 13:03:53	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6c72cd…
07-30 06:56:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd210b8…
07-29 07:08:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x701309…
07-28 06:32:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x792ee4…
07-27 08:23:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe9512…
07-26 07:19:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe87788…
07-25 08:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x759a57…
07-24 10:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa52d48…
07-23 08:09:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x982abc…
07-22 02:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf40e4e…
07-21 09:12:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x243a7b…
07-21 00:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9b3458…
07-20 07:54:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd8315…
07-18 23:18:27	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea6647…