Downright-Oar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$127

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

95.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$168

Open exposure

$110

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 11-01 09:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

36% 100% +$59

Politics

31% 89% -$224

Crypto

27% 100% +$25

Sports

3% 100% +$2

Tech

3% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+51	$50	97¢	$50	$0	11-01 09:29
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	+32	$30	94¢	$30	+$0	10-10 12:48
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+31	$30	97¢	$30	+$0	11-01 09:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	2	$739	393	393	+0	No	+$15	01-23 16:36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	2	$401	205	205	+0	No	+$5	07-30 15:02
will solana dip to 60 february 2 8	1	$370	375	0	+375	No	+$5	02-04 13:27
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	2	$360	203	160	+43	No	+$3	05-28 05:33
lol al ig1 2026 03 03	1	$300	330	0	+330	Anyone's Legend	+$30	03-03 04:35
will ethereum dip to 1200 in february 2026	1	$300	302	0	+302	No	+$2	02-25 06:58
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	2	$293	185	122	+63	No	+$6	03-19 09:42
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	1	$244	247	0	+247	Yes	-$244	02-25 06:55
will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	1	$240	244	0	+244	No	+$4	06-15 15:30
will israel nuke iran by january 31	2	$228	159	70	+89	No	+$1	01-23 05:22
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	1	$220	223	0	+223	No	+$3	04-13 11:16
Netanyahu out by June 30?	2	$220	132	90	+42	No	+$2	06-28 06:15
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$200	202	0	+202	No	+$2	07-20 06:02
Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	1	$200	201	0	+201	Yes	+$1	07-02 06:25
Trump out as President by May 31?	1	$180	181	0	+181	No	+$1	05-02 14:37
will stefon diggs win the super bowl lx mvp	1	$170	172	0	+172	No	+$2	02-04 13:25
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$160	170	0	+170	Yes	+$10	03-08 06:45
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	1	$150	152	0	+152	No	+$2	05-28 05:35
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	1	$150	159	0	+159	No	+$9	04-23 12:40
hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	1	$144	144	0	+144	Yes	+$0	04-13 11:16
lol jdg lll 2026 03 19	1	$122	127	0	+127	JD Gaming	+$5	03-19 09:42
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	1	$102	104	0	+104	Yes	+$2	09-21 07:08
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	1	$100	102	0	+102	No	+$2	08-19 07:46
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	1	$100	102	0	+102	Yes	+$2	09-05 08:55
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	1	$100	102	0	+102	No	+$2	06-28 06:20
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$83	84	0	+84	Yes	+$1	01-23 05:27
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	1	$73	74	0	+74	No	+$1	10-10 12:50
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	11-01 09:29
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	1	$30	32	0	+32	open	—	10-10 12:48
Trump out as President before 2027?	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	11-01 09:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 09:30:12	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x2d1fa2…
11-01 09:29:58	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x09f61a…
10-10 12:50:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0x78bc39…
10-10 12:48:36	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x3f1d84…
09-21 07:08:18	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	104	98¢	$102	0x0c7627…
09-05 08:55:00	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x243d97…
08-19 07:46:21	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xdd857a…
07-30 15:02:35	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	205	99¢	$203	0x1efaae…
07-20 06:02:09	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x86b94c…
07-02 06:25:31	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	Yes	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x2c5b19…
07-02 06:24:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	205	97¢	$198	0x4f5f6a…
06-28 06:20:22	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xfefa85…
06-28 06:15:49	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x04ab3b…
06-15 15:30:43	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	132	99¢	$130	0x1d5136…
06-15 15:30:18	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	BUY	244	98¢	$240	0xa6f3ab…
05-28 05:35:13	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x26fb1b…
05-28 05:33:19	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0xd3c7b4…
05-02 14:38:12	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	203	98¢	$200	0x379ec9…
05-02 14:37:54	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	181	99¢	$180	0x9be085…
04-23 12:40:50	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	159	94¢	$150	0x9b3fab…
04-13 11:16:45	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	223	99¢	$220	0x30adbc…
04-13 11:16:25	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	Yes	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x05c8c3…
03-19 09:42:39	lol jdg lll 2026 03 19	JD Gaming	BUY	127	96¢	$122	0xdfbc87…
03-19 09:42:01	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	No	SELL	122	97¢	$118	0x1822a9…
03-08 06:46:51	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	No	BUY	185	95¢	$175	0x0db169…
03-08 06:45:19	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	170	94¢	$160	0xa007ce…
03-03 04:35:31	lol al ig1 2026 03 03	Anyone's Legend	BUY	330	91¢	$300	0x56c34d…
02-25 06:58:10	will ethereum dip to 1200 in february 2026	No	BUY	302	100¢	$300	0x8b0377…
02-25 06:55:30	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	247	99¢	$244	0xeaa5cb…
02-04 13:27:58	will solana dip to 60 february 2 8	No	BUY	375	99¢	$370	0x5826bc…
02-04 13:25:34	will stefon diggs win the super bowl lx mvp	No	BUY	172	99¢	$170	0x9222de…
01-23 16:36:48	ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	393	96¢	$377	0x913968…
01-23 05:27:16	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	84	98¢	$83	0x5878d9…
01-23 05:22:18	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x2c32ba…
01-11 06:48:12	ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	393	92¢	$362	0xc0525b…
01-11 06:47:26	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	159	99¢	$158	0x14a48d…