Nutty-Question — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$111

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.5%

Resolved

356

Trades

636

lifetime

Volume

$4.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 07-01 02:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 82% -$10

Other

35% 43% -$94

Sports

9% 43% -$1

Politics

2% 11% -$6

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 12?	4	$95	51	51	+0	Yes	+$1	05-12 04:54
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	2	$81	81	81	+0	Yes	+$79	05-06 14:46
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 13?	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	$0	05-12 07:29
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 7?	1	$67	137	0	+137	No	-$67	05-06 15:45
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on May 11?	2	$50	25	25	+0	Yes	+$0	05-11 22:08
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 74°F or higher on May 12?	2	$49	26	26	+0	Yes	-$1	05-12 00:40
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 12?	2	$46	23	23	+0	Yes	+$0	05-12 14:43
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 12?	2	$45	23	23	+0	No	+$1	05-12 18:15
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C or higher on May 13?	2	$43	22	22	+0	Yes	$0	05-13 05:19
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 13?	2	$43	25	25	+0	No	-$5	05-12 15:55
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on May 12?	2	$43	22	22	+0	No	+$2	05-12 15:27
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 12?	2	$42	21	21	+0	No	+$1	05-12 14:44
nba min den 2026 03 01 rebounds julius randle 6pt5	2	$38	29	29	+0	Yes	+$20	03-01 23:06
Thunder vs. Lakers	6	$37	55	27	+28	Thunder	+$4	05-12 05:25
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on May 12?	2	$37	19	19	+0	Yes	+$0	05-12 18:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 23:30 UTC	1	$37	45	0	+45	Down	-$37	02-28 23:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 23:20 UTC	1	$37	37	0	+37	Up	+$0	02-28 23:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 23:15 UTC	1	$35	37	0	+37	Up	+$1	02-28 23:19
nba chi lal 2026 03 12 assists lebron james 5pt5	2	$35	29	29	+0	Yes	+$22	03-13 05:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 23:05 UTC	1	$35	35	0	+35	Up	+$0	02-28 23:09
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on May 11?	2	$33	17	17	+0	Yes	$0	05-11 20:13
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 11?	2	$33	17	17	+0	Yes	+$0	05-11 18:32
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 5?	2	$32	28	28	+0	Yes	+$24	05-05 12:08
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on May 11?	2	$31	17	17	+0	Yes	+$2	05-11 16:26
fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 total 0pt5	3	$29	24	8	+16	Over	+$2	06-17 22:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 23:00 UTC	1	$29	35	0	+35	Down	+$6	02-28 23:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 22:55 UTC	1	$29	29	0	+29	Down	+$1	02-28 22:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 22:45 UTC	1	$28	29	0	+29	Up	+$0	02-28 22:48
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 11?	2	$28	14	14	+0	Yes	+$1	05-11 11:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 11:20 UTC	2	$28	14	14	+0	Up	+$0	02-28 11:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 02:19:25	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x3b52ce…
07-01 02:13:52	Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	14	67¢	$9	0xc526c5…
07-01 02:03:07	Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x9d62c6…
07-01 01:58:41	Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x132cad…
07-01 01:58:40	Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xde63a0…
06-30 04:21:17	Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xf8ca6d…
06-30 04:17:11	Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x02f1be…
06-25 04:47:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 25?	Yes	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xec2913…
06-25 04:47:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on June 25?	No	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x90e9d5…
06-25 04:47:17	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 25?	Yes	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0xe9c897…
06-25 04:47:14	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 25?	Yes	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x4cf7b9…
06-25 04:42:41	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 24?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xa9d4ac…
06-25 03:26:23	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 25?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x08aeaa…
06-25 03:25:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0xfc68ea…
06-25 03:23:52	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 24?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x400cf9…
06-25 03:23:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x7e0393…
06-25 03:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on June 25?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xe77ff5…
06-25 02:58:47	fifwc rsa kr 2026 06 24 total 1pt5	Under	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x9dee30…
06-25 02:58:07	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xfab37a…
06-25 02:56:22	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x30cd48…
06-25 02:54:32	fifwc rsa kr 2026 06 24 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x95c244…
06-25 02:53:43	fifwc cze mex 2026 06 24 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x81afd5…
06-25 02:30:05	fifwc cze mex 2026 06 24 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xdfc650…
06-25 02:29:26	fifwc cze mex 2026 06 24 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xe41b81…
06-25 02:28:59	fifwc cze mex 2026 06 24 total 0pt5	Over	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x1cc617…
06-24 23:59:19	fifwc cze mex 2026 06 24 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x2b4b86…
06-24 23:00:31	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x2a2d93…
06-24 22:20:16	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x215aba…
06-24 22:12:01	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 total 0pt5	Over	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x89e7c9…
06-24 20:59:13	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0xf3dd45…
06-24 20:57:02	Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Canada?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x29b14b…
06-24 20:44:59	Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 2 Canada?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xbfab00…
06-24 20:42:01	Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Canada?	Yes	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x70ff88…
