Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.32K

Unrealized P&L

+$150

Hit rate

57.3%

Resolved

Trades

698

lifetime

Volume

$60.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$87

Open exposure

$1.26K

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 10-15 17:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Politics

76% 69% -$2,896

Other

20% 57% -$247

Crypto

3% 56% -$212

Tech

2% 100% +$39

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 140 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No		+797	$700	99¢	$789	+$88	10-06 09:39
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	No		+572	$410	82¢	$472	+$62	10-15 17:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	67	$12.0K	7,718	6,383	+1,335	No	+$619	05-31 15:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	52	$9.2K	16,941	16,941	+0	Yes	-$1,525	06-17 17:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	52	$7.4K	16,288	16,658	-370	Yes	-$1,346	06-16 14:27
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	25	$2.9K	2,596	846	+1,750	No	+$326	06-04 04:16
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	10	$2.5K	1,807	1,807	+0	No	-$79	10-09 08:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	14	$2.3K	1,600	1,000	+600	No	+$187	05-11 15:02
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	23	$2.3K	1,755	1,009	+745	No	+$241	09-29 16:38
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	4	$1.8K	1,040	1,040	+0	No	+$235	04-22 17:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	9	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$16	05-24 20:53
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	19	$1.5K	1,309	737	+572	open	—	10-15 17:29
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	5	$989	607	500	+107	No	+$21	05-28 16:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$938	1,088	0	+1,088	No	+$149	04-23 16:59
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	10	$876	897	100	+797	open	—	10-06 09:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	3	$824	862	0	+862	No	+$38	05-22 13:54
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	9	$814	790	790	+0	open	—	09-10 11:23
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	12	$793	418	418	+0	Yes	+$11	09-21 08:20
Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	8	$768	467	467	+0	Yes	+$165	10-05 00:58
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	12	$767	438	438	+0	No	+$39	09-24 08:23
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	13	$749	2,569	2,569	+0	Yes	-$708	06-16 18:39
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by November 30?	31	$730	2,960	2,960	+0	Yes	-$410	10-06 11:54
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	12	$603	1,400	1,400	+0	Yes	-$349	06-16 06:24
trump renames ai by september 30	29	$598	876	340	+536	Yes	-$307	09-29 15:55
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	10	$476	800	800	+0	open	—	09-10 10:51
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	9	$440	400	400	+0	No	-$39	08-10 03:38
us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	15	$411	1,231	1,231	+0	Yes	-$399	06-16 14:51
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?	7	$382	462	462	+0	Yes	+$7	10-04 16:44
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	1	$335	386	0	+386	No	+$50	09-30 16:26
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	2	$334	200	200	+0	open	—	10-05 09:42
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	4	$314	259	170	+89	Yes	+$3	10-06 10:21
saudi troops enter sanaa by october 31 2026	3	$262	140	140	+0	open	—	10-04 10:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 17:29:49	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	148	75¢	$111	0x94443b…
10-10 15:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	35	83¢	$29	0x27f214…
10-10 15:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0xa926fb…
10-10 15:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xcc85d9…
10-10 15:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9280f5…
10-10 15:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd5bf5a…
10-10 15:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x24747a…
10-10 14:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	85	35¢	$30	0x15a0c4…
10-10 14:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x4937bc…
10-10 14:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x92ef86…
10-10 14:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0xf4155f…
10-10 14:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xbfc853…
10-10 14:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	45	60¢	$27	0xc3bf62…
10-10 14:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	37	60¢	$22	0x511194…
10-10 14:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	105	35¢	$37	0xdfcf2e…
10-10 14:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x43d47e…
10-10 14:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x91bbea…
10-10 14:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x1abf52…
10-10 14:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7343f4…
10-10 14:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x42f899…
10-10 14:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x53aa1d…
10-10 14:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x0b1205…
10-10 14:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x6390f2…
10-10 14:11:40	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xb7c3b2…
10-10 14:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x5e1be4…
10-10 14:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x8a5fe2…
10-10 13:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	41	60¢	$25	0xbaf0fb…
10-10 13:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x7b4933…
10-10 13:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x529a97…
10-10 13:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xe31000…
10-10 13:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0xb58563…
10-10 13:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	26	60¢	$16	0x9b766d…
10-10 13:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x7d8011…
10-10 13:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	63	60¢	$38	0x0c9a30…
10-10 13:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	92	35¢	$32	0x9a824e…
10-10 13:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	108	35¢	$38	0xa271d2…
10-10 12:28:37	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$6	0xbb47db…
10-10 11:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x3ebf41…
10-10 11:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x7d7fc7…
10-10 11:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x662cfb…
10-10 11:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8c1e7e…
10-10 10:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	106	7¢	$7	0x274411…
10-10 10:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	106	11¢	$12	0xef2d68…
10-10 10:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x6007b2…
10-10 10:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	55	10¢	$5	0xdc45a1…
10-10 10:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0x37d319…
10-10 10:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x2a2b50…
10-10 10:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x0a69f8…
10-10 10:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x53ec74…
10-10 10:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x1cb693…
10-10 10:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xf70cf3…
10-10 10:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0xcaba9c…
10-10 10:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x2bff1b…
10-10 10:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x57ccbf…
10-10 10:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	123	69¢	$85	0x298954…
10-10 10:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x490c4b…
10-10 10:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xe78f44…
10-10 10:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x715658…
10-10 10:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x35ac85…
10-10 10:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x0b8df4…
10-10 10:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xccd519…
10-10 10:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x231c88…
10-10 10:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	44	40¢	$17	0x15eb43…
10-10 10:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x58e503…
10-10 10:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xf25b45…
10-10 10:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x6c8356…
10-10 10:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0xf2a51c…
10-10 10:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x026b2c…
10-10 10:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	27	45¢	$12	0xa7f36f…
10-10 10:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	73	45¢	$33	0x664df7…
10-10 10:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xb128ca…
10-10 10:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0xb9ac27…
10-10 10:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	19	40¢	$7	0xaba3e0…
10-10 10:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0x9f17ee…
10-10 10:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x325951…
10-10 10:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0x2997e6…
10-10 10:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0xdf3d49…
10-10 10:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x5d84eb…
10-10 10:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd08cac…
10-10 10:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xcc099e…
10-10 10:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x365c11…
10-10 10:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc185a6…
10-10 10:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb8eab9…
10-10 10:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x55ef92…
10-10 10:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x03534c…
10-10 10:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	86	55¢	$47	0xb9a98e…
10-10 10:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xbc4949…
10-10 10:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xa96867…
10-10 10:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x3b2b59…
10-10 10:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	40¢	$7	0x95fc12…
10-10 10:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x73cab6…
10-10 10:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x734797…
10-10 10:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	60	40¢	$24	0x123c9c…
10-10 10:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x038de0…
10-10 10:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0x78d04f…
10-10 10:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x8d2985…
10-10 10:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	55	50¢	$28	0x6ff188…
10-10 10:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x228a07…
10-10 10:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x94f97e…
10-10 10:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x8a47bc…