Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.0%

Resolved

246

Trades

567

lifetime

Volume

$1.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 07-18 23:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

55% 67% -$5

Crypto

22% 65% -$17

Tech

21% 65% +$27

Sports

1% 33% -$5

Politics

1% 40% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	14	$54	45	45	+0	No	+$11	02-18 02:46
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	8	$52	36	29	+7	Yes	+$0	02-27 19:16
will claude 5 not be released by february 28 2026	5	$45	24	24	+0	Yes	+$1	02-14 10:03
will google have the 3 ai model at the end of february 2026	11	$35	24	34	-10	Yes	-$6	02-28 09:44
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 380 399	5	$29	27	27	+0	No	$0	02-13 14:10
will mrbeasts next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1	4	$26	14	14	+0	No	+$1	03-09 20:47
highest temperature in nyc on march 14 2026 46 47f	3	$24	13	13	+0	No	+$1	03-14 17:59
will anthropic have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	8	$23	20	20	+0	Yes	+$3	02-09 22:36
will google have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	12	$23	71	71	+0	No	+$4	02-23 08:12
will anthropic have the third best ai model at the end of february 2026	9	$22	43	43	+0	No	+$4	02-23 08:34
tur fen kas 2026 02 23 btts	1	$20	21	0	+21	Yes	+$0	02-23 19:09
will google have the 2 ai model at the end of march 2026	10	$18	50	50	+0	No	+$4	03-24 20:23
lol fnc g2 2026 02 08	3	$18	10	10	+0	G2 Esports	+$2	02-08 23:02
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:55 UTC	6	$18	17	17	+0	Down	$0	03-11 19:59
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 1	3	$17	10	8	+2	No	+$0	03-01 17:12
will google have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	3	$16	9	9	+0	Yes	+$2	01-29 23:15
will google have the third best ai model at the end of february 2026	5	$15	9	9	+0	Yes	+$1	02-06 13:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 00:00 UTC	1	$15	15	0	+15	Up	+$0	03-10 00:04
grok 4pt20 released by february 28 844	5	$14	14	13	+1	Yes	-$1	02-13 15:31
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 20:00 UTC	4	$14	7	7	+0	Down	$0	03-11 20:04
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 20:05 UTC	6	$13	10	6	+4	Up	$0	03-11 20:10
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	5	$13	30	30	+0	No	$0	02-15 12:05
will xai have the 3 ai model at the end of february 2026	16	$13	78	78	+0	No	-$3	02-25 06:51
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$13	17	17	+0	Yes	$0	02-09 23:00
moltbook ai agent sues a human by feb 28	4	$13	12	12	+0	Yes	+$2	01-31 17:58
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	2	$13	10	8	+2	No	-$1	02-18 02:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 14:30 UTC	1	$12	13	0	+13	Down	+$0	02-28 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 14:25 UTC	1	$12	12	0	+12	Down	+$0	02-28 14:30
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 360 379	3	$12	25	5	+20	Yes	$0	02-13 14:14
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$11	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	02-18 02:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 23:36:13	Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0xf99d97…
07-18 23:35:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x954c13…
06-20 16:51:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xb8f5b4…
06-20 16:51:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x7ca3e8…
06-20 16:42:23	Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x574b68…
04-14 21:48:40	will claude opus 4 6 thinking be the top ai model on april 17 2026 style control on	Yes	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x0b8270…
04-12 09:12:55	will claude opus 4 6 thinking be the top ai model on april 17 2026 style control on	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x147c86…
04-12 09:08:15	lol fox1 dnf 2026 04 12 game2 kill over 29pt5	Over	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x336610…
04-11 19:44:35	will claude opus 4 6 thinking be the top ai model on april 17 2026 style control on	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xd5f7eb…
04-11 19:42:33	highest temperature in singapore on april 12 2026 34c	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd94fe4…
04-11 19:41:27	lol sr tl2 2026 04 11 game2 kill over 29pt5	Over	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0x9617ca…
04-11 19:37:55	highest temperature in singapore on april 12 2026 32c	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x0a97be…
04-06 15:44:19	nyc mayor of tweets march 31 april 7 2026 20 39	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xff7db2…
04-06 15:38:27	lol gx th 2026 04 06 game1 kill over 26pt5	Under	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6b04c7…
04-06 15:37:27	lol gx th 2026 04 06 game1 both teams destroy inhibitors	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x940a70…
04-06 15:35:53	lol gx th 2026 04 06 game1 both teams slay dragon	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1a517c…
03-24 20:29:31	will mrbeasts next video get 75 million or more views on day 4	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x7c21dc…
03-24 20:24:27	will xai have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xa028ff…
03-24 20:24:21	will xai have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0xae3d6d…
03-24 20:24:15	Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x7a4563…
03-24 20:24:13	will anthropic have the 2 ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x485e56…
03-24 20:24:07	will xai have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0xca7780…
03-24 20:24:01	us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x5e6b22…
03-24 20:23:59	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	Yes	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0x42bab7…
03-24 20:23:53	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xc0a9fd…
03-24 20:23:51	will google have the 2 ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x6c18b6…
03-14 19:24:49	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x6a4e11…
03-14 19:24:41	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 19:20 UTC	Up	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xa5db37…
03-14 19:24:27	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x66f8f8…
03-14 19:23:53	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x11a5ba…
03-14 19:23:41	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x77fc9f…
03-14 19:23:25	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 19:20 UTC	Up	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0xc3548b…
03-14 19:22:37	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x84a85a…
