Infamous-Crosscontamination — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10.7K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.0%

Resolved

6,249

Trades

22,325

lifetime

Volume

$272.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 10-19 06:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 199 days

Categories

Other

56% 37% -$6,755

Crypto

42% 75% -$3,880

Politics

2% 38% -$67

Tech

0% 100% +$6

Sports

0% 100% +$9

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 16?	88	$3.7K	3,351	2,852	+499	No	-$256	07-16 13:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	29	$2.8K	2,700	2,000	+700	No	-$54	04-17 12:43
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 24?	35	$1.3K	1,054	1,054	+0	Yes	-$48	06-23 22:33
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 26?	9	$1.3K	1,600	1,600	+0	Yes	-$22	07-26 06:24
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 29?	9	$1.3K	1,650	950	+700	Yes	-$10	06-29 11:01
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 26?	14	$1.2K	1,272	1,098	+174	Yes	-$20	06-26 08:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 14:20 UTC	16	$1.2K	1,139	1,093	+46	Down	+$257	04-16 14:24
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 24?	9	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$69	06-24 06:43
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	3	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$0	08-04 14:53
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 29?	14	$1.1K	1,042	549	+494	Yes	-$359	07-29 15:56
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 16?	4	$1.0K	1,600	1,600	+0	No	-$50	07-16 10:07
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	21	$1.0K	842	842	+0	No	-$5	04-17 13:02
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	16	$1.0K	1,426	689	+737	Up	+$37	05-20 05:00
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	7	$1.0K	600	600	+0	Yes	+$2	04-15 08:14
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 8?	14	$1.0K	775	775	+0	Yes	-$3	07-08 06:59
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 27?	30	$977	1,103	1,103	+0	Yes	+$20	06-27 13:37
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 27?	13	$964	1,505	497	+1,008	Yes	+$5	06-27 03:38
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 23?	11	$945	1,502	498	+1,004	Yes	$0	06-23 06:48
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	11	$928	600	600	+0	No	$0	04-17 12:38
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 26?	10	$916	1,194	1,194	+0	No	-$459	06-26 13:11
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 23?	12	$912	600	600	+0	No	+$0	07-23 04:37
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on June 30?	17	$844	956	408	+548	Yes	-$10	06-30 04:10
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 20?	11	$831	700	700	+0	No	-$5	08-20 04:24
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?	5	$805	603	603	+0	No	-$36	07-04 23:36
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 26?	12	$798	762	762	+0	No	+$1	06-26 10:08
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 17?	8	$786	750	750	+0	Yes	-$9	06-17 08:05
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?	2	$780	1,241	0	+1,241	Yes	+$461	05-10 15:06
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	2	$772	492	492	+0	Yes	+$172	10-18 17:20
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 26?	12	$757	790	790	+0	Yes	-$9	06-26 08:52
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 24?	19	$753	919	919	+0	Yes	$0	06-24 08:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 06:10:51	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	SELL	242	14¢	$34	0x610334…
10-18 22:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	517	4¢	$19	0xb6d5f0…
10-18 21:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	112	17¢	$19	0xc46727…
10-18 20:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	297	6¢	$19	0x4ddd5e…
10-18 19:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	70	27¢	$19	0x6fb2a5…
10-18 19:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	42	46¢	$19	0x0bc1ba…
10-18 19:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	246	8¢	$19	0x0fdc37…
10-18 18:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	210	9¢	$19	0x379714…
10-18 17:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	206	9¢	$19	0xbaa151…
10-18 17:20:32	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	SELL	492	96¢	$472	0x6864c6…
10-18 16:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0xce0ba1…
10-18 16:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	42	46¢	$19	0xa60146…
10-18 15:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	87	22¢	$19	0x44a500…
10-18 15:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	311	6¢	$19	0xfa6d01…
10-18 14:00:44	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	492	61¢	$300	0x403431…
10-18 13:56:24	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0xf66856…
10-18 13:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	112	17¢	$19	0x72d4a8…
10-18 12:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	376	5¢	$19	0x0169c1…
10-18 11:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	523	4¢	$19	0x3dc826…
10-18 10:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	253	7¢	$19	0xb43e91…
10-18 09:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	86	22¢	$19	0x82bc14…
10-18 09:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0x00d4df…
10-18 09:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xa5f949…
10-18 09:06:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	314	6¢	$19	0xab0636…
10-18 08:41:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	83	23¢	$19	0x52bc1d…
10-18 08:23:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	407	5¢	$19	0x022c68…
10-18 07:27:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	482	4¢	$19	0x18568d…
10-18 05:17:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	79	24¢	$19	0xfddd02…
