Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$131.2K

Unrealized P&L

-$16.1K

Hit rate

53.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,096

lifetime

Volume

$390.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$356

Open exposure

$22.9K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-26 15:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Politics

81% 54% -$132,846

Other

19% 100% +$1,600

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 639 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes		+127,041	$38,967	18¢	$22.9K	-$16,100	10-26 15:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	79	$45.0K	54,482	+54,482	No	+$9,433	01-13 22:35
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	13	$42.4K	63,495	+63,495	Yes	-$42,436	01-16 11:11
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	641	$39.0K	127,041	+127,041	open	—	10-26 15:59
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	62	$34.6K	39,967	+39,967	No	+$5,395	02-03 07:35
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$24.9K	25,000	+25,000	Yes	+$50	02-02 19:26
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$23.5K	26,588	+26,588	Yes	-$23,473	02-02 15:24
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	37	$20.0K	25,000	+25,000	Yes	-$20,000	01-03 05:41
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	2	$16.4K	17,055	+17,055	No	+$609	01-02 16:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$16.4K	29,648	+29,648	Yes	-$16,403	02-02 15:22
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$14.0K	20,000	+20,000	Yes	-$14,000	03-30 13:58
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	29	$11.9K	20,800	+20,800	Yes	-$11,948	02-26 16:23
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	58	$11.9K	15,000	+15,000	Yes	-$11,900	04-01 19:51
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	17	$10.7K	10,981	+10,981	Yes	+$253	02-03 00:27
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	52	$9.7K	19,300	+19,300	Yes	-$9,700	04-07 02:17
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$8.4K	10,000	+10,000	No	+$1,550	04-07 02:21
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	14	$8.1K	10,000	+10,000	No	+$1,900	01-08 17:03
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	2	$7.5K	15,000	+15,000	Yes	+$7,500	02-02 19:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$7.4K	10,000	+10,000	Yes	-$7,400	02-06 21:07
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	15	$6.9K	10,000	+10,000	Yes	+$3,100	03-31 16:40
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	1	$6.5K	7,500	+7,500	No	+$975	02-05 00:11
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	3	$6.2K	7,336	+7,336	No	+$1,096	01-14 12:41
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	2	$4.6K	5,000	+5,000	No	+$445	01-04 09:06
trump out as president by march 31	1	$4.4K	4,550	+4,550	No	+$118	01-02 16:04
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	52	$4.3K	10,000	+10,000	Yes	-$4,300	04-06 21:47
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	2	$2.8K	2,844	+2,844	No	+$90	01-13 22:35
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	1	$2.4K	10,000	+10,000	Yes	-$2,400	04-07 19:47
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	4	$405	605	+605	No	+$200	01-09 22:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 15:59:41	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	570	32¢	$185	0xd4cd1b…
10-26 15:59:33	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	173	32¢	$56	0x8e91a0…
10-26 15:59:23	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x677656…
10-26 15:59:23	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	210	33¢	$69	0x437620…
10-26 15:59:03	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	405	33¢	$133	0x83fc94…
10-26 15:58:56	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x265ffd…
10-26 15:58:47	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0xd8bb08…
10-26 15:58:45	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0xf5da1a…
10-26 15:58:38	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2,000	33¢	$658	0x709deb…
10-26 15:58:29	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0xe96b40…
10-26 15:58:29	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0xa69b0c…
10-26 15:58:29	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x1b0aa2…
10-26 15:58:24	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xb3aaab…
10-26 15:58:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	310	33¢	$102	0xf9af47…
10-26 15:58:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	33¢	$164	0xf6d3a0…
10-26 15:58:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xf37a16…
10-26 15:58:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	17	33¢	$6	0xef0cd0…
10-26 15:58:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0xd75d05…
10-26 15:58:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	17	33¢	$5	0xc55396…
10-26 15:58:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xc00226…
10-26 15:58:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	17	33¢	$6	0xbc57d1…
10-26 15:58:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0xb176b8…
10-26 15:58:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0xb04aef…
10-26 15:58:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0xa447ac…
10-26 15:58:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xa3b324…
10-26 15:58:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	132	33¢	$44	0x9aa887…
10-26 15:58:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0x93b126…
10-26 15:58:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	16	33¢	$5	0x7b61de…
10-26 15:58:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	296	33¢	$97	0x76076a…
10-26 15:58:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x73d893…
