Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.43K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.0%

Resolved

Trades

170

lifetime

Volume

$77.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$454

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 04-08 06:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Politics

87% 91% -$1,604

Other

13% 100% +$172

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-08).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$4.8K	2,381	2,381	+0	Yes	-$2	03-01 20:50
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	6	$3.6K	1,809	1,809	+0	Yes	-$46	01-31 03:20
will iran strike israel on march 3	8	$2.5K	1,839	1,185	+654	Yes	-$308	03-03 19:44
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$2.3K	2,323	2,323	+0	Yes	-$2,283	04-08 06:48
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	1	$2.2K	2,276	0	+2,276	No	+$32	02-26 14:55
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	6	$2.2K	2,235	0	+2,235	No	+$40	02-24 14:52
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	4	$2.2K	2,204	0	+2,204	No	+$41	02-23 15:09
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	4	$2.1K	2,147	0	+2,147	No	+$34	02-20 11:38
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$2.1K	2,114	0	+2,114	Yes	+$8	03-18 07:46
us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	1	$2.1K	2,076	0	+2,076	Yes	+$6	01-03 10:46
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	8	$2.1K	2,113	0	+2,113	No	+$45	02-19 14:18
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	1	$2.0K	2,067	0	+2,067	No	+$19	02-18 09:24
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	3	$2.0K	2,049	0	+2,049	No	+$16	02-17 11:07
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	1	$2.0K	2,032	0	+2,032	No	+$10	02-16 12:29
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	1	$2.0K	2,022	0	+2,022	No	+$8	02-15 15:17
us strikes iran by february 14 2026	1	$2.0K	2,014	0	+2,014	No	+$10	02-14 12:19
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$2.0K	2,004	0	+2,004	No	+$14	02-13 16:26
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$26	03-30 18:08
us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	1	$2.0K	1,981	0	+1,981	No	+$12	02-11 16:56
us strikes iran by february 10 2026	2	$2.0K	1,969	0	+1,969	No	+$16	02-10 22:06
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$1.9K	2,106	0	+2,106	No	+$160	03-09 18:21
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	6	$1.9K	2,010	0	+2,010	No	+$78	02-27 18:22
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	3	$1.9K	1,954	0	+1,954	No	+$27	02-08 09:15
us strikes iran by february 7 2026	3	$1.9K	1,926	0	+1,926	No	+$15	02-07 11:35
us strikes iran by february 5 2026	5	$1.9K	1,888	0	+1,888	No	+$17	02-04 17:16
will iran strike israel on march 2	14	$1.8K	1,921	0	+1,921	Yes	+$74	03-02 04:52
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	21	$1.8K	1,871	0	+1,871	Yes	+$112	01-31 03:23
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	1	$1.6K	1,650	0	+1,650	No	+$16	02-22 21:22
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$1.5K	1,502	0	+1,502	Yes	+$2	02-28 08:06
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	4	$1.4K	1,409	0	+1,409	Yes	+$17	01-26 14:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-08 06:48:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	2,323	0¢	$9	0xf068df…
04-05 07:03:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	2,323	99¢	$2,292	0xf13b56…
04-05 06:00:07	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	295	100¢	$294	0x558c5e…
03-30 18:08:13	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$998	0xa48584…
03-21 09:43:01	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	95	75¢	$71	0x520f08…
03-20 21:49:11	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	500	91¢	$455	0xfc20ab…
03-20 21:24:51	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	500	92¢	$460	0xe2b690…
03-20 09:48:47	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0x398b26…
03-20 08:36:45	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	1,000	97¢	$972	0x7cb2ca…
03-18 07:46:31	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2,114	100¢	$2,106	0x75be34…
03-09 18:21:59	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	1,481	93¢	$1,377	0xc4a41c…
03-09 01:43:45	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	624	91¢	$568	0x9a0d11…
03-06 22:42:43	will us or israel strike iran on march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	1,377	99¢	$1,369	0xe8b9be…
03-05 07:46:35	will us or israel strike iran on march 6 2026	Yes	BUY	369	99¢	$366	0xe7689b…
03-04 18:44:23	will us or israel strike iran on march 7 2026	Yes	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0xb17469…
03-04 18:22:23	will us or israel strike iran on march 7 2026	Yes	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x0ef838…
03-04 16:22:19	will us or israel strike iran on march 6 2026	Yes	BUY	208	99¢	$205	0x3997ee…
03-04 16:19:49	will us or israel strike iran on march 6 2026	Yes	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0xcd3aff…
03-04 16:19:45	will us or israel strike iran on march 6 2026	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x501dce…
03-04 16:19:05	will us or israel strike iran on march 6 2026	Yes	BUY	615	99¢	$607	0x224b90…
03-03 20:30:41	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	SELL	74	73¢	$54	0x459bcd…
03-03 19:44:03	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	SELL	86	73¢	$63	0x25eb02…
03-03 19:36:33	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	SELL	19	72¢	$14	0xbd0bf1…
03-03 19:36:13	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0xdee7fd…
03-03 19:34:03	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	SELL	153	67¢	$103	0xcee95d…
03-03 19:33:27	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	SELL	920	63¢	$577	0x483306…
03-03 12:47:29	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	BUY	221	85¢	$188	0xf43a5a…
03-03 12:12:25	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x436cc3…
03-03 12:03:19	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x877fbf…
03-03 11:35:55	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x06d866…
03-03 10:59:31	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	BUY	103	85¢	$87	0xbf47f7…
03-02 22:25:31	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	BUY	126	93¢	$117	0xe9232e…
03-02 21:45:47	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	BUY	74	93¢	$69	0xa5f4dd…
