Elaborate-Fortnight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$839

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.9%

Resolved

1,181

Trades

1,406

lifetime

Volume

$39.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 10-31 14:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 169 days

Categories

Other

100% 92% -$839

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 23?	5	$296	210	100	+110	Yes	+$7	06-23 07:55
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 13?	13	$286	158	150	+8	Yes	-$6	06-13 11:49
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 24?	3	$239	256	0	+256	Yes	+$17	06-24 13:49
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 16?	3	$228	160	80	+80	Yes	+$7	06-16 14:55
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on May 5?	6	$176	192	5	+187	No	+$20	05-05 02:19
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 10?	6	$176	195	0	+195	No	+$19	05-09 14:41
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 16?	1	$150	157	0	+157	Yes	+$6	06-16 13:37
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 2?	1	$150	158	0	+158	Yes	-$150	06-01 08:20
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 3?	1	$150	158	0	+158	No	+$8	06-01 08:20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on June 10?	1	$150	155	0	+155	No	+$5	06-09 11:26
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 16?	1	$150	161	0	+161	No	+$11	06-15 22:51
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 23?	1	$150	160	0	+160	Yes	+$10	06-23 04:31
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 23?	1	$150	160	0	+160	Yes	+$10	06-23 04:31
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 16?	1	$150	158	0	+158	Yes	+$8	06-16 15:03
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 14?	1	$150	158	0	+158	Yes	-$150	06-12 16:46
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on June 18?	1	$150	165	0	+165	No	+$15	06-16 09:56
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on July 1?	1	$150	165	0	+165	Yes	-$150	06-29 05:42
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on May 31?	1	$150	165	0	+165	No	+$15	05-29 11:17
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on June 4?	1	$150	157	0	+157	No	+$7	06-03 02:37
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on May 25?	7	$150	167	0	+167	No	+$17	05-25 01:50
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on May 30?	2	$150	167	0	+167	No	+$17	05-29 19:30
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on June 6?	1	$150	155	0	+155	No	+$5	06-05 07:47
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on June 2?	1	$150	155	0	+155	No	+$5	06-01 08:20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 28?	1	$150	156	0	+156	No	+$6	06-26 06:27
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 29?	1	$150	156	0	+156	No	+$6	06-27 16:43
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on June 2?	1	$150	156	0	+156	No	+$6	06-01 08:18
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 76°F or higher on June 3?	1	$150	155	0	+155	No	+$5	06-01 08:20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on June 7?	1	$150	155	0	+155	No	+$5	06-06 05:35
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 30?	7	$150	161	0	+161	Yes	+$11	06-30 18:04
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C or below on May 26?	1	$150	167	0	+167	No	+$17	05-25 01:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 14:48:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x9395cc…
10-31 14:43:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	43	94¢	$41	0x846bae…
10-31 07:27:19	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0x753b95…
10-31 03:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on November 1?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0xfd1664…
10-31 01:53:03	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C or higher on November 1?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x042a3f…
10-30 23:11:37	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C or higher on October 31?	No	BUY	35	94¢	$33	0x3f0293…
10-30 14:20:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xce9e7e…
10-30 14:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xb81aaa…
10-30 14:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$12	0x475eab…
10-30 14:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x136d2c…
10-30 11:40:36	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x776677…
10-30 11:36:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x6c550a…
10-30 07:29:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xae6da5…
10-30 06:40:43	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	42	94¢	$40	0x41c715…
10-30 06:40:33	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x992cc4…
10-30 04:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on October 31?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xb12e12…
10-29 15:27:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x677c3a…
10-29 11:30:28	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x259d03…
10-29 09:16:56	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf5881c…
10-29 09:16:56	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on October 29?	No	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0xb2733a…
10-29 06:56:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0xfb6c07…
10-28 12:02:50	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xdb78bf…
10-28 12:02:50	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xafb0c9…
10-28 10:16:46	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x1c9434…
10-28 08:26:28	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x398fe8…
10-28 07:42:02	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 28?	No	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x688155…
10-28 06:30:29	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xbc4f8f…
10-28 06:24:01	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on October 28?	No	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x4c1f52…
10-27 15:24:54	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0xf3964c…
10-27 13:36:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	43	95¢	$40	0xe12b98…
10-27 11:30:11	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	37	94¢	$34	0x2e8639…
10-27 09:46:59	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C or higher on October 27?	No	BUY	42	94¢	$40	0x1e745e…
10-27 06:38:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x6a4eee…
10-27 05:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x3fa6de…
10-26 19:36:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x4a07b3…
10-26 17:29:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xf3d618…
10-26 13:39:15	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	41	96¢	$40	0x13cd8a…
10-26 11:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x27a7a7…
