Flat-Tenet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$7.35K

Unrealized P&L

+$588

Hit rate

79.2%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

920

1,597 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$125.1K

$212.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$133

Open exposure

$11.0K

7 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 11-10 22:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Politics

52% 48% +$1,858

Other

48% 51% +$23,002

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 179 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?	Yes	+4,000	$3,626	99¢	$4.0K	+$326	11-10 01:14
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	+2,000	$600	100¢	$2.0K	+$1,391	11-03 23:10
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+4,000	$1,810	46¢	$1.8K	+$36	11-09 15:55
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-10,000	-$2,240	13¢	$-1295	+$945	08-23 02:22
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	+5,000	$2,035	22¢	$1.1K	-$960	09-26 14:28
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	+1,000	$890	86¢	$860	-$30	11-09 18:15
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+0	$1,120	47¢	$0	-$1,120	11-09 08:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	97	$30.8K	208,142	63,171	+144,971	Yes	+$813	09-21 06:14
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	64	$12.9K	12,641	10,641	+2,000	Yes	+$8,455	03-09 01:23
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	25	$10.1K	12,020	8,020	+4,000	No	+$9,050	03-08 22:32
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	28	$9.5K	2,000	8,000	-6,000	No	+$176	04-12 18:50
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	24	$8.3K	11,000	1,000	+10,000	No	+$2,846	10-25 23:24
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	40	$8.2K	6,008	6,008	+0	Yes	+$865	09-21 04:17
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	98	$6.8K	11,000	6,000	+5,000	No	-$2,150	05-13 05:16
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	40	$5.9K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	11-09 08:13
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	30	$5.5K	14,000	2,000	+12,000	No	+$9,018	05-19 16:50
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	108	$4.9K	7,000	0	+7,000	Yes	+$2,080	11-03 21:36
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	26	$4.8K	10,000	8,500	+1,500	Yes	-$1,220	11-04 02:17
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	74	$4.3K	3,987	3,987	+0	Yes	-$716	03-04 18:30
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	43	$4.0K	7,714	4,431	+3,283	Yes	-$2,052	09-20 17:01
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	38	$3.9K	10,000	6,000	+4,000	No	+$94	03-17 05:22
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026	7	$3.8K	4,000	0	+4,000	No	+$173	09-21 07:33
will seguro win portugals abroad votes	3	$3.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$358	02-11 22:18
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	45	$3.6K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$6,370	11-03 12:21
Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?	8	$3.6K	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	11-10 01:14
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	4	$3.5K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$62	11-03 16:03
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	2	$3.4K	4,000	0	+4,000	No	+$642	11-09 02:05
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	25	$3.3K	6,000	0	+6,000	Yes	-$3,300	04-10 16:10
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	14	$3.2K	6,000	4,000	+2,000	open	—	11-03 23:10
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	6	$3.2K	4,000	0	+4,000	Yes	+$800	03-22 19:26
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	1	$3.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	Yes	+$960	11-03 22:34
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	6	$2.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	11-09 03:16
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	12	$2.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	11-03 11:41
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	10	$2.8K	4,000	0	+4,000	Yes	-$2,770	10-24 18:41
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	28	$2.4K	5,000	1,000	+4,000	Yes	-$920	03-02 13:18
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	22	$2.4K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$268	06-03 19:26
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$2.2K	0	10,000	-10,000	open	—	08-23 02:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 22:13:34	Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x58b7bb…
11-10 22:13:31	Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?	Yes	BUY	337	97¢	$327	0xc29f14…
11-10 15:14:37	Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x606fd8…
11-10 13:05:30	Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xe8cf1b…
11-10 03:48:06	Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf18601…
11-10 03:47:54	Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?	Yes	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0x285fa2…
11-10 01:39:04	Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?	Yes	BUY	65	97¢	$62	0xa723c5…
11-10 01:14:22	Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?	Yes	BUY	976	90¢	$883	0x6a080d…
11-10 01:14:21	Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?	Yes	BUY	124	90¢	$113	0xa22b47…
11-10 01:14:21	Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?	Yes	BUY	900	90¢	$814	0x9b55c1…
11-10 00:49:54	Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?	Yes	BUY	214	97¢	$208	0xc3f493…
11-09 23:23:37	Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?	Yes	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x66e7f1…
11-09 22:27:43	Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x17983a…
11-09 18:15:34	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	BUY	177	89¢	$157	0x8e39cc…
11-09 18:08:04	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xd430ce…
11-09 16:40:46	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	BUY	46	89¢	$41	0x044f27…
11-09 16:07:18	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	BUY	57	89¢	$50	0x6b9c29…
11-09 15:55:49	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	40	46¢	$18	0xb621f1…
11-09 15:55:48	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	117	46¢	$53	0x327f0e…
11-09 15:55:13	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	117	46¢	$53	0xa377b8…
11-09 15:55:09	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	12	45¢	$6	0x1ada67…
11-09 15:55:06	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	12	46¢	$5	0xac5339…
