Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C or below on May 13?
open
Total volume
$368
$1,185 in 24h
Trades
19
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$1,590
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-13 02:36
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $37 | $37 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $2 | $314 | $312 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $1 | $43 | $42 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $1 | $60 | $59 |
| Median | 4 | — | $160 | $160 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $29 | $29 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | — | $65 | $65 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 1 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enraged-Wire 0xef5d…d9b5 | No | +153 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-13 02:12 |
| Super-Lack 0xe1e3…d2da | No | +61 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-12 02:18 |
| Memorable-Castanet 0xecc8…9335 | No | +42 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-11 21:02 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +40 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 05-11 07:25 |
| Willing-Drill 0x3024…8ece | Yes | +27 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 17:07 |
| Keen-News 0x451a…3b01 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-11 13:43 |
| Glorious-Hammer 0x22be…ba43 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-12 18:52 |
| Ecstatic-Cholesterol 0xc969…0377 | Yes | +16 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 20:17 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-12 22:22 |
| Beloved-Knitting 0xd5ee…e90b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 22:33 |
| Shimmering-Mixture 0xb5ae…b4e8 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 20:00 |
| Hungry-Labor 0x7dc6…b32c | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 23:28 |
| Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 21:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xd568…2863 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 04:05 |
| Definite-Chiffonier 0xa768…0971 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 02:36 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 02:36:15 | Definite-Chiffonier 0xa768…0971 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x89ba18… |
| 05-13 02:12:32 | Enraged-Wire 0xef5d…d9b5 | No | BUY | 153 | 98¢ | $150 | 0x2d4fea… |
| 05-13 00:03:32 | (anonymous) 0x7d8d…010b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7f3f78… |
| 05-12 22:33:19 | Beloved-Knitting 0xd5ee…e90b | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x835764… |
| 05-12 22:22:44 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xc50598… |
| 05-12 22:21:44 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x1cb054… |
| 05-12 21:41:38 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xb92b63… |
| 05-12 20:47:44 | Nutty-Question 0x354b…284c | No | SELL | 9 | 94¢ | $9 | 0xf048d0… |
| 05-12 20:17:43 | Ecstatic-Cholesterol 0xc969…0377 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x8ee656… |
| 05-12 20:00:55 | Shimmering-Mixture 0xb5ae…b4e8 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x739928… |
| 05-12 18:52:23 | Glorious-Hammer 0x22be…ba43 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xb273c0… |
| 05-12 17:07:07 | Willing-Drill 0x3024…8ece | Yes | BUY | 27 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x30602f… |
| 05-12 16:32:04 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xbbbe54… |
| 05-12 04:05:59 | (anonymous) 0xd568…2863 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xb98d1c… |
| 05-12 02:18:02 | Super-Lack 0xe1e3…d2da | No | BUY | 61 | 98¢ | $60 | 0xe39552… |
| 05-11 23:28:05 | Hungry-Labor 0x7dc6…b32c | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x62c0e8… |
| 05-11 21:02:36 | Memorable-Castanet 0xecc8…9335 | No | BUY | 42 | 95¢ | $40 | 0x999471… |
| 05-11 13:43:14 | Keen-News 0x451a…3b01 | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $20 | 0x6ab29a… |
| 05-11 07:25:03 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 40 | 93¢ | $37 | 0x8f9d38… |