Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$434

Unrealized P&L

+$84

Hit rate

92.6%

Resolved

2,879

Trades

4,613

lifetime

Volume

$51.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$376

3 positions

First seen

2026-09-29

last 10-26 18:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 85% -$404

Other

3% 96% -$31

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Tech

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 758 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	+241	$188	100¢	$241	+$53	10-26 22:12
Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	+69	$50	100¢	$69	+$19	10-26 22:05
Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	+68	$55	98¢	$66	+$11	10-26 22:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$337	340	+340	Up	+$3	10-10 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$317	320	+320	Down	+$3	10-10 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$317	320	+320	Down	+$3	10-10 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	4	$317	320	+320	Up	+$3	10-10 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	3	$317	320	+320	Up	+$3	10-10 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$317	320	+320	Down	+$3	10-10 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$317	320	+320	Down	+$3	10-10 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$317	320	+320	Down	+$3	10-10 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$317	320	+320	Up	+$3	10-10 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$317	320	+320	Up	+$3	10-10 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$313	320	+320	Down	+$7	10-10 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	3	$297	300	+300	Down	+$3	10-10 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	4	$297	300	+300	Up	+$3	10-10 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$297	300	+300	Up	+$3	10-10 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$297	300	+300	Down	-$297	10-10 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$297	300	+300	Down	+$3	10-10 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$297	300	+300	Down	+$3	10-10 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	11	$297	300	+300	Down	+$3	10-10 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	3	$297	300	+300	Up	+$3	10-10 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$295	300	+300	Up	+$5	10-10 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	6	$266	269	+269	Up	+$3	10-10 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$255	258	+258	Up	+$3	10-10 15:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	3	$244	247	+247	Down	+$2	10-10 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	5	$188	190	+190	Down	+$2	10-10 22:19
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	3	$188	241	+241	open	—	10-26 22:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	3	$178	180	+180	Up	+$2	10-10 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	3	$178	180	+180	Up	+$2	10-10 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	8	$176	178	+178	Up	+$2	10-10 15:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$158	160	+160	Down	+$2	10-10 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$158	160	+160	Up	+$2	10-10 21:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 22:12:48	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xfdb3ef…
10-26 22:12:41	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0x064e46…
10-26 22:12:32	Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30?	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xff78f9…
10-26 22:12:32	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x561e09…
10-26 22:12:30	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	Yes	SELL	40	36¢	$15	0xff7843…
10-26 22:12:30	Will Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $30 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xae9e67…
10-26 22:12:30	Will Rafael Fiziev fight Benoit Saint-Denis next?	No	SELL	17	57¢	$10	0xac28ad…
10-26 22:12:30	Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	9	48¢	$4	0x5253cc…
10-26 22:12:30	Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x2fca79…
10-26 22:05:26	Will Lionel Messi finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	67	74¢	$49	0x4d0966…
10-26 22:05:24	Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	84	72¢	$60	0x83e189…
10-26 22:05:23	Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	68	81¢	$55	0x71fa4d…
10-26 22:05:21	Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	69	71¢	$50	0xf0ec07…
10-26 22:05:20	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	191	78¢	$149	0x601393…
10-26 18:42:23	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa39e89…
10-26 15:42:23	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf80b5c…
10-26 11:42:23	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x383c90…
10-26 00:12:23	BNB Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb98b28…
10-24 17:27:23	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 24, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4402a4…
10-24 17:12:23	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0xf9b671…
10-24 14:57:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0x84a34b…
10-24 14:42:23	BNB Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x85258a…
10-24 14:27:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0x5faafa…
10-24 14:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x54424e…
10-23 23:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0bb9c5…
10-23 23:07:23	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x952b5e…
10-23 23:07:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x866df9…
10-23 15:47:23	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xa79b46…
10-23 15:42:24	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4b35b5…
10-23 15:27:24	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x6949a8…
10-23 14:17:23	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0x297c6e…
10-23 14:12:23	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xfd16c6…
10-23 02:42:23	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0d0ba8…
10-23 01:42:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x021e28…
10-22 17:12:27	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8bd4b7…
10-22 17:12:23	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4cad79…
10-22 14:17:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$20	0x93e180…
10-22 14:12:56	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x53adb8…
10-22 14:07:23	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0xca7c7c…
10-22 14:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x65810f…
10-22 13:57:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x96ec96…
10-22 13:57:23	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x89127b…
10-22 13:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x947882…
10-22 13:47:23	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x6af7ac…
10-22 12:27:23	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf58d1a…
10-22 09:12:30	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-22 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xcf4a0f…
10-22 08:27:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa5cf02…
10-22 03:27:24	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xca826a…
10-22 02:42:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x8b23d4…
10-22 02:28:03	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$20	0xbd2b97…
10-21 23:27:24	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x46f44d…
10-21 23:02:35	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0b0ee3…
10-21 13:38:44	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x410795…
10-21 13:37:03	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xb1456c…
10-21 13:37:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x8cdde1…
10-21 13:37:03	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x73d03b…
10-21 13:37:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0x7a36dc…
10-21 13:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x96a041…
10-21 13:32:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x327d68…
10-21 13:27:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xb23500…
10-21 13:27:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x726dd5…
10-21 13:27:02	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$9	0xe9b41c…
10-21 13:27:02	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xbc47cc…
10-21 13:07:03	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	21	92¢	$20	0xcd51e3…
10-21 13:07:03	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x8600d1…
10-21 13:07:03	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x2e5c49…
10-21 13:07:02	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$10	0xb90fa1…
10-21 13:02:09	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4ddbc1…
10-21 13:02:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0x758b40…
10-21 13:02:03	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0x4bc873…
10-21 11:57:06	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$20	0x0eaf92…
10-21 11:12:12	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0x8ec761…
10-21 11:12:12	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0x4564a2…
10-21 11:07:03	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x329add…
10-21 10:42:06	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x77f8df…
10-21 10:13:26	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x6cedfc…
10-21 09:57:03	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xea73eb…
10-21 09:57:03	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0xa60755…
10-21 09:57:03	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x69eb1a…
10-21 09:17:11	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x229104…
10-21 09:17:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$20	0x711800…
10-21 08:57:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x29395b…
10-21 08:57:02	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0x5ed003…
10-21 08:12:32	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x0fd8ac…
10-21 08:12:03	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0980e1…
10-21 07:27:12	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0e0a95…
10-21 06:42:03	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xc325bc…
10-21 05:42:02	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xe4f58b…
10-21 02:12:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xe43699…
10-21 01:57:41	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc6544d…
10-21 01:57:03	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xad4f31…
10-21 01:42:02	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0x299bca…
10-21 01:27:18	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x76f6a7…
10-21 01:02:08	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x29760e…
10-21 00:57:03	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb9cca9…
10-21 00:57:03	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x365d31…
10-21 00:02:11	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0xf84a5a…
10-20 23:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xfbb6a4…
10-20 21:57:05	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0x394d40…
10-20 20:57:06	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xba8ff5…