Will the highest temperature in New York City be 70°F or higher on May 9?
open
Total volume
$840
$3,700 in 24h
Trades
65
Unique wallets
41
Liquidity
$2,826
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-05-09
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-09 16:09
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $351 | $351 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 37 | $26 | $436 | $409 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $10 | $366 | $356 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | — | $32 | $32 |
| Median | 12 | $1 | $321 | $320 |
| Below median | 6 | $2 | $6 | $4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $11 | $5 | +$6 |
| unranked | 4 | $2 | $57 | $55 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pink-Balcony-Wick 0x3dd3…ccac | Yes | +387 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-09 14:28 |
| Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | +194 | $193 | $193 | 1 | 05-08 20:10 |
| Composed-Pomegranate-Chopsticks 0xb06d…33c5 | Yes | +147 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 00:19 |
| Cheap-List 0xdca4…1c68 | Yes | +118 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 15:08 |
| Charming-Gender 0xe726…946d | No | +105 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-09 14:58 |
| Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | +101 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-09 11:55 |
| Feisty-Rabbit 0x80cb…4629 | No | +101 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-09 11:40 |
| Limping-Shape 0x8103…23a1 | Yes | +78 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-09 10:30 |
| Misguided-Compromise 0xd523…b377 | Yes | +70 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 13:28 |
| Unfit-Official 0x4ef0…62e0 | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 05-09 13:58 |
| Pleasant-Blind 0x6191…9e5e | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-09 13:08 |
| Unaware-Engine 0x6297…517e | Yes | +38 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-09 08:45 |
| Fixed-Pegboard 0xddbf…b1ae | No | +33 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 05-09 15:31 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-09 12:01 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-09 15:10 |
| Inconsequential-Spectacles 0x14da…0af1 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-09 14:43 |
| Sandy-Typhoon 0x102b…7ad3 | No | +19 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-09 03:29 |
| Fickle-Covariate 0x1b0e…f132 | No | +19 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-09 10:25 |
| Treasured-Coffin 0x15a1…5ef3 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 05-09 14:34 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | Yes | +15 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-07 21:19 |
| Canine-Futon 0x5cef…2c1d | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-09 08:14 |
| Able-Buffer 0x06ae…0a09 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 05-09 14:53 |
| Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 03:25 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-09 15:31 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 14:18 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 15:59 |
| Grave-Tanker 0xb753…0c39 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 00:20 |
| Bronze-Legislator 0x29b1…9a6d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 15:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c2c…5339 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-09 14:43 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 16:09:45 | Mean-Marxism 0x72b4…b978 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x862975… |
| 05-09 15:59:47 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x906c14… |
| 05-09 15:42:54 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb28968… |
| 05-09 15:42:52 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x9d1e3b… |
| 05-09 15:42:52 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x334948… |
| 05-09 15:42:52 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb8d33f… |
| 05-09 15:36:34 | Bronze-Legislator 0x29b1…9a6d | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x71c342… |
| 05-09 15:31:24 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5a36e3… |
| 05-09 15:31:19 | Fixed-Pegboard 0xddbf…b1ae | No | BUY | 33 | 96¢ | $32 | 0xc71df2… |
| 05-09 15:26:13 | Nimble-Grass 0x1acf…d02e | No | SELL | 9 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x40cec2… |
| 05-09 15:26:02 | Nimble-Grass 0x1acf…d02e | No | SELL | 9 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x1c9cd8… |
| 05-09 15:10:59 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x842b66… |
| 05-09 15:10:59 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf42c58… |
| 05-09 15:10:59 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xfcaf0a… |
