Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on May 13?
open
Total volume
$77
$181 in 24h
Trades
24
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$1,420
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-13 00:03
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $43 | $43 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $7 | $19 | $12 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $39 | $39 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 5 | $1 | $5 | $3 |
| Below median | 4 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $1 | $5 | $4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $2 | $5 | $3 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +31 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 22:15 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-12 23:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e30…9d35 | Yes | +25 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 16:06 |
| Gorgeous-Punishment 0xcdf4…b52e | Yes | +21 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 20:27 |
| Minor-Mom 0x5d7b…435c | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 00:04 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 07:25 |
| Honest-Bat 0x5dda…7e9c | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 22:21 |
| Uncomfortable-Oatmeal 0xf307…e380 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 03:13 |
| Unnatural-Tachometer-Reef 0xbcce…65af | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 22:07 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 07:31 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 00:03:27 | (anonymous) 0xf94e…4ffb | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x4d8944… |
| 05-13 00:03:20 | (anonymous) 0xf94e…4ffb | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x463956… |
| 05-12 23:21:51 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8b6fbb… |
| 05-12 23:21:51 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7800ce… |
| 05-12 23:21:51 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb3b29e… |
| 05-12 23:21:51 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x6cd9c4… |
| 05-12 23:21:51 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbb9de8… |
| 05-12 23:21:51 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb49f3e… |
| 05-12 23:21:51 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x935ffa… |
| 05-12 23:21:51 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x615ea1… |
| 05-12 22:21:37 | Honest-Bat 0x5dda…7e9c | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x113189… |
| 05-12 22:15:56 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 31 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xa2a182… |
| 05-12 22:07:51 | Unnatural-Tachometer-Reef 0xbcce…65af | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xeb95ba… |
| 05-12 20:27:49 | Gorgeous-Punishment 0xcdf4…b52e | Yes | BUY | 21 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xeb72a1… |
| 05-12 16:06:18 | (anonymous) 0x7e30…9d35 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x8236e2… |
| 05-12 16:06:15 | Dimpled-Jodhpurs 0x5bbf…002f | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x1c9b94… |
| 05-12 07:31:05 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x1459ec… |
| 05-12 03:13:50 | Uncomfortable-Oatmeal 0xf307…e380 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x198a6d… |
| 05-12 01:03:25 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x36eed6… |
| 05-12 00:04:01 | Minor-Mom 0x5d7b…435c | Yes | BUY | 17 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x39610d… |
| 05-12 00:02:17 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfadd08… |
| 05-11 18:31:24 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb20c04… |
| 05-11 18:31:24 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa6ba20… |
| 05-11 07:25:03 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0x7450f5… |