Incredible-Reinscription — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$993

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 09-24 19:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

50% 100% +$1

Politics

28% 100% +$1

Tech

17% 100% +$2

Crypto

6% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran strike bahrain in march	1	$213	214	+214	Yes	+$1	03-04 09:23
nflx above 20 on february 20 2026	1	$109	109	+109	Yes	+$0	02-15 15:20
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	1	$98	98	+98	No	+$0	06-25 01:45
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	3	$95	97	+97	Yes	+$2	05-20 14:26
will claude 5 be released on february 15 2026	1	$69	69	+69	No	+$0	02-15 15:19
will the us next strike iran on january 22 2026 et 837	1	$62	62	+62	No	+$0	01-23 03:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 3?	1	$59	59	+59	Yes	+$0	05-03 02:49
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?	3	$59	59	+59	Yes	+$0	07-04 15:09
will nflx reach 120 in june 2026	2	$57	57	+57	No	+$0	06-26 15:07
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	1	$46	46	+46	No	+$0	01-23 03:17
grok 5 released by march 31 2026	1	$42	42	+42	No	+$0	03-25 06:12
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?	1	$32	32	+32	No	+$0	08-29 02:42
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	2	$31	32	+32	Yes	+$0	09-24 19:37
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	01-02 14:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-24 19:37:20	Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4c66d8…
09-21 07:07:38	Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0xfb1010…
08-29 02:42:21	Will any other model be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xa23fc2…
07-04 15:09:55	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xe17845…
07-04 11:38:50	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xcae4d7…
07-04 09:59:44	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xae297a…
06-26 15:07:29	will nflx reach 120 in june 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb4fc82…
06-25 01:45:13	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x01fd27…
06-19 00:51:28	will nflx reach 120 in june 2026	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xcae5fb…
05-20 14:26:05	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	98¢	$66	0x6c9b93…
05-20 09:16:37	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x25539b…
05-20 08:17:35	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x8a553e…
05-03 02:49:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x5d90e4…
03-25 06:12:29	grok 5 released by march 31 2026	No	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x886af4…
03-04 09:23:27	will iran strike bahrain in march	Yes	BUY	214	100¢	$213	0x20a163…
02-15 15:20:01	nflx above 20 on february 20 2026	Yes	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x133984…
02-15 15:19:35	will claude 5 be released on february 15 2026	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x305457…
01-23 03:20:40	will the us next strike iran on january 22 2026 et 837	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x26cefb…
01-23 03:17:26	new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xaf790e…
01-02 14:19:25	will eleven die in stranger things season 5	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe16c3a…