03-02 21:43:25	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	BUY	1,639	94¢	$1,538	0x19300d…
03-02 15:23:31	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	Yes	BUY	419	99¢	$416	0x20b280…
03-02 04:52:05	will iran strike israel on march 2	Yes	BUY	500	96¢	$481	0x31fc59…
03-02 04:50:21	will iran strike israel on march 2	Yes	BUY	150	96¢	$144	0x1c1285…
03-02 04:21:25	will iran strike israel on march 2	Yes	BUY	212	96¢	$204	0x631648…
03-02 04:19:47	will iran strike israel on march 2	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x6b8c81…
03-02 04:03:09	will iran strike israel on march 2	Yes	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0xf5a84b…
03-02 04:02:01	will iran strike israel on march 2	Yes	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x806cea…
03-02 03:28:17	will iran strike israel on march 2	Yes	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0x4144c6…
03-02 03:26:55	will iran strike israel on march 2	Yes	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0xd4097f…
03-02 03:26:31	will iran strike israel on march 2	Yes	BUY	95	96¢	$92	0x85c494…
03-02 03:15:57	will iran strike israel on march 2	Yes	BUY	111	96¢	$107	0x7a9e6c…
03-01 22:05:15	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	108	98¢	$106	0x2b8663…
03-01 22:05:05	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	250	98¢	$245	0x86b1e8…
03-01 22:03:39	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x36b56b…
03-01 22:03:35	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0xc4b97b…
03-01 21:13:11	will iran strike israel on march 2	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x1b3a5a…
03-01 20:58:11	will iran strike israel on march 2	Yes	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xfd8488…
03-01 20:53:37	will iran strike israel on march 2	Yes	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x123258…
03-01 20:51:39	will iran strike israel on march 2	Yes	BUY	688	96¢	$660	0x02ad28…
03-01 20:50:57	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	2,381	100¢	$2,376	0x87205b…
03-01 09:06:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	2,381	100¢	$2,378	0x2b9572…
02-28 09:01:45	iran strike on israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	176	98¢	$172	0x2f12f9…
02-28 08:57:05	iran strike on israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	324	98¢	$318	0x25f4d9…
02-28 08:06:39	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	1,502	100¢	$1,500	0x07e980…
02-27 18:22:53	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	500	96¢	$482	0x2eb595…
02-27 18:22:31	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	143	97¢	$138	0x23ee83…
02-27 18:21:33	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	762	97¢	$736	0xad9293…
02-27 17:59:13	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xce47d0…
02-27 17:59:07	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	34	95¢	$33	0xac2387…
02-27 17:58:55	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	550	95¢	$524	0x4d1ca6…
02-26 14:55:44	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	2,276	99¢	$2,244	0x56f034…
02-24 14:52:28	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0xaa3575…
02-24 14:51:50	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	833	98¢	$818	0x1ed326…
02-24 14:51:02	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	550	98¢	$540	0xdc2f79…
02-24 14:51:00	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	31	98¢	$31	0x5c24ae…
02-24 14:50:22	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	556	98¢	$546	0x2ea191…
02-24 14:49:20	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	208	98¢	$204	0xd13932…
02-23 15:09:14	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	BUY	1,099	99¢	$1,083	0x755b49…
02-23 15:08:26	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	BUY	600	98¢	$591	0xe407eb…
02-23 15:08:20	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd04d9b…
02-22 21:22:40	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	No	BUY	1,650	99¢	$1,634	0x20d005…
02-22 19:47:22	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	BUY	500	97¢	$485	0xc6328e…
02-20 11:38:52	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	1,810	98¢	$1,781	0x2df938…
02-20 11:38:24	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xadefdf…
02-20 11:37:36	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	62	98¢	$62	0x545379…
02-20 11:36:22	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	268	98¢	$264	0x060cb4…
02-19 14:18:16	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	No	BUY	1,113	98¢	$1,088	0xf9d258…
02-19 14:00:32	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	No	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0xaca487…
02-19 13:59:36	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	No	BUY	437	98¢	$428	0xa0f7bc…
02-19 13:58:50	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xf40f19…
02-19 13:58:48	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	No	BUY	64	98¢	$62	0x4ff13d…
02-19 13:58:40	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0xcf4828…
02-19 13:58:36	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x931b06…
02-19 13:58:28	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	No	BUY	282	98¢	$276	0xc77b29…
02-18 09:24:32	us strikes iran by february 18 2026	No	BUY	2,067	99¢	$2,049	0xd01a0c…
02-17 11:07:07	us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	No	BUY	1,573	99¢	$1,560	0x926682…
02-17 11:05:59	us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	No	BUY	206	99¢	$204	0x9bd465…
02-17 10:27:41	us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	No	BUY	270	99¢	$268	0xc7005b…
02-16 12:29:45	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	No	BUY	2,032	100¢	$2,022	0xa5d528…
02-15 15:17:49	us strikes iran by february 15 2026	No	BUY	2,022	100¢	$2,014	0x28617b…
02-14 12:19:25	us strikes iran by february 14 2026	No	BUY	2,014	100¢	$2,004	0xc2a14b…
02-13 16:26:03	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	No	BUY	1,734	99¢	$1,724	0x3152f9…
02-12 18:53:27	us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	No	BUY	700	100¢	$696	0xdb0880…
02-12 17:37:41	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	No	BUY	270	99¢	$266	0x2a6548…
02-11 16:56:51	us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	No	BUY	1,981	99¢	$1,969	0x7cca65…
02-10 22:06:27	us strikes iran by february 10 2026	No	BUY	1,826	99¢	$1,811	0x6202ed…