Orange-Scrambled — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$257

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.0%

Resolved

1,699

Trades

3,937

lifetime

Volume

$18.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 06-15 21:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Other

64% 36% +$101

Crypto

28% 50% +$72

Politics

8% 0% -$430

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in tokyo on april 1 2026 19corhigher	371	$2.3K	2,264	1,756	+508	No	+$828	04-01 01:44
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	8	$1.5K	1,134	1,134	+0	Yes	-$430	03-04 17:37
highest temperature in seoul on march 9 2026 7c	16	$541	295	351	-56	Yes	+$23	03-09 07:55
highest temperature in london on march 9 2026 15c	11	$337	395	395	+0	Yes	+$19	03-09 15:35
highest temperature in atlanta on march 11 2026 82 83f	8	$319	385	85	+300	No	-$19	03-11 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	119	$317	283	210	+73	Up	+$85	05-06 16:10
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 10 2026 23c	9	$209	302	0	+302	No	-$159	04-10 18:04
highest temperature in london on march 9 2026 16c	4	$182	100	100	+0	No	+$2	03-09 15:36
highest temperature in atlanta on march 11 2026 80 81f	9	$182	220	125	+95	Yes	-$84	03-11 21:55
highest temperature in wellington on march 10 2026 17c	6	$160	100	100	+0	No	+$24	03-10 02:55
highest temperature in dallas on march 10 2026 78 79f	5	$131	100	100	+0	No	+$5	03-10 21:22
highest temperature in seattle on march 10 2026 44 45f	6	$126	72	72	+0	No	+$18	03-10 21:03
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 7?	5	$121	144	0	+144	No	-$121	06-07 21:08
highest temperature in seattle on april 11 2026 53forbelow	12	$105	92	71	+21	No	-$5	04-11 23:58
highest temperature in lucknow on march 29 2026 34corbelow	12	$90	63	118	-56	No	+$23	03-29 09:32
highest temperature in seattle on march 10 2026 46 47f	8	$82	56	56	+0	No	+$8	03-10 22:05
highest temperature in nyc on april 10 2026 60 61f	3	$81	61	60	+1	No	+$13	04-10 16:27
highest temperature in seattle on march 30 2026 50 51f	7	$77	65	46	+19	Yes	+$29	03-31 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	5	$69	59	59	+0	Down	+$39	04-30 21:15
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 10?	9	$67	338	338	+0	Yes	+$43	05-10 17:09
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 9?	2	$65	64	64	+0	Yes	+$62	05-09 11:38
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 2 2026 28c	6	$64	76	58	+18	Yes	+$12	04-02 21:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 19:15 UTC	12	$61	122	20	+102	Up	-$59	03-03 19:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 19:30 UTC	1	$58	127	0	+127	Up	-$58	03-03 19:41
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 15:00 UTC	5	$57	50	43	+8	Up	+$19	03-12 15:14
highest temperature in san francisco on april 4 2026 78forhigher	3	$53	17	52	-34	Yes	+$49	04-05 00:47
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 29°C on May 8?	2	$51	50	50	+0	Yes	+$49	05-08 23:18
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 29?	6	$49	50	27	+23	Yes	+$5	04-30 01:06
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on April 29?	10	$46	299	25	+274	Yes	+$6	04-29 15:32
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 30?	7	$44	69	69	+0	No	+$24	04-30 14:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 21:57:01	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on June 15?	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x3d33c2…
06-14 16:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x673e2a…
06-08 22:06:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 8?	Yes	SELL	143	0¢	$0	0xbc903d…
06-08 20:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	143	2¢	$3	0xbbe3b9…
06-07 21:08:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	16	85¢	$14	0x32c960…
06-07 21:08:21	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xd50ab3…
06-07 21:08:21	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	92	84¢	$77	0xab5fda…
06-07 21:08:21	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x783ff9…
06-07 21:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	16	85¢	$14	0xcd9ab0…
05-14 07:17:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 14?	No	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xbb8985…
05-14 06:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on May 14?	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x38c3e3…
05-14 06:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 14?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x5f7d2f…
05-14 05:49:56	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 14?	No	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x0e11b1…
05-14 05:45:18	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 14?	No	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x1db31b…
05-14 05:27:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x275690…
05-14 05:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xdd62a6…
05-14 05:03:44	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 14?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x053981…
05-14 04:41:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 14?	No	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xc3b2a3…
05-14 04:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 14?	No	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0xbd7e78…
05-14 04:39:51	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 14?	No	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x177552…
05-14 04:39:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 14?	No	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xd14f1d…
05-14 03:36:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 14?	No	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x3a44a6…
05-14 03:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on May 14?	No	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xf0a3a5…
05-14 01:43:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xea38c9…
05-14 01:19:56	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on May 14?	No	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0x7f0e67…
05-14 01:19:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on May 14?	No	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x7ed10d…
05-14 00:54:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 14?	No	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x234111…
05-14 00:54:14	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 14?	No	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x720cfc…