| 05-09 15:10:59 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $29 | 0x7d318e… |
| 05-09 15:10:59 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x5b3142… |
| 05-09 15:10:59 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb7ceb7… |
| 05-09 15:08:51 | Cheap-List 0xdca4…1c68 | Yes | BUY | 118 | 8¢ | $10 | 0xe2af73… |
| 05-09 14:58:30 | Charming-Gender 0xe726…946d | No | BUY | 105 | 96¢ | $100 | 0xdf7b68… |
| 05-09 14:53:59 | Able-Buffer 0x06ae…0a09 | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0xf69bb6… |
| 05-09 14:53:45 | Able-Buffer 0x06ae…0a09 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x9ef6d9… |
| 05-09 14:43:59 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x206255… |
| 05-09 14:43:59 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x106e88… |
| 05-09 14:43:55 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xd87185… |
| 05-09 14:43:55 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x2b23fd… |
| 05-09 14:43:55 | Inconsequential-Spectacles 0x14da…0af1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xbe1888… |
| 05-09 14:43:53 | Inconsequential-Spectacles 0x14da…0af1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x2ea256… |
| 05-09 14:43:52 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x353c10… |
| 05-09 14:43:52 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xff3c08… |
| 05-09 14:43:43 | (anonymous) 0x0c2c…5339 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xcd4e9a… |
| 05-09 14:43:43 | (anonymous) 0x0c2c…5339 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x77face… |
| 05-09 14:43:38 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x89fab7… |
| 05-09 14:34:00 | Treasured-Coffin 0x15a1…5ef3 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xee05dc… |
| 05-09 14:33:25 | Treasured-Coffin 0x15a1…5ef3 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x5b040c… |
| 05-09 14:28:26 | Pink-Balcony-Wick 0x3dd3…ccac | Yes | BUY | 44 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xe7de95… |
| 05-09 14:24:05 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x44f879… |
| 05-09 14:24:05 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x73f833… |
| 05-09 14:24:05 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd939d6… |
| 05-09 14:24:02 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0243f9… |
| 05-09 14:18:33 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x26f5c7… |
| 05-09 14:18:31 | Pink-Balcony-Wick 0x3dd3…ccac | Yes | BUY | 344 | 2¢ | $9 | 0xdbcb3c… |
| 05-09 13:58:25 | Unfit-Official 0x4ef0…62e0 | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $49 | 0xdc6cf2… |
| 05-09 13:28:17 | Misguided-Compromise 0xd523…b377 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x57f866… |
| 05-09 13:08:05 | Pleasant-Blind 0x6191…9e5e | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x8df5de… |
| 05-09 12:01:00 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x7f07ae… |
| 05-09 12:01:00 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6336a0… |
| 05-09 12:01:00 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9219cb… |
| 05-09 12:01:00 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x885de7… |
| 05-09 12:01:00 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x00b083… |
| 05-09 12:01:00 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x747013… |
| 05-09 12:01:00 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc1e2ca… |
| 05-09 12:01:00 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc16c71… |
| 05-09 11:55:06 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | BUY | 101 | 99¢ | $100 | 0x754125… |
| 05-09 11:40:15 | Feisty-Rabbit 0x80cb…4629 | No | BUY | 101 | 99¢ | $100 | 0x20796e… |
| 05-09 10:30:26 | Limping-Shape 0x8103…23a1 | Yes | BUY | 78 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4471ed… |
| 05-09 10:25:23 | Fickle-Covariate 0x1b0e…f132 | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0xf50715… |
| 05-09 08:45:08 | Unaware-Engine 0x6297…517e | Yes | BUY | 38 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7f72a3… |
| 05-09 08:14:38 | Canine-Futon 0x5cef…2c1d | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x266009… |
| 05-09 03:29:23 | Sandy-Typhoon 0x102b…7ad3 | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0x2c6028… |
| 05-09 03:25:21 | Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x4ba503… |
| 05-09 00:20:18 | Grave-Tanker 0xb753…0c39 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xc277ca… |
| 05-09 00:19:48 | Composed-Pomegranate-Chopsticks 0xb06d…33c5 | Yes | BUY | 147 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x4631dc… |
| 05-08 20:10:59 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | BUY | 194 | 100¢ | $193 | 0xba54f6… |
| 05-07 21:19:05 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x822c12… |
| 05-07 10:16:18 | Husky-Golf 0x1041…f452 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x68c217… |