10-18 04:43:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	376	5¢	$19	0xd2cfc5…
10-18 03:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	132	14¢	$19	0xb7cdbb…
10-18 02:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	470	4¢	$19	0xe47002…
10-17 23:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	151	13¢	$19	0xbeacfc…
10-17 23:31:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	221	9¢	$19	0x7f1772…
10-17 22:42:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	470	4¢	$19	0x4fa87a…
10-17 21:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	96	20¢	$19	0x44c315…
10-17 19:41:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	134	14¢	$19	0x1d4d09…
10-17 15:18:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	60	32¢	$19	0x968f97…
10-17 14:26:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	95	20¢	$19	0x606cb1…
10-17 13:07:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	118	16¢	$19	0x0523a1…
10-17 12:08:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	241	8¢	$19	0x09843e…
10-17 09:26:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	314	6¢	$19	0xd7de7c…
10-17 08:32:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	189	10¢	$19	0xac0591…
10-17 07:31:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	314	6¢	$19	0x1b787f…
10-17 05:36:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	236	8¢	$19	0x29f676…
10-17 04:03:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	554	3¢	$19	0x5a414b…
10-17 00:47:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	336	6¢	$19	0x30305f…
10-16 23:26:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	45	43¢	$19	0xe2ebdc…
10-11 21:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	269	7¢	$19	0x41dd2d…
10-11 21:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	112	17¢	$19	0xb3705d…
10-11 20:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	496	4¢	$19	0x813f7e…
10-11 18:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	135	14¢	$19	0xa28fd1…
10-11 17:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	269	7¢	$19	0x7a1619…
10-11 16:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	37	53¢	$19	0x17c982…
10-11 13:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	236	8¢	$19	0xe1e1bd…
10-11 11:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	626	3¢	$19	0xc4736d…
10-11 09:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	64	30¢	$19	0xb25205…
10-11 08:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	404	5¢	$19	0x6704e4…
10-11 06:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	528	4¢	$19	0x1cad95…
10-11 06:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	626	3¢	$19	0x9676ad…
10-11 04:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	555	3¢	$19	0xb9ad35…
10-11 03:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	424	4¢	$19	0x74ba47…
10-11 03:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	112	17¢	$19	0xfc5566…
10-11 02:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	189	10¢	$19	0x585210…
10-11 01:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	370	5¢	$19	0x743f14…
10-11 01:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	112	17¢	$19	0xe728ae…
10-11 00:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	469	4¢	$19	0x038699…
10-10 23:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	35	4¢	$1	0x71cfff…
10-10 21:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	61¢	$20	0x685530…
10-10 20:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	269	7¢	$19	0x3b75f2…
10-10 20:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	56	34¢	$19	0xa5566d…
10-10 19:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	314	6¢	$19	0x70a596…
10-10 17:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	269	7¢	$19	0xc47318…
10-10 12:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	376	5¢	$19	0xdff63d…
10-10 10:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	145	13¢	$19	0xe3f38a…
10-10 09:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	79	24¢	$19	0x45ee36…
10-10 09:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	236	8¢	$19	0x13a717…
10-10 08:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	126	15¢	$19	0x08f4ed…
10-10 05:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	467	4¢	$19	0x2ad7fe…
10-10 04:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	512	4¢	$19	0x4c1825…
10-10 03:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	463	4¢	$19	0xadf02e…
10-10 01:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	269	7¢	$19	0x9b3783…
10-09 23:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	118	16¢	$19	0xc5e94b…
10-09 22:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	201	9¢	$19	0xc3727b…
10-09 21:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7f90db…
10-09 21:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xd879b4…
10-09 21:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xf0a008…
10-09 21:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0x818378…
10-09 21:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x757c9f…
10-09 21:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x0cb433…
10-09 21:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x38522a…
10-05 05:37:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x9331fe…
10-05 03:37:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x625711…
10-05 02:32:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	219	5¢	$10	0x1e33d9…
10-05 01:26:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x3d4568…
10-05 01:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	172	6¢	$10	0x4893e7…
10-05 00:32:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x225f1f…
10-04 23:13:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	225	4¢	$10	0x055117…
10-04 22:17:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x98f6b0…
10-04 21:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x57005f…
10-04 17:48:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x434785…