Scaly-Lung-Tadpole — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$359

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.4%

Resolved

586

Trades

1,590

lifetime

Volume

$13.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 10-17 00:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 38% +$359

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 655 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 8am et	10	$319	289	252	+37	Down	+$83	10-14 12:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	4	$138	107	107	+0	Up	+$18	06-01 16:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	7	$117	130	130	+0	Up	-$3	10-15 10:29
bitcoin up or down august 5 2026 11am et	4	$110	127	127	+0	Down	+$30	08-05 15:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:20 UTC	5	$110	138	124	+14	Down	+$35	10-17 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	4	$106	89	89	+0	Up	+$6	06-01 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	3	$106	95	95	+0	Down	+$66	05-20 05:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:15 UTC	6	$105	83	83	+0	Down	+$25	10-15 08:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:35 UTC	3	$105	86	86	+0	Down	+$17	10-16 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	3	$105	124	62	+62	Up	-$15	10-15 13:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	4	$101	77	77	+0	Up	+$21	10-12 23:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8AM ET	2	$100	196	0	+196	Down	+$0	10-15 11:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:20 UTC	6	$100	82	82	+0	Up	+$40	10-15 07:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:30 UTC	6	$98	104	77	+26	Up	+$14	10-15 06:33
Ethereum Up or Down on October 15?	7	$97	197	197	+0	Up	-$3	10-15 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	4	$96	77	77	+0	Down	+$22	10-15 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11PM ET	5	$94	147	67	+80	Down	+$22	07-29 03:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:25 UTC	3	$92	65	65	+0	Down	+$32	10-15 03:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:20 UTC	4	$91	74	74	+0	Down	+$21	10-15 08:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1AM ET	13	$88	105	95	+11	Up	+$22	10-16 05:53
bitcoin up or down august 6 2026 9am et	5	$85	99	99	+0	Up	-$5	08-06 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8PM ET	3	$85	67	67	+0	Up	+$25	10-16 00:44
bitcoin up or down august 7 2026 11am et	4	$84	60	60	+0	Down	+$29	08-07 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	8	$84	58	58	+0	Up	+$24	06-01 15:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:10 UTC	5	$83	64	64	+0	Up	+$23	10-15 06:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:10 UTC	4	$83	88	65	+23	Down	+$17	10-15 03:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	6	$83	116	103	+13	Down	+$43	10-15 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	3	$83	99	57	+42	Up	+$13	06-01 16:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:40 UTC	3	$82	70	70	+0	Up	+$22	10-16 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	6	$81	69	69	+0	Down	+$23	10-15 15:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 00:38:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:40 UTC	Up	SELL	29	47¢	$14	0x200591…
10-17 00:37:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x4bf79a…
10-17 00:37:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:35 UTC	Up	SELL	17	85¢	$15	0xf05a9e…
10-17 00:35:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x6b16d0…
10-17 00:28:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x3be005…
10-17 00:23:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x997028…
10-17 00:23:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:20 UTC	Up	SELL	31	67¢	$21	0x251c0d…
10-17 00:22:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:20 UTC	Up	SELL	31	72¢	$22	0x374a44…
10-17 00:21:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:20 UTC	Up	SELL	62	47¢	$29	0x4bd1d1…
10-17 00:20:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	124	26¢	$32	0x4dab69…
10-17 00:19:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0xb538c4…
10-17 00:11:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x1f7d28…
10-17 00:09:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:05 UTC	Down	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x684a9b…
10-17 00:07:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xf59029…
10-17 00:06:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x9898a0…
10-16 16:17:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:15 UTC	Up	SELL	40	59¢	$23	0xacf9d5…
10-16 16:14:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xa606cb…
10-16 16:12:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xcd2d8a…
10-16 16:11:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 16:00 UTC	Up	SELL	19	87¢	$17	0x6378ca…
10-16 16:11:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 16:00 UTC	Up	SELL	19	82¢	$16	0x7b851d…
10-16 16:10:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:10 UTC	Up	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x3182e4…
10-16 16:10:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:10 UTC	Up	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xa336fa…
10-16 16:08:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x2bed7d…
10-16 16:02:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0xa812a9…
10-16 16:00:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	56	68¢	$38	0xb3846d…
10-16 15:59:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x1fd134…
10-16 15:58:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x26534d…
10-16 15:57:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:55 UTC	Down	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x206e1d…
10-16 15:56:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:55 UTC	Down	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x87c10a…
10-16 15:53:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x2ce383…
10-16 15:49:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	65	51¢	$33	0x5355fc…
10-16 15:48:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:45 UTC	Up	SELL	30	74¢	$22	0x122d80…
