Quirky-Rostrum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.2%

Resolved

Trades

235

lifetime

Volume

$236

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 05-18 14:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

69% 0% $-0

Crypto

21% 94% $-1

Politics

9% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	34	$33	17	16	+1	open	—	04-27 18:36
will bryson dechambeau win the 2026 masters tournament	18	$21	11	10	+1	open	—	04-10 20:14
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	16	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	04-24 19:23
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	10	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-14 21:54
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	12	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-14 16:41
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	12	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-22 16:14
will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	11	$12	25	25	+0	open	—	04-07 16:37
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	8	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	04-17 13:47
will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-10 18:13
cs2 vit fal2 2026 04 15	8	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	04-15 19:56
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$-0	04-17 12:32
btc updown 5m 1776714300	4	$4	4	3	+0	open	—	04-20 19:49
will gary woodland win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-10 16:23
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-15 20:24
xrp updown 5m 1776356700	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	04-16 16:28
doge updown 5m 1776354900	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	04-16 15:58
btc updown 5m 1776710700	3	$3	4	2	+2	open	—	04-20 18:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	3	$2	15	11	+5	open	—	05-18 14:49
cricipl che kol 2026 04 14	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-14 19:56
btc updown 5m 1776780300	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-21 14:07
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-29 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	3	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 15:05
will adam scott win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-10 19:55
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-12 20:51
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$-0	04-21 17:48
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-12 20:51
arg rie iac 2026 04 11 total 2pt5	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-11 19:52
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-26 16:59
Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-12 17:31
cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 04 17	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-17 14:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 14:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0xee69bb…
05-18 14:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xdf3b8d…
05-18 14:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4d383a…
05-18 14:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xa00cb6…
05-18 14:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x33de86…
05-15 17:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x692a60…
05-15 17:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xba382c…
05-13 17:13:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfd0a08…
05-12 14:13:40	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x91e2f7…
05-12 14:09:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb0d5b9…
05-11 17:48:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbf4b68…
05-11 16:59:45	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc237fa…
05-11 16:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfc5755…
05-11 16:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa59139…
05-11 16:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe11f0f…
05-11 15:19:39	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x14553c…
05-08 16:54:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x36da84…
05-08 16:49:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x3f0afb…
05-08 16:39:54	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1af49f…
05-08 15:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x43e6d7…
05-08 15:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7a04bf…
05-08 15:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf49fda…
05-08 15:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x085178…
05-08 15:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x744e41…
05-08 14:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x20a8af…
05-08 14:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1ef388…
05-08 14:03:48	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x901ddc…
05-08 13:15:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xb5d04f…
05-06 16:57:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x4a9e36…
04-29 18:53:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8fb84a…
04-29 18:53:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x854100…
04-29 15:29:38	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x23bb29…
04-29 13:34:46	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0x59f84d…
04-29 13:31:58	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xc2515f…
04-27 18:36:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x65e6b8…
04-27 18:35:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xed9fd0…
04-27 18:24:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x51733c…
04-27 18:23:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1d67cc…
04-27 18:03:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa05bb3…
04-27 18:02:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x664144…
04-27 17:59:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x31dcf5…
04-27 17:56:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2172f6…
04-27 17:38:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x631b80…
04-27 17:38:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x57a1d7…
04-27 17:30:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x06d855…
04-26 17:01:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0xdaf3c6…
04-26 17:01:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x904dbf…
04-26 16:59:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x93f2ac…
04-26 16:59:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa0976e…
04-24 19:23:14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4c260a…
04-24 19:21:14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3da6d5…
04-24 19:19:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0e66c3…
04-24 19:09:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x37a02a…
04-24 19:09:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc54a42…
04-24 19:08:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa187b8…
04-24 17:52:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xaaf0bd…
04-24 17:51:50	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x35e841…
04-24 17:51:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0bc3ad…
04-24 17:50:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1142c9…
04-24 17:39:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x731ddf…
04-24 17:39:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4301b2…
04-24 17:38:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd03172…
04-24 17:38:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0779b2…
04-23 20:33:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x99a29e…
04-23 20:32:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3838f8…
04-22 16:14:52	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0f44f6…
04-22 16:03:12	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x12aa36…
04-22 15:47:24	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbcf4c5…
04-22 15:46:42	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6854f1…
04-22 15:30:26	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd65cb3…
04-22 15:29:00	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa08cd3…
04-22 14:56:50	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x35aeb5…
04-22 14:56:04	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x989125…
04-22 14:55:34	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf50d7f…
04-22 14:00:28	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb11295…
04-22 13:59:34	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x463e4d…
04-22 13:59:20	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb46b22…
04-21 17:48:34	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd49d9c…
04-21 17:27:12	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x34cde9…
04-21 14:07:36	btc updown 5m 1776780300	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x852432…
04-21 14:07:12	btc updown 5m 1776780300	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x5cd2af…
04-20 19:49:48	btc updown 5m 1776714300	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x751b02…
04-20 19:48:30	btc updown 5m 1776714300	Down	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xa247c0…
04-20 19:47:56	btc updown 5m 1776714300	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x9500fc…
04-20 19:47:40	btc updown 5m 1776714300	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x178707…
04-20 18:47:04	btc updown 5m 1776710700	Up	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x0a7a6a…
04-20 18:46:40	btc updown 5m 1776710700	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3a1b7c…
04-20 18:46:26	btc updown 5m 1776710700	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1bddc6…
04-20 14:42:38	btc updown 5m 1776696000	Up	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x18eb8c…
04-20 14:41:02	btc updown 5m 1776696000	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xbb857b…
04-20 14:34:12	btc updown 5m 1776695400	Up	SELL	1	38¢	$1	0x208af2…
04-20 14:33:36	btc updown 5m 1776695400	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xee5e5b…
04-17 14:28:36	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 04 17	Spirit	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x1d0d27…
04-17 14:28:10	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 04 17	Spirit	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x36f66f…
04-17 14:27:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x03843e…
04-17 14:26:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc3188b…
04-17 13:51:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe95a35…
04-17 13:47:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc0468a…
04-17 13:47:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8ab754…
04-17 13:46:58	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x999aa8…