03-14 19:22:29	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc0b933…
03-14 18:48:57	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa237bd…
03-14 18:48:03	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 18:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xe337f3…
03-14 18:46:19	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x65d01e…
03-14 18:44:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x01ce43…
03-14 18:44:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7dcb8f…
03-14 18:44:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x23c9a2…
03-14 18:43:33	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 18:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x85f66c…
03-14 18:43:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x432a92…
03-14 18:43:01	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd95289…
03-14 18:39:25	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x6870ff…
03-14 18:39:17	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x401dbf…
03-14 18:38:53	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x46cca3…
03-14 18:38:33	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd4eceb…
03-14 18:33:11	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xc90ecd…
03-14 18:32:57	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf414d6…
03-14 18:30:01	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc58fc5…
03-14 18:29:41	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x61823a…
03-14 18:29:09	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf08ed5…
03-14 18:20:53	highest temperature in miami on march 14 2026 88 89f	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xbf7d15…
03-14 18:03:13	highest temperature in nyc on march 14 2026 58forhigher	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x41e667…
03-14 18:01:49	highest temperature in miami on march 14 2026 90forhigher	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3d6a68…
03-14 17:59:55	highest temperature in nyc on march 14 2026 46 47f	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xa86718…
03-14 15:19:15	highest temperature in nyc on march 14 2026 46 47f	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x6c5bc6…
03-14 15:18:43	highest temperature in nyc on march 14 2026 46 47f	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x3da294…
03-14 15:16:25	highest temperature in london on march 14 2026 13c	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x294a1b…
03-14 12:10:39	highest temperature in toronto on march 14 2026 4corhigher	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaf9a49…
03-14 12:09:57	highest temperature in london on march 14 2026 13c	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x30e3f2…
03-13 18:33:55	highest temperature in atlanta on march 13 2026 64 65f	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe43ebd…
03-13 18:29:35	highest temperature in atlanta on march 13 2026 62 63f	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3929d8…
03-13 18:22:07	highest temperature in ankara on march 14 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2a718d…
03-13 10:15:01	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6adef2…
03-13 10:14:33	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xab27bb…
03-13 10:13:55	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 10:10 UTC	Up	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xe7753a…
03-13 10:13:31	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 10:10 UTC	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x43f040…
03-13 10:13:09	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x08d09a…
03-13 10:13:07	highest temperature in ankara on march 13 2026 13c	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xe8099a…
03-13 10:08:05	highest temperature in ankara on march 13 2026 13c	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xe86988…
03-11 20:45:05	will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x6d40cf…
03-11 20:29:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x05b9c5…
03-11 20:23:21	will mrbeasts next video get 90 million or more views on week 1	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe4e2a0…
03-11 20:21:15	highest temperature in ankara on march 12 2026 11c	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1debeb…
03-11 20:19:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x999447…
03-11 20:11:35	highest temperature in miami on march 11 2026 84 85f	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0f26d9…
03-11 20:10:03	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x710db1…
03-11 20:09:55	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x97e0b5…
03-11 20:09:49	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 20:05 UTC	Up	SELL	6	80¢	$4	0x127589…
03-11 20:09:37	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x57d21a…
03-11 20:09:23	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xf9a288…
03-11 20:09:19	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7da26d…
03-11 20:09:09	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 20:05 UTC	Down	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xbf77b6…
03-11 20:08:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 20:05 UTC	Up	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0xa81f52…
03-11 20:08:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x12bc72…
03-11 20:07:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe7c73f…
03-11 20:07:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd3ae0c…
03-11 20:05:55	will mrbeasts next video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 5	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x01b72b…
03-11 20:04:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xe4332f…
03-11 20:04:05	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcb12ad…
03-11 20:03:29	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5cfcbc…
03-11 20:03:21	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x67f19e…
03-11 20:02:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 20:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x138d91…
03-11 20:01:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9c9c71…
03-11 19:59:47	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:55 UTC	Down	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x1bceeb…
03-11 19:59:27	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x1a9097…
03-11 19:58:55	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:55 UTC	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xcdb715…
03-11 19:57:49	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0e3069…
03-11 19:56:13	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:55 UTC	Up	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0x4678c9…