11-09 15:55:01	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	117	46¢	$53	0x60fdea…
11-09 15:55:00	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xc08138…
11-09 15:54:55	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	12	46¢	$5	0xefbf93…
11-09 15:54:54	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	116	46¢	$53	0x676da1…
11-09 15:54:54	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	412	46¢	$187	0x28238b…
11-09 15:53:48	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0xa824c0…
11-09 15:53:46	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xcb921a…
11-09 15:53:45	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0xc74103…
11-09 15:53:42	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	116	46¢	$53	0xf90918…
11-09 15:53:36	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0x6dec3f…
11-09 15:53:31	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	12	46¢	$5	0x4099a4…
11-09 15:53:30	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	128	45¢	$58	0x1c4d4b…
11-09 15:52:10	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	86	45¢	$39	0xcdb131…
11-09 15:52:04	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	44	46¢	$20	0x75ec6e…
11-09 15:52:01	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	27	46¢	$12	0xa4465f…
11-09 15:52:01	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	28	46¢	$13	0x3769f8…
11-09 15:52:00	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	27	46¢	$12	0xb9831e…
11-09 15:52:00	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0xa7ad15…
11-09 15:52:00	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	28	46¢	$13	0x24f6f0…
11-09 15:52:00	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	27	45¢	$12	0x16f56e…
11-09 15:52:00	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0x165fa1…
11-09 15:52:00	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	28	46¢	$13	0x0c3a03…
11-09 15:52:00	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	28	45¢	$13	0x06b0b1…
11-09 15:51:58	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	91	46¢	$41	0xf65e32…
11-09 15:51:58	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	85	46¢	$39	0xbf2d1f…
11-09 15:51:58	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	85	45¢	$39	0x8fd736…
11-09 15:51:57	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	41	46¢	$19	0xf335cb…
11-09 15:51:52	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x2cad63…
11-09 15:51:52	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x14a292…
11-09 14:41:51	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xc2fdcf…
11-09 14:12:31	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	BUY	27	89¢	$24	0x3a0088…
11-09 14:08:55	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	BUY	27	89¢	$24	0x6ce6b3…
11-09 12:23:22	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x27a010…
11-09 10:36:39	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	BUY	4	89¢	$3	0xe85f9b…
11-09 08:13:48	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	1,528	39¢	$596	0x9c4384…
11-09 06:58:21	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x4d4dca…
11-09 06:48:31	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	BUY	300	89¢	$267	0xde79c7…
11-09 06:42:36	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x0d8bd4…
11-09 06:42:27	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xec1600…
11-09 06:42:27	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0xea0e35…
11-09 06:42:25	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0xfd62c0…
11-09 06:42:25	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0xe422c2…
11-09 06:42:25	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0xb9290c…
11-09 06:42:25	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x4a4697…
11-09 06:42:25	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0x351eb4…
11-09 06:42:24	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xcbc028…
11-09 06:42:24	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x54866d…
11-09 06:42:24	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2af34c…
11-09 06:42:24	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x0428a5…
11-09 04:48:10	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	BUY	12	89¢	$10	0x34ff43…
11-09 04:07:42	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	25	39¢	$10	0x7b6eab…
11-09 03:46:49	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x6e75d6…
11-09 03:33:15	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	25	39¢	$10	0x2eb9ba…
11-09 03:16:18	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	911	45¢	$409	0x3d13a2…
11-09 02:22:21	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	BUY	250	89¢	$222	0xc93493…
11-09 02:09:22	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	89	45¢	$40	0xfccc1a…
11-09 02:05:18	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	2,000	84¢	$1,674	0x213c6a…
11-09 01:53:21	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	9	39¢	$4	0x9f6495…
11-09 01:53:19	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x5babb3…
11-09 01:53:19	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x05ee50…
11-09 01:53:18	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	401	39¢	$156	0x032644…
11-08 12:11:07	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	304	45¢	$137	0xea7a39…
11-08 11:53:16	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x9c4328…
11-08 11:14:40	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xef99b7…
11-08 10:48:30	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x77be8d…
11-08 10:38:40	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x0e7c16…
11-08 10:37:54	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	26	45¢	$12	0x551125…
11-08 10:31:27	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x171524…
11-08 10:26:30	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	185	45¢	$83	0x9a3c47…
11-08 10:14:39	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	91	45¢	$41	0xb3b7cc…
11-08 10:11:42	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	38	45¢	$17	0xfc90e1…
11-08 09:57:25	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	41	45¢	$19	0x0f35ba…
11-08 09:51:49	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	47	45¢	$21	0x2fe15c…
11-08 09:27:52	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	909	45¢	$409	0x5028cc…
11-08 08:55:45	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	92	45¢	$41	0x25c908…
11-08 08:25:16	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	170	45¢	$77	0xdcd590…
11-08 07:56:57	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x97bceb…
11-08 07:52:10	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xcca86b…