Quirky-Rostrum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

14.3%

Resolved

Trades

280

lifetime

Volume

$291

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 05-18 14:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Other

70% 12% -$4

Crypto

18% 70% -$7

Politics

12% 0% $0

Sports

1% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	45	$44	22	22	+0	Yes	$0	04-29 18:35
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	16	$22	11	11	+0	Yes	$0	05-04 18:30
will bryson dechambeau win the 2026 masters tournament	18	$21	11	10	+1	No	$0	04-10 20:14
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	18	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	05-08 16:39
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	16	$14	7	7	+0	No	$0	04-24 19:23
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	12	$12	6	6	+0	Yes	$0	04-14 16:41
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	12	$12	6	6	+0	Yes	$0	04-22 16:14
will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	11	$12	25	25	+0	No	$0	04-07 16:37
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	8	$9	5	5	+0	No	$0	04-17 13:47
will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$8	4	4	+0	No	$0	04-10 18:13
cs2 vit fal2 2026 04 15	8	$8	7	7	+0	Team Falcons	$0	04-15 19:56
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-04 19:49
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-04 20:40
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	04-17 12:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 19:45 UTC	4	$4	4	3	+0	Up	+$0	04-20 19:49
will gary woodland win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	04-10 16:23
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	3	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	04-15 20:24
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 16:25 UTC	3	$3	2	1	+1	Up	+$0	04-16 16:28
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 15:55 UTC	3	$3	2	1	+1	Up	+$0	04-16 15:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 18:45 UTC	3	$3	4	2	+2	Up	-$1	04-20 18:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	3	$2	15	11	+5	Down	-$1	05-18 14:49
cricipl che kol 2026 04 14	2	$2	1	1	+0	Chennai Super Kings	+$0	04-14 19:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 14:05 UTC	2	$2	3	0	+3	Up	-$2	04-21 14:07
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-08 14:02
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	04-29 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	3	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 15:05
will adam scott win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	04-10 19:55
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	04-12 20:51
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	04-12 20:51
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	04-26 16:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 14:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0xee69bb…
05-18 14:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xdf3b8d…
05-18 14:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4d383a…
05-18 14:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xa00cb6…
05-18 14:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x33de86…
05-15 17:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x692a60…
05-15 17:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xba382c…
05-13 17:13:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfd0a08…
05-12 14:13:40	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x91e2f7…
05-12 14:09:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb0d5b9…
05-11 17:48:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbf4b68…
05-11 16:59:45	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc237fa…
05-11 16:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfc5755…
05-11 16:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa59139…
05-11 16:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe11f0f…
05-11 15:19:39	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x14553c…
05-08 16:54:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x36da84…
05-08 16:49:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x3f0afb…
05-08 16:39:54	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1af49f…
05-08 16:39:40	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc60c74…
05-08 16:39:26	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x845dc2…
05-08 16:00:32	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xffbae8…
05-08 16:00:23	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x150759…
05-08 15:56:55	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf09a1f…
05-08 15:56:46	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xce990c…
05-08 15:56:32	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf370f2…
05-08 15:56:02	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x139e8e…
05-08 15:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x43e6d7…
05-08 15:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7a04bf…
05-08 15:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x16c040…
05-08 15:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x37008d…
05-08 15:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf49fda…
05-08 15:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x085178…
05-08 15:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x744e41…
05-08 14:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x20a8af…
05-08 14:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1ef388…
05-08 14:03:48	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x901ddc…
05-08 14:02:07	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0b6ed0…
05-08 13:17:16	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x47ccec…
05-08 13:15:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xb5d04f…
05-06 16:57:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x4a9e36…
05-04 20:40:58	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0ad081…
05-04 20:40:34	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf42b47…
05-04 20:38:38	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x387396…
05-04 20:33:52	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2e923d…
05-04 20:33:46	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbc1d68…
05-04 19:49:34	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xda7f21…
05-04 19:49:10	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0xd95251…
05-04 18:33:40	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x48d880…
05-04 18:30:14	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x2de265…
05-04 18:29:52	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe1dbe4…
05-04 16:13:56	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x488320…
05-04 16:13:14	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcf9395…
05-04 16:13:00	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x808507…
05-04 16:05:40	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc98912…
05-04 13:45:58	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa49b0a…
05-04 12:56:50	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7febc6…
04-29 18:53:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8fb84a…
04-29 18:53:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x854100…
04-29 18:47:12	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xce4825…
04-29 18:41:26	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf14193…
04-29 18:39:32	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb9824e…
04-29 18:37:08	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x91c69a…
04-29 18:35:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe82488…
04-29 18:35:24	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xba969f…
04-29 18:31:00	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x76dbd0…
04-29 16:15:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6bb724…
04-29 15:29:38	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x23bb29…
04-29 13:34:46	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0x59f84d…
04-29 13:31:58	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xc2515f…
04-29 13:31:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x06878a…
04-29 13:27:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xab1985…
04-29 13:26:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa0c88d…
04-29 13:18:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5e8174…
04-29 13:06:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa23fee…
04-29 00:49:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf4972a…
04-29 00:47:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd9361b…
04-28 16:35:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9e72a1…
04-28 16:14:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x047ed6…
04-27 18:36:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x65e6b8…
04-27 18:35:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xed9fd0…
04-27 18:24:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x51733c…
04-27 18:23:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1d67cc…
04-27 18:03:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa05bb3…
04-27 18:02:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x664144…
04-27 17:59:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x31dcf5…
04-27 17:56:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2172f6…
04-27 17:38:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x631b80…
04-27 17:38:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x57a1d7…
04-27 17:30:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x06d855…
04-26 17:01:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0xdaf3c6…
04-26 17:01:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x904dbf…
04-26 16:59:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x93f2ac…
04-26 16:59:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa0976e…
04-24 19:23:14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4c260a…
04-24 19:21:14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3da6d5…
04-24 19:19:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0e66c3…
04-24 19:09:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x37a02a…
04-24 19:09:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc54a42…
04-24 19:08:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa187b8…