10-26 09:36:54	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0xbfeca7…
10-26 00:42:18	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on October 27?	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0xa0a052…
10-26 00:42:17	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on October 27?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xf493f7…
10-25 16:57:03	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 25?	No	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0x08a4d6…
10-25 11:30:42	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x531c4c…
10-25 07:27:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	42	97¢	$40	0x218626…
10-25 05:43:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xa7e0a1…
10-25 04:28:53	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x5d4256…
10-24 09:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on October 24?	No	BUY	42	93¢	$39	0xb89f7b…
10-24 09:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x6e6282…
10-24 07:36:00	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on October 24?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$29	0xf4426c…
10-24 07:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on October 24?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xeb611f…
10-24 06:41:08	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 24?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0x12b385…
10-23 05:44:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	43	96¢	$41	0xffde20…
10-22 14:15:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xa2c884…
10-22 12:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	41	94¢	$39	0x8942e6…
10-22 08:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C or higher on October 24?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0x5152a1…
10-22 07:55:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C or higher on October 23?	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x348a7d…
10-20 06:37:20	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	43	95¢	$41	0x35c889…
10-20 06:06:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	39	94¢	$37	0x4e9d60…
10-20 04:42:20	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C or higher on October 21?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x064c41…
10-20 04:21:42	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x25a6de…
10-20 04:06:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x4a69a1…
10-20 01:43:17	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x2cac91…
10-19 04:36:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x2a8e0e…
10-19 04:07:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x5b5fdf…
10-18 19:45:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on October 18?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xccbcd4…
10-18 14:21:17	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 15°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$14	0x664e3a…
10-18 13:54:57	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C or higher on October 20?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x666625…
10-18 13:54:57	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C or higher on October 20?	No	BUY	18	93¢	$16	0x663a9c…
10-18 13:15:23	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5a0267…
10-18 10:49:27	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on October 19?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0x28985a…
10-18 09:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or higher on October 19?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$5	0xa25b62…
10-17 10:06:17	highest temperature in cape town on october 18 2026 19corhigher	No	BUY	31	97¢	$31	0x7e2a10…
10-17 09:44:21	highest temperature in toronto on october 18 2026 19corhigher	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x245b02…
10-17 08:21:32	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x77e5ba…
10-17 06:40:35	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x399e66…
10-17 02:41:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x38da91…
10-16 20:23:47	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 77°F or below on October 16?	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x2634c7…
10-16 18:47:17	highest temperature in los angeles on october 17 2026 96forhigher	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x34ac3d…
10-16 06:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x776a6c…
10-16 06:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xa2ae3e…
10-16 05:06:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 100°F or higher on October 16?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xf1fd97…
10-16 03:08:25	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 100°F or higher on October 16?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x9de950…
10-16 01:42:03	highest temperature in los angeles on october 17 2026 96forhigher	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x594ca7…
10-16 01:42:03	highest temperature in los angeles on october 17 2026 96forhigher	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x543bb2…
10-15 12:46:26	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C or higher on October 15?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x67a75d…
10-15 11:22:24	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xdf22eb…
10-15 06:47:23	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xf45bbb…
10-15 06:47:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x3cb814…
10-15 03:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xb74d9b…
10-15 00:45:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 100°F or higher on October 16?	No	BUY	26	94¢	$24	0x5dda25…
10-15 00:45:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 100°F or higher on October 16?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x219289…
10-14 14:25:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x422dcd…
10-14 14:13:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xbc2b11…
10-14 13:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0x233895…
10-14 10:53:26	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on October 15?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x64427c…
10-14 05:49:52	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on October 16?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xa07f87…
10-13 13:23:55	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	42	97¢	$40	0xc06acc…
10-13 07:27:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0xd1478a…
10-13 05:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on October 15?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x171522…
10-12 16:41:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 63°F or below on October 14?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5890fc…