Trustworthy-Paper — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$6

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

54.1%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

13 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$39

$105 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$60

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-14 06:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

60% 20% $-14

Sports

31% 100% +$12

Politics

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?	Yes	+339	$20	6¢	$20	+$0	05-13 05:58
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	-118	$-10	12¢	$-14	$-4	05-12 09:17
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	+48	$10	20¢	$10	$-0	05-14 06:20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	+34	$10	28¢	$9	$-1	05-11 13:37
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	-18	$-7	35¢	$-6	+$1	05-14 02:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 06:20:21	Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x9486de…
05-14 02:35:48	Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Team Envy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1	Team Envy	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xac98b1…
05-14 02:23:31	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5	Over	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x7a004f…
05-14 02:21:29	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	18	40¢	$7	0xc4d444…
05-13 18:52:40	Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xaf3e4a…
05-13 18:48:43	Exact Score: Manchester City FC 3 - 1 Crystal Palace FC?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x861f7e…
05-13 10:53:10	Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5)	Tōkyō Verdy	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xcca478…
05-13 08:01:08	Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A	TYLOO	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x118881…
05-13 07:59:42	Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)	T1	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x20b442…
05-13 05:58:56	Jimmy Lai released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	339	6¢	$20	0xfa68e8…
05-12 09:17:41	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	SELL	118	8¢	$10	0x8a8e82…
05-12 03:44:32	Spread: Thunder (-10.5)	Lakers	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x78d236…
05-11 13:37:29	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xb99644…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	3	$8.47K	58	05-14 02:26
Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63	3	$5.12K	57	05-14 00:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?	1	$20	339	0	+339	open	—	05-13 05:58
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	1	$10	48	0	+48	open	—	05-14 06:20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	1	$10	34	0	+34	open	—	05-11 13:37
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A	1	$10	17	0	+17	JiJieHao	$-10	05-13 08:01
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5	1	$10	16	0	+16	Over	+$6	05-14 02:23
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)	1	$10	14	0	+14	T1	+$4	05-13 07:59
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	1	$10	0	118	-118	open	—	05-12 09:17
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$7	0	18	-18	open	—	05-14 02:21
Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	1	$5	21	0	+21	No	$-5	05-13 18:52
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)	1	$5	11	0	+11	Lakers	+$6	05-12 03:44
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Team Envy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-14 02:35
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 3 - 1 Crystal Palace FC?	1	$2	18	0	+18	No	$-2	05-13 18:48
Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5)	1	$1	33	0	+33	FC Machida Zelvia	$-1	05-13 10:53