Gloomy-Notion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 06-26 05:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

88% 59% +$11

Crypto

9% 100% +$1

Politics

3% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-26).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$354	180	180	+0	No	$0	04-29 02:47
Will the Liberal Democrats win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	05-08 00:18
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	2	$52	100	100	+0	No	-$50	06-26 05:20
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 67°F or below on May 22?	1	$52	52	0	+52	No	+$0	05-21 02:27
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	1	$44	44	0	+44	No	+$0	04-29 03:15
Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on May 7?	1	$43	43	0	+43	No	+$0	05-05 00:33
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$40	100	0	+100	No	-$40	05-18 00:22
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 22°C or below on May 22?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	05-21 02:28
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C or below on May 9?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	05-08 00:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $90,000 on May 12?	1	$38	38	0	+38	No	+$0	05-11 02:30
Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$0	05-11 02:31
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C on May 16?	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	05-15 06:34
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 51°F or below on May 9?	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	05-08 00:55
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$35	100	0	+100	No	-$35	05-18 00:23
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	05-11 02:30
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$32	100	0	+100	Yes	+$68	06-25 05:23
Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.80 on May 7?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-05 00:33
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C or below on May 22?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-21 02:29
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on May 9?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-08 00:55
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 45°F or below on April 30?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	04-29 03:10
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$26	100	0	+100	No	-$26	05-24 02:12
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on June 15?	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	06-14 02:01
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$26	75	0	+75	No	-$26	05-13 02:31
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$25	75	0	+75	No	-$25	05-13 02:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 12?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	05-11 02:30
Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the May meeting?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	05-05 00:34
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on April 30?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	04-29 03:17
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on May 9?	1	$23	23	0	+23	Yes	-$23	05-08 00:55
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$20	100	0	+100	No	-$20	05-24 02:07
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$20	100	0	+100	Yes	+$80	05-24 02:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 05:20:23	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x1653cf…
06-25 05:23:46	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xba2af9…
06-25 05:23:46	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x9eaaeb…
06-25 05:23:46	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x578316…
06-14 02:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on June 15?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x1a9404…
05-24 02:12:12	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	27¢	$11	0x0c2b67…
05-24 02:10:51	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0x6e1061…
05-24 02:10:37	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x7942a2…
05-24 02:07:12	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xe17942…
05-24 02:07:12	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xd12006…
05-24 02:07:12	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x4d288e…
05-21 02:29:46	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C or below on May 22?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x903d84…
05-21 02:28:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on May 22?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x84dd91…
05-21 02:28:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 22°C or below on May 22?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x303ef8…
05-21 02:27:48	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 67°F or below on May 22?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x188706…
05-18 00:27:30	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	4¢	$3	0x1c4e5b…
05-18 00:26:43	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0xbc52c7…
05-18 00:24:47	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x7f7da5…
05-18 00:23:29	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x549dd4…
05-18 00:22:20	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x094259…
05-15 06:34:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C on May 16?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x2b8ae9…
05-13 02:31:16	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	18¢	$13	0xff51f2…
05-13 02:31:07	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	34¢	$26	0x166b96…
05-13 02:31:00	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	34¢	$15	0x6f3e7a…
05-13 02:30:25	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xef04b4…
05-13 02:30:11	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	8¢	$6	0x3c9ded…
05-11 02:31:19	Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x3a5597…
05-11 02:30:47	Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x116d79…
05-11 02:30:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x367623…
05-11 02:30:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $90,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x008188…
05-08 00:56:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C or below on May 9?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x1b4a52…
05-08 00:56:05	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 70°F or higher on May 9?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf83be9…
05-08 00:55:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 51°F or below on May 9?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xfb9810…
05-08 00:55:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on May 9?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3d8509…
05-08 00:55:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on May 9?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xa05a2e…
05-08 00:18:01	Will the Liberal Democrats win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x5832e5…
05-05 00:37:52	Will the Liberal Democrats win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x76fa26…
05-05 00:34:40	Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the May meeting?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x621570…
05-05 00:33:42	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.80 on May 7?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x297831…
05-05 00:33:16	Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on May 7?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x50543c…
04-29 03:18:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C on April 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb112c7…
04-29 03:18:02	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C or higher on April 30?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x071eee…
04-29 03:17:12	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on April 30?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xd78860…
04-29 03:15:56	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xf9d05d…
04-29 03:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on April 30?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9bb549…
04-29 03:10:14	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 45°F or below on April 30?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x0207e8…
04-29 02:47:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	180	98¢	$177	0x210f7b…
04-29 02:06:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	180	98¢	$177	0xfbbe12…
04-29 00:55:04	Solana Up or Down - April 28, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xab9de6…