Colossal-Retreat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

121

lifetime

Volume

$5.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

$11

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 06-15 09:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 50% +$4

Other

2% — —

Politics

1% — —

Sports

0% 50% +$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		-225	$-12	4¢	$-9	+$3	06-10 08:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes		+33	$10	4¢	$1	$-8	06-15 09:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	3	$928	736	736	+0	open	—	05-26 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	3	$550	354	354	+0	open	—	05-27 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$400	303	303	+0	open	—	05-28 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$376	279	279	+0	open	—	05-28 11:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$320	222	222	+0	open	—	05-26 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$248	149	149	+0	open	—	05-27 11:20
btc updown 5m 1781009400	2	$229	130	130	+0	open	—	06-09 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$200	626	0	+626	open	—	05-27 08:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$200	555	0	+555	open	—	05-28 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$100	200	0	+200	open	—	05-26 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$100	187	0	+187	open	—	05-29 09:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$100	217	0	+217	open	—	05-28 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$100	294	0	+294	open	—	05-27 08:46
btc updown 15m 1781207100	1	$100	196	0	+196	open	—	06-11 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$100	195	0	+195	open	—	05-28 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$100	303	0	+303	open	—	05-26 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$100	290	0	+290	open	—	05-27 20:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$100	228	0	+228	open	—	05-26 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$100	233	0	+233	open	—	05-30 16:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$100	263	0	+263	open	—	05-27 21:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$100	227	0	+227	open	—	05-27 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$100	251	0	+251	open	—	05-29 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$100	130	0	+130	open	—	05-28 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$100	120	0	+120	open	—	05-28 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$83	503	0	+503	open	—	05-28 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$64	39	39	+0	open	—	05-28 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$57	32	32	+0	open	—	05-28 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$57	32	32	+0	open	—	05-28 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$56	31	31	+0	open	—	05-28 12:30
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$30	46	0	+46	open	—	05-16 21:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 09:27:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x5bc310…
06-11 20:31:00	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 btts	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x44ee78…
06-11 19:54:42	btc updown 15m 1781207100	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x3d2aa1…
06-11 13:46:40	btc updown 15m 1781185500	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x0b6930…
06-11 13:42:19	btc updown 5m 1781185200	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x240abd…
06-11 11:46:12	btc updown 5m 1781178300	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x2f1ff9…
06-10 09:31:09	btc updown 5m 1781083800	Down	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x07abf9…
06-10 08:20:57	btc updown 5m 1781079600	Down	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0xc5f200…
06-10 08:20:03	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	225	5¢	$12	0xdf4eed…
06-09 12:56:42	btc updown 5m 1781009700	Up	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x672c38…
06-09 12:55:16	btc updown 5m 1781009400	Up	SELL	130	99¢	$129	0x5025a2…
06-09 12:51:09	btc updown 5m 1781009400	Up	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xf76c38…
06-09 11:53:16	btc updown 5m 1781005800	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x99b55d…
05-30 16:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0xdfdb39…
05-29 09:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	251	40¢	$100	0x6da07a…
05-29 09:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	187	53¢	$100	0x642eaa…
05-29 09:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x837234…
05-28 16:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x415bac…
05-28 16:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x0ec7d3…
05-28 15:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x2e4ca5…
05-28 15:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xec2ab4…
05-28 15:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x9f64a5…
05-28 13:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x7842c8…
05-28 13:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x22bbdd…
05-28 12:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xf57ca6…
05-28 12:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x32d4c7…
05-28 12:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x70335a…
05-28 12:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xd0f5a5…
05-28 12:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x0971a7…
05-28 12:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	195	51¢	$100	0xa66c9a…
05-28 12:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	503	16¢	$83	0xd1a68d…
05-28 12:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x0c49b7…
05-28 12:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x2f7d86…
05-28 12:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0xbb99d6…
05-28 12:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x391657…
05-28 11:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xcf7f16…
05-28 11:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	279	99¢	$276	0xbe1caa…
05-28 11:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	279	36¢	$100	0x39a4fe…
05-28 11:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x20f49b…
05-28 11:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x614345…
05-28 11:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	232	43¢	$100	0xa79e48…
05-28 11:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0x22af53…
05-28 11:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0x848b80…
05-28 11:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	303	99¢	$300	0x232835…
05-28 11:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0xd94241…
05-27 21:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	354	99¢	$350	0x58b424…
05-27 21:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xec6817…
05-27 21:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x82f6ff…
05-27 21:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x21a5ef…
05-27 20:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	290	34¢	$100	0x891b00…
05-27 20:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0xce7b14…
05-27 11:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	149	99¢	$148	0x515dc7…
05-27 11:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x85cb71…
05-27 08:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0xcfec80…
05-27 08:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0xb3baf4…
05-27 08:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0xac680c…
05-26 20:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	736	99¢	$728	0x3b645c…
05-26 20:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	391	26¢	$100	0x6dac81…
05-26 20:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0x62a659…
05-26 20:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x182908…
05-26 20:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	228	44¢	$100	0x4e3758…
05-26 20:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	98	26¢	$25	0xd8f6f1…
05-26 17:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x02a8a5…
05-26 16:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	222	99¢	$220	0xafb3ec…
05-26 16:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0xf3c49e…
05-26 16:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x44bca7…
05-26 16:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xde30ac…
05-26 16:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x5983ba…
05-26 12:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x9cdb58…
05-26 12:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	99	25¢	$25	0x8a7a18…
05-26 08:02:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x7bda5a…
05-19 10:30:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xbc8afc…
05-16 21:04:12	Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0xe4c53c…
05-16 20:55:35	Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x0aa2da…
05-13 11:47:26	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xd93e0f…
05-12 13:52:17	Will Trump say "Kamikaze" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	86	12¢	$10	0x4ea42f…
05-12 13:46:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x679582…
05-12 13:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x319278…
05-09 06:47:01	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x93d501…
05-09 06:46:47	Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x9be76f…
05-08 07:43:48	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x7b4749…
05-05 08:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xc98697…
04-30 19:53:26	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xaa73fe…
04-20 11:03:22	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x35a924…
04-20 11:02:30	nhl phi pit 2026 04 20	Penguins	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x42d17e…
04-20 11:00:38	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe21c84…
04-20 10:58:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x2fe725…
04-17 19:25:14	bun pau koe 2026 04 17 koe	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x956e51…
04-16 13:47:20	uel bet1 scb 2026 04 16 bet1	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x2786dc…
04-16 13:47:00	khl ava csk 2026 04 16	CSKA Moscow	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x8f5428…
04-15 19:09:12	ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 draw	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x5dbb01…
04-15 19:07:20	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x48a098…
04-14 18:19:50	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xab6c5c…
04-14 18:19:28	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x91ab97…
04-14 18:18:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xde2770…
04-09 09:50:13	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x8e5cdb…
04-08 18:43:11	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0e39a3…
04-08 18:41:55	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4ee439…
04-08 18:38:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	21	27¢	$6	0x837a12…
04-07 16:18:45	will trump praise allah again by april 15	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3fe387…