Elaborate-Fortnight — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$102

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

95.4%

Resolved (90d)

441

Trades (90d)

499

1,452 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$14.7K

$41.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$146

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 11-11 15:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 180 days

Categories

Other

100% 92% -$843

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on November 11?	No	+42	$40	100¢	$42	+$2	11-11 15:25
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on November 12?	No	+42	$40	97¢	$40	+$0	11-11 08:30
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on November 13?	No	+42	$40	90¢	$38	-$2	11-11 15:56
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on November 13?	No	+25	$24	84¢	$21	-$3	11-11 08:56
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C or higher on November 11?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	11-10 12:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 23?	5	$296	210	100	+110	Yes	+$7	06-23 07:55
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 13?	13	$286	158	150	+8	Yes	-$6	06-13 11:49
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 24?	3	$239	256	0	+256	Yes	+$17	06-24 13:49
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 16?	3	$228	160	80	+80	Yes	+$7	06-16 14:55
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on May 5?	6	$176	192	5	+187	No	+$20	05-05 02:19
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 10?	6	$176	195	0	+195	No	+$19	05-09 14:41
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 16?	1	$150	157	0	+157	Yes	+$6	06-16 13:37
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 2?	1	$150	158	0	+158	Yes	-$150	06-01 08:20
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 3?	1	$150	158	0	+158	No	+$8	06-01 08:20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on June 10?	1	$150	155	0	+155	No	+$5	06-09 11:26
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 16?	1	$150	161	0	+161	No	+$11	06-15 22:51
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 23?	1	$150	160	0	+160	Yes	+$10	06-23 04:31
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 23?	1	$150	160	0	+160	Yes	+$10	06-23 04:31
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 16?	1	$150	158	0	+158	Yes	+$8	06-16 15:03
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 14?	1	$150	158	0	+158	Yes	-$150	06-12 16:46
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on June 18?	1	$150	165	0	+165	No	+$15	06-16 09:56
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on July 1?	1	$150	165	0	+165	Yes	-$150	06-29 05:42
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on May 31?	1	$150	165	0	+165	No	+$15	05-29 11:17
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on June 4?	1	$150	157	0	+157	No	+$7	06-03 02:37
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on May 25?	7	$150	167	0	+167	No	+$17	05-25 01:50
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on May 30?	2	$150	167	0	+167	No	+$17	05-29 19:30
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on June 6?	1	$150	155	0	+155	No	+$5	06-05 07:47
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on June 2?	1	$150	155	0	+155	No	+$5	06-01 08:20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 28?	1	$150	156	0	+156	No	+$6	06-26 06:27
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 29?	1	$150	156	0	+156	No	+$6	06-27 16:43
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on June 2?	1	$150	156	0	+156	No	+$6	06-01 08:18
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 76°F or higher on June 3?	1	$150	155	0	+155	No	+$5	06-01 08:20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on June 7?	1	$150	155	0	+155	No	+$5	06-06 05:35
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 30?	7	$150	161	0	+161	Yes	+$11	06-30 18:04
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C or below on May 26?	1	$150	167	0	+167	No	+$17	05-25 01:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 15:56:31	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on November 13?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xc18e00…
11-11 15:25:15	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on November 11?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x47f40b…
11-11 12:44:12	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	43	95¢	$40	0x5c07bf…
11-11 08:56:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on November 13?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xb63bad…
11-11 08:30:19	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on November 12?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x9b316d…
11-11 07:22:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on November 11?	No	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0x663926…
11-11 05:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x8be945…
11-11 02:33:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0xe28e03…
11-10 12:27:40	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x97ae1a…
11-10 12:27:24	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C or higher on November 11?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf8cd4b…
11-09 12:51:42	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x7eb706…
11-09 06:37:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0xcd9dd6…
11-09 06:37:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x854c49…
11-09 06:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	42	97¢	$40	0x006740…
11-09 06:10:55	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on November 10?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0xbb4a74…
11-08 14:30:16	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C or higher on November 10?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x71134e…
11-08 07:32:28	highest temperature in beijing on november 10 2026 17corhigher	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x84dc9f…
11-08 06:48:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x0040ce…
11-08 01:59:07	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on November 9?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x12a5a1…
11-07 14:18:43	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C or higher on November 9?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$39	0x814cdd…
11-07 12:08:16	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xebcacd…
11-06 03:53:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x25a611…
11-06 03:53:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x0d560a…
11-05 15:17:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x4cf40e…
11-05 11:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on November 5?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0xd553db…
11-05 11:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on November 5?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x4d58a7…
11-05 09:15:15	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on November 5?	No	BUY	35	95¢	$34	0x1658e7…
11-05 06:57:37	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C or higher on November 6?	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0xb6cd36…