06-24 18:25:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 18:20 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd3c5bb…
06-24 18:23:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x25de87…
06-24 18:22:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x7c38c8…
06-24 18:19:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 18:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x5661eb…
06-24 18:17:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xaa38b5…
06-24 07:07:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 07:05 UTC	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x94004a…
06-24 07:07:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x34bf75…
06-24 07:04:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 07:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x50c151…
06-24 07:02:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x005281…
06-24 06:51:56	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x857548…
06-18 01:55:32	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 team total away 0pt5	Over	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0xde4bb9…
06-18 01:18:11	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xe56fb4…
06-17 22:34:34	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0x625a8b…
06-17 22:19:34	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 total 0pt5	Over	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x4da36d…
06-17 21:08:07	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	8	90¢	$8	0x06473a…
06-17 20:22:47	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 team total home 0pt5	Over	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x0bf251…
06-17 17:51:43	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	8	82¢	$6	0x626c6f…
06-17 17:43:31	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 team total home 0pt5	Over	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xebf8cc…
06-17 07:14:41	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0x95a52e…
06-09 03:55:00	mlb wsh sf 2026 06 08	San Francisco Giants	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xe0aa9a…
06-09 02:47:31	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	14	68¢	$9	0x2f9409…
05-31 00:21:56	Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x20bc60…
05-31 00:21:28	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0xa78d5c…
05-31 00:12:37	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xfed402…
05-31 00:12:15	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	8	43¢	$3	0x2a0c83…
05-31 00:11:41	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	8	44¢	$3	0x254d54…
05-24 00:17:04	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x655b03…
05-24 00:16:26	Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa72f7d…
05-24 00:07:58	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0xaf2276…
05-23 09:22:13	Kashiwa Reysol vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x99617f…
05-23 04:45:04	Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 13.5	Over	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x264d7a…
05-23 04:42:00	Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x4aed43…
05-23 04:28:13	Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0xd49226…
05-23 01:11:17	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xfc0cde…
05-21 19:32:03	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xee4d41…
05-21 19:30:34	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x855acb…
05-21 17:43:52	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x76b326…
05-21 17:41:55	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xaebeb0…
05-21 17:37:19	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	4	37¢	$2	0x8a71d1…
05-21 17:21:06	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x60c4a3…
05-21 16:45:41	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x211146…
05-21 12:32:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 21?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x812560…
05-21 04:52:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 21?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x1ad8df…
05-21 04:51:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x91a291…
05-21 04:49:19	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on May 21?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xc562d9…
05-21 04:41:41	Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 15.5	Under	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdca245…
05-21 04:10:02	Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 15.5	Under	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x130f99…
05-21 04:08:52	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5	Under	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x66eb13…
05-21 03:33:38	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0xc15332…
05-21 03:33:15	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	Toronto Blue Jays	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x51f6f6…
05-21 03:30:55	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x732661…
05-21 03:30:12	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x330661…
05-21 03:14:30	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5	Yes	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0xcb402f…
05-21 03:14:16	Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 0.5	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbbd0c2…
05-20 21:24:56	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5	Yes	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x3159d4…
05-20 21:24:28	Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xee7854…
05-20 21:24:02	Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5	Yes	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0x9eed5b…
05-20 21:22:56	Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xcb70e4…
05-20 21:20:55	Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 0.5	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x51baef…
05-20 21:20:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 20?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xd8c215…
05-20 18:47:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x6b11b5…
05-20 18:45:12	Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xeedfb2…
05-20 18:39:43	Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xca20bc…
05-20 18:27:33	Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 12.5	Under	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x084183…
05-20 18:27:21	Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 11.5	Under	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x00779e…
05-20 18:27:03	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x445eaa…
05-20 18:26:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x75766b…