Colorful-Detection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$293

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,701

lifetime

Volume

$129.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 08-01 23:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

46% 0% $-1

Politics

44% 67% +$143

Sports

6% 100% +$150

Crypto

4% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 119 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	96	$22.0K	61,128	44,320	+16,808	open	—	03-27 23:27
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	796	$8.3K	5,750	5,750	+0	open	—	05-25 21:43
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	73	$5.4K	11,845	11,845	-0	open	—	02-28 06:54
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	96	$5.4K	8,816	5,056	+3,760	open	—	06-14 23:03
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	36	$5.4K	16,346	16,235	+112	open	—	04-08 20:37
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	27	$4.2K	4,004	3,000	+1,005	open	—	06-03 21:42
another us government shutdown by february 14	81	$3.9K	6,141	6,953	-812	open	—	02-14 04:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	236	$3.5K	5,472	5,472	+0	open	—	05-29 18:53
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$3.4K	0	3,690	-3,690	open	—	06-03 21:40
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	30	$3.1K	2,809	526	+2,283	open	—	02-28 22:10
will axiom be accused of insider trading	18	$3.0K	1,699	2,666	-967	open	—	02-26 10:36
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	1	$2.9K	3,317	0	+3,317	open	—	07-23 19:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	35	$2.7K	3,240	2,282	+958	open	—	06-14 18:41
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	58	$2.6K	3,940	2,737	+1,203	open	—	03-02 21:05
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	39	$2.5K	2,944	3,281	-337	open	—	05-29 18:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	53	$2.1K	3,164	2,325	+840	open	—	04-18 05:40
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	18	$2.0K	1,872	992	+881	open	—	04-02 01:55
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	10	$1.9K	1,946	0	+1,946	open	—	04-12 03:48
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	5	$1.9K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	07-03 08:40
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	33	$1.9K	2,581	2,596	-15	open	—	03-08 17:37
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	35	$1.7K	2,454	2,454	+0	open	—	03-08 17:44
will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	28	$1.7K	3,157	1,824	+1,333	open	—	04-21 23:28
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	26	$1.6K	4,110	3,307	+803	open	—	07-07 12:34
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	4	$1.5K	775	775	+0	open	—	02-28 21:41
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	19	$1.5K	887	887	+0	open	—	04-12 17:50
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	11	$1.4K	1,345	1,345	+0	open	—	03-08 22:05
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	2	$1.4K	2,910	0	+2,910	open	—	07-05 23:42
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during address to the nation	10	$1.4K	1,386	0	+1,386	open	—	04-01 23:22
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	21	$1.4K	3,223	3,223	+0	open	—	04-21 17:41
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	1	$1.2K	1,829	0	+1,829	open	—	07-10 18:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 23:59:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	SELL	375	74¢	$278	0xd303b2…
08-01 23:59:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	300	45¢	$135	0x11da6a…
08-01 23:57:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	SELL	375	80¢	$299	0xd2fa1e…
08-01 23:52:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	750	78¢	$585	0xce3e01…
08-01 23:16:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	258	41¢	$105	0x3fd3de…
08-01 23:16:23	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x2e8b46…
08-01 23:15:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	42	42¢	$18	0x5fcf23…
08-01 15:28:24	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	48	76¢	$36	0x4be02d…
08-01 15:27:44	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	47	76¢	$36	0x7970ed…
08-01 14:47:42	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	95	69¢	$65	0xe679b3…
07-30 19:12:39	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	SELL	77	35¢	$27	0x251364…
07-30 19:10:18	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	SELL	74	35¢	$26	0x9c593b…
07-30 16:59:47	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	72	29¢	$21	0x4c84c7…
07-30 16:46:47	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	79	27¢	$21	0x69588e…
07-29 20:48:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	184	7¢	$12	0x394ab6…
07-29 20:46:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	222	6¢	$14	0xfab534…
07-29 13:13:23	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	349	90¢	$313	0x69ff99…
07-29 11:49:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	61	64¢	$39	0xfce07e…
07-29 11:48:35	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xdf2834…
07-29 09:17:02	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	90	65¢	$58	0x996384…
07-28 22:52:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	53	23¢	$12	0xce3c84…
07-28 22:52:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	90	23¢	$21	0x86f6d8…
07-28 22:51:29	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0xdf757c…
07-28 22:51:29	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	53	25¢	$13	0xa0aaf1…
07-28 22:45:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	90	25¢	$22	0x41a60a…
07-28 22:43:29	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	99	26¢	$26	0x0b5d89…
07-27 16:50:48	will trump say grocery or dairy during michigan remarks 20260724162420361	No	SELL	201	53¢	$106	0x019521…
07-27 16:48:27	will trump say grocery or dairy during michigan remarks 20260724162420361	No	SELL	197	53¢	$104	0x0ed590…
07-27 16:33:27	will trump say grocery or dairy during michigan remarks 20260724162420361	No	BUY	398	55¢	$219	0x632a99…
07-23 23:25:13	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	Yes	SELL	26	50¢	$13	0x412122…
07-23 23:23:33	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	Yes	SELL	53	46¢	$25	0x41fbb2…