11-05 04:55:15	highest temperature in mexico city on november 6 2026 27corhigher	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc58e3f…
11-04 15:22:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x2a3407…
11-04 11:55:39	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on November 4?	No	BUY	36	96¢	$35	0x1bd80d…
11-04 11:55:37	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on November 4?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6ac986…
11-04 11:55:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x0edf4c…
11-04 09:09:42	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on November 4?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xfba9bb…
11-04 07:30:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on November 4?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x9e1745…
11-04 01:54:21	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C or higher on November 5?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf9d1b8…
11-04 01:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or below on November 5?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x35e48b…
11-03 13:37:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	42	97¢	$40	0x674e5d…
11-03 10:39:12	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on November 3?	No	BUY	39	94¢	$37	0xff2b7f…
11-03 06:19:54	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on November 3?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x097de2…
11-02 06:24:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xcf53d9…
11-02 01:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 29°C or higher on November 3?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xd92e45…
11-01 12:02:04	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x8e02f7…
11-01 09:31:21	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xc29567…
11-01 07:47:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on November 1?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x3f5eca…
11-01 07:47:27	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on November 1?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1937d6…
11-01 06:43:09	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	42	97¢	$40	0xddc2da…
11-01 03:23:45	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on November 1?	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x707830…
11-01 01:16:58	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on November 2?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x01e638…
10-31 14:48:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x9395cc…
10-31 14:43:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	43	94¢	$41	0x846bae…
10-31 07:27:19	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0x753b95…
10-31 03:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on November 1?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0xfd1664…
10-31 01:53:03	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C or higher on November 1?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x042a3f…
10-30 23:11:37	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C or higher on October 31?	No	BUY	35	94¢	$33	0x3f0293…
10-30 14:20:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xce9e7e…
10-30 14:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xb81aaa…
10-30 14:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$12	0x475eab…
10-30 14:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x136d2c…
10-30 11:40:36	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x776677…
10-30 11:36:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x6c550a…
10-30 07:29:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xae6da5…
10-30 06:40:43	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	42	94¢	$40	0x41c715…
10-30 06:40:33	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x992cc4…
10-30 04:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on October 31?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xb12e12…
10-29 15:27:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x677c3a…
10-29 11:30:28	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x259d03…
10-29 09:16:56	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf5881c…
10-29 09:16:56	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on October 29?	No	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0xb2733a…
10-29 06:56:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0xfb6c07…
10-28 12:02:50	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xdb78bf…
10-28 12:02:50	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xafb0c9…
10-28 10:16:46	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x1c9434…
10-28 08:26:28	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x398fe8…
10-28 07:42:02	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 28?	No	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x688155…
10-28 06:30:29	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xbc4f8f…
10-28 06:24:01	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on October 28?	No	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x4c1f52…
10-27 15:24:54	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0xf3964c…
10-27 13:36:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	43	95¢	$40	0xe12b98…
10-27 11:30:11	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	37	94¢	$34	0x2e8639…
10-27 09:46:59	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C or higher on October 27?	No	BUY	42	94¢	$40	0x1e745e…
10-27 06:38:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x6a4eee…
10-27 05:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x3fa6de…
10-26 19:36:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x4a07b3…
10-26 17:29:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xf3d618…
10-26 13:39:15	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	41	96¢	$40	0x13cd8a…
10-26 11:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x27a7a7…
10-26 09:36:54	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0xbfeca7…
10-26 00:42:18	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on October 27?	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0xa0a052…
10-26 00:42:17	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on October 27?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xf493f7…
10-25 16:57:03	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 25?	No	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0x08a4d6…
10-25 11:30:42	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x531c4c…
10-25 07:27:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	42	97¢	$40	0x218626…
10-25 05:43:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xa7e0a1…
10-25 04:28:53	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x5d4256…
10-24 09:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on October 24?	No	BUY	42	93¢	$39	0xb89f7b…
10-24 09:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x6e6282…
10-24 07:36:00	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on October 24?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$29	0xf4426c…
10-24 07:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on October 24?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xeb611f…
10-24 06:41:08	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 24?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0x12b385…