10-16 15:44:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x243f1e…
10-16 15:44:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:40 UTC	Up	SELL	35	93¢	$32	0x4b5a70…
10-16 15:44:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:40 UTC	Up	SELL	35	57¢	$20	0x5d9ec8…
10-16 15:39:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0xef7b21…
10-16 15:39:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:35 UTC	Up	SELL	43	78¢	$34	0x841bca…
10-16 15:38:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:35 UTC	Up	SELL	43	64¢	$27	0x2ae869…
10-16 15:32:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:30 UTC	Up	SELL	15	82¢	$12	0x2d6510…
10-16 15:32:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	86	51¢	$44	0xb26696…
10-16 15:31:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:30 UTC	Up	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0x8d71cb…
10-16 15:29:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0xf3efc7…
10-16 15:27:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x57cedc…
10-16 15:12:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2188fa…
10-16 15:09:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x428121…
10-16 15:08:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0xe126bf…
10-16 15:05:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:05 UTC	Down	SELL	26	94¢	$24	0x275fa7…
10-16 15:05:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:05 UTC	Down	SELL	26	82¢	$21	0x333f87…
10-16 15:02:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	52	50¢	$26	0xc84df1…
10-16 15:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x7f4638…
10-16 14:58:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xf8108e…
10-16 14:57:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:55 UTC	Down	SELL	25	64¢	$16	0x55d998…
10-16 14:57:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:55 UTC	Down	SELL	25	68¢	$17	0x40e861…
10-16 14:53:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x8179dc…
10-16 13:15:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xfd16b7…
10-16 13:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xfa655f…
10-16 12:37:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x347d1f…
10-16 12:33:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:30 UTC	Up	SELL	21	92¢	$19	0xbd8f7d…
10-16 12:33:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:30 UTC	Up	SELL	21	82¢	$17	0x5bd250…
10-16 12:32:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0x2031e7…
10-16 12:30:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x7b8b56…
10-16 12:22:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x35d5cc…
10-16 12:22:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:20 UTC	Up	SELL	15	89¢	$13	0x2dd963…
10-16 12:22:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:20 UTC	Up	SELL	15	81¢	$12	0xe3408e…
10-16 12:19:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x18ba1c…
10-16 12:18:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xc9d8a4…
10-16 12:18:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:15 UTC	Up	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0xcfc425…
10-16 12:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0x811cf7…
10-16 12:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x65b73f…
10-16 12:16:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x2428b5…
10-16 12:15:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:15 UTC	Down	SELL	15	86¢	$13	0xe95a0d…
10-16 12:15:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:15 UTC	Down	SELL	15	88¢	$13	0x2d7df8…
10-16 12:12:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x06aae9…
10-16 12:11:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:10 UTC	Down	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x42a306…
10-16 12:11:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:10 UTC	Down	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x9d759f…
10-16 12:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x54d7d1…
10-16 12:08:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x97d156…
10-16 12:08:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:05 UTC	Down	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0x82d148…
10-16 12:08:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:05 UTC	Down	SELL	30	77¢	$23	0xaca0e9…
10-16 12:02:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xa18fd0…
10-16 12:02:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x7165c6…
10-16 12:01:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	9	81¢	$7	0xab39d0…
10-16 12:00:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x8db3f5…
10-16 11:59:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xeeb0c2…
10-16 11:53:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:50 UTC	Down	SELL	14	92¢	$13	0x4547a1…
10-16 11:52:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:50 UTC	Down	SELL	14	83¢	$11	0xc4b4ec…
10-16 11:51:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x32443a…
10-16 11:50:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x34a11e…
10-16 11:50:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x80fa9a…
10-16 11:48:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	14	79¢	$11	0x9d838d…
10-16 11:45:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	14	69¢	$9	0xda0401…
10-16 11:44:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x17f507…
10-16 11:38:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:35 UTC	Down	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x4a6490…
10-16 11:37:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xcea611…
10-16 11:37:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:35 UTC	Down	SELL	11	83¢	$9	0x9ee929…
10-16 11:36:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xc6ac2b…
10-16 11:31:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:30 UTC	Up	SELL	27	16¢	$4	0x6075cb…
10-16 11:29:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x66d3c7…
10-16 08:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xa95201…
10-16 08:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	22	30¢	$7	0x4354ac…