07-23 23:20:49	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	Yes	BUY	41	51¢	$21	0x4f7b0e…
07-23 23:16:24	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xf07fe5…
07-23 23:16:24	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	Yes	BUY	24	31¢	$7	0xbd0ba3…
07-23 23:16:24	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x319b3c…
07-23 23:16:21	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xf6fdf4…
07-23 19:00:09	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	3,317	88¢	$2,919	0x9f2223…
07-22 00:51:07	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0xd6396a…
07-21 09:13:16	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	699	31¢	$214	0x92a7f2…
07-19 18:12:37	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$9	0x11215e…
07-19 18:04:58	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	256	99¢	$254	0x335df6…
07-19 18:04:24	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x12fd4c…
07-19 17:08:16	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xe09c81…
07-19 17:06:37	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xfe0021…
07-19 17:05:57	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	52	99¢	$52	0x9702f2…
07-19 17:05:16	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	52	99¢	$52	0x9aa538…
07-19 17:03:18	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0xeaad5b…
07-18 01:36:12	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	No	BUY	113	26¢	$29	0x4196a9…
07-18 01:35:27	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	No	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0xebb6ff…
07-18 01:34:12	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	No	BUY	90	28¢	$25	0xa4ec04…
07-17 23:49:58	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	No	BUY	13	29¢	$4	0xca89a6…
07-17 23:46:10	will anthropic remove paid plan access for fable 5 by july 31 2026 20260713185755112	Yes	BUY	27	28¢	$8	0x94fd1e…
07-11 14:41:08	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	BUY	252	83¢	$209	0x71e2e8…
07-11 14:40:31	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	BUY	14	83¢	$11	0x0f29d1…
07-11 14:31:40	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xac8043…
07-10 18:44:38	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	1,829	68¢	$1,244	0x9bdf41…
07-09 21:39:58	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	19	42¢	$8	0xe41f30…
07-09 21:39:19	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	1	41¢	$1	0xd261ff…
07-09 21:39:19	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x3d3581…
07-09 21:38:37	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	13	39¢	$5	0x282133…
07-09 20:38:56	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	49	38¢	$19	0xef07fa…
07-09 20:16:56	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	33	37¢	$12	0x7cc5a1…
07-09 00:15:46	will graham platner drop out by july 8	Yes	BUY	56	99¢	$56	0xe03cf2…
07-09 00:15:40	will graham platner drop out by july 8	Yes	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0x6a73ca…
07-09 00:06:59	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0xabbd40…
07-08 18:43:14	will graham platner drop out by july 8	Yes	SELL	54	39¢	$21	0x340485…
07-08 18:34:37	will graham platner drop out by july 8	Yes	BUY	54	57¢	$31	0x5546b1…
07-08 18:04:02	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x4a5028…
07-08 18:04:02	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	BUY	104	71¢	$74	0x45dc6e…
07-07 18:23:59	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	No	BUY	227	4¢	$10	0xd560a9…
07-07 18:19:47	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	No	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x066732…
07-07 18:16:50	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	No	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xed262e…
07-07 18:16:49	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	No	BUY	143	5¢	$7	0x931709…
07-07 17:30:23	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	112	28¢	$31	0x660fdf…
07-07 17:28:28	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0x64af57…
07-07 12:34:02	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	No	BUY	212	2¢	$5	0xfe3d17…
07-07 12:34:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	456	16¢	$73	0x724a7f…
07-07 12:34:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	400	16¢	$64	0x6e1a6f…
07-07 12:34:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	774	17¢	$132	0x17233a…
07-07 05:07:35	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	299	22¢	$66	0x4b016c…
07-07 05:07:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	276	22¢	$61	0xcfad4d…
07-07 05:07:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8a1510…
07-07 05:07:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	80	22¢	$18	0xa41da3…
07-07 05:07:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	148	22¢	$32	0x675a08…
07-07 04:32:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0x86bca9…
07-07 04:32:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x54de82…
07-07 04:32:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x2a5389…
07-07 04:32:01	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0x13751b…
07-07 04:31:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xdccd9b…
07-07 04:31:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	29	22¢	$6	0x5295af…
07-07 04:29:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	35	22¢	$8	0x12b092…
07-07 02:19:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	391	25¢	$98	0x78c943…
07-07 02:17:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	382	26¢	$99	0x93f6bf…
07-07 01:33:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	774	38¢	$294	0x910444…
07-07 00:18:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	306	35¢	$106	0xb7b90d…
07-07 00:17:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	306	34¢	$105	0xfaf443…
07-07 00:01:32	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396	No	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0xbbc9f0…
07-07 00:01:31	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396	No	BUY	208	7¢	$15	0xd5152c…
07-06 23:43:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0xbd2289…
07-06 23:43:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	277	18¢	$50	0x56011c…