05-14 00:53:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 14?	No	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0x807b51…
05-14 00:52:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?	No	BUY	6	40¢	$3	0xa2c8d6…
05-14 00:37:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 14?	No	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xa03c99…
05-14 00:07:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x369a77…
05-13 22:59:46	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xad8da3…
05-13 22:57:57	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x1d739b…
05-13 18:24:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x5be909…
05-13 18:01:23	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xcd0fb6…
05-13 17:54:13	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xbfea98…
05-13 17:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 13?	No	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xfd613e…
05-13 17:35:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on May 13?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1fa7df…
05-13 17:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on May 13?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x6a458a…
05-13 17:19:58	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xfb10e8…
05-13 17:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 13?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x6dfb17…
05-13 16:30:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 13?	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xe5645d…
05-13 16:29:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 13?	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xf2f3cd…
05-13 07:19:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x4f9001…
05-13 07:13:41	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C or below on May 13?	Yes	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x03e102…
05-13 02:36:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x34b296…
05-13 02:25:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x122756…
05-13 01:44:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xcedef7…
05-13 01:28:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xdb2ad2…
05-13 01:27:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0x9b314e…
05-13 00:59:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0xbd166a…
05-13 00:58:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x6d675a…
05-13 00:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x9f323d…
05-13 00:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	61	3¢	$2	0xd31e09…
05-13 00:22:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xb2a567…
05-13 00:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x82ce41…
05-12 23:40:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x0ab0a1…
05-12 23:11:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0x9f62c2…
05-12 23:08:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	58	3¢	$2	0xea6c4d…
05-12 22:37:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or below on May 13?	Yes	BUY	70	3¢	$2	0x212d8d…
05-12 22:32:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C or below on May 13?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xce2dba…
05-12 22:32:07	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0xf2ee4e…
05-12 22:15:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	116	1¢	$2	0x4b00e1…
05-12 22:14:37	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0x77032d…
05-12 22:08:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xb6d599…
05-12 22:02:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x2e6b71…
05-12 21:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C or below on May 13?	Yes	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0x1d5011…
05-12 19:30:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 12?	No	SELL	6	75¢	$5	0x7759ef…
05-12 17:58:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0xa2aeed…
05-12 17:32:56	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	63	3¢	$2	0x8766d1…
05-12 17:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on May 12?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x9a8c3b…
05-12 17:20:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 12?	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x60f159…
05-12 17:15:56	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or below on May 12?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xf209e4…
05-12 11:48:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x72690c…
05-12 11:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xdc792a…
05-12 10:33:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	63	3¢	$2	0x0874ec…
05-12 09:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x116a0d…
05-12 08:12:33	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 30°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xe600eb…
05-12 08:05:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xa7f556…
05-12 08:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0xe9443b…
05-12 08:03:59	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	108	2¢	$2	0x7b7057…
05-12 08:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0xd556eb…
05-12 07:38:19	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x7654f6…
05-12 07:38:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x26609c…
05-12 07:36:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x709b49…
05-12 07:31:31	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x08856d…
05-12 07:28:52	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x7e3629…
05-12 07:28:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	127	1¢	$2	0xd00ed1…
05-12 07:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	66	3¢	$2	0x11dd19…
05-12 05:52:58	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	74	3¢	$2	0x35c8f7…
05-12 05:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	61	3¢	$2	0x7e153e…
05-12 05:08:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	61	3¢	$2	0x782942…
05-12 05:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	90	2¢	$2	0x76403c…
05-12 04:45:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	71	3¢	$2	0x57d490…
05-12 04:31:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x6b7fce…
05-12 04:15:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xc77366…
05-12 04:09:53	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0xcbfdbe…
05-12 02:42:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0x8f4fdd…
05-12 02:38:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xd0e0ff…