10-26 15:58:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	19	33¢	$6	0x64e5ae…
10-26 15:58:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x589724…
10-26 15:58:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x4e58d3…
10-26 15:58:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x4dc522…
10-26 15:58:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	17	33¢	$6	0x46c16f…
10-26 15:58:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x404b70…
10-26 15:58:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	16	33¢	$5	0x321e0d…
10-26 15:58:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	252	33¢	$83	0x208afe…
10-26 15:58:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x1ae6fe…
10-26 15:58:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	16	33¢	$5	0x16fa00…
10-26 15:58:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	16	33¢	$5	0x14bc9a…
10-26 15:58:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0x13a3e8…
10-26 15:58:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0x0dfdd3…
10-26 15:58:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	19	33¢	$6	0x082421…
10-26 15:58:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	16	33¢	$5	0x043c23…
10-26 15:58:11	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0xd0300d…
10-26 15:58:11	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x272923…
10-26 15:58:08	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	16	33¢	$5	0xf72e7c…
10-26 15:58:08	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xcbfa2e…
10-26 15:57:57	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x58bf48…
10-26 15:57:21	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0xeceee1…
10-26 15:57:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x4eafa4…
10-26 15:56:54	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0x2be5c5…
10-26 15:56:48	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	163	33¢	$54	0x2a5fea…
10-26 15:56:44	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xbcf683…
10-26 15:56:44	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xa8cbf8…
10-26 15:56:44	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x21a53e…
10-26 15:56:44	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x088a11…
10-26 15:56:39	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	139	33¢	$46	0xe1bee4…
10-26 15:56:39	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	44	33¢	$15	0xdebd96…
10-26 15:56:39	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	278	33¢	$92	0xc04aa5…
10-26 15:56:39	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	40	33¢	$13	0xb4341c…
10-26 15:56:39	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	32	33¢	$11	0x6d8ecb…
10-26 15:56:39	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	38	33¢	$13	0x51ad29…
10-26 15:56:39	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	42	33¢	$14	0x4270dd…
10-26 15:56:39	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	52	33¢	$17	0x301d86…
10-26 15:56:39	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	65	33¢	$21	0x152816…
10-26 15:56:39	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	47	33¢	$16	0x1440a4…
10-26 15:56:39	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	51	33¢	$17	0x0563f6…
10-26 15:56:38	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	40	33¢	$13	0xf43b12…
10-26 15:56:38	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	140	33¢	$46	0x61c66e…
10-26 15:56:35	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0x9796e3…
10-26 15:56:32	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0xab1a41…
10-26 15:56:30	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x92f75f…
10-26 15:56:29	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	16	33¢	$5	0xd578c8…
10-26 15:56:29	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	27	33¢	$9	0x6bf78f…
10-26 15:56:27	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	80	33¢	$26	0xb973cf…
10-26 15:55:24	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	561	33¢	$183	0x9ba1dd…
10-26 15:55:23	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	75	33¢	$25	0xa1e34e…
10-26 15:55:21	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0x4ae321…
10-26 15:55:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	163	33¢	$53	0x40e95c…
10-26 15:55:08	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	660	33¢	$216	0x16d83c…
10-26 15:55:03	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	16	33¢	$5	0x66deb2…
10-26 15:55:00	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	121	33¢	$39	0x7173dc…
10-26 15:54:57	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0x5cbfd1…
10-26 15:54:50	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	47	33¢	$15	0x726706…
10-26 15:54:48	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	536	33¢	$175	0xf8d7c7…
10-26 15:54:48	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	69	33¢	$22	0x593209…
10-26 15:54:44	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0xe40f58…
10-26 15:54:44	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0xbf3e30…
10-26 15:54:44	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0xae9e1a…
10-26 15:54:44	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0xab7125…
10-26 15:54:44	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	17	33¢	$6	0x930280…
10-26 15:54:44	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	17	33¢	$6	0x899783…
10-26 15:54:44	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0x83f87b…
10-26 15:54:44	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	17	33¢	$6	0x82b160…
10-26 15:54:44	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0x5a0d2e…
10-26 15:54:44	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0x595c8b…
10-26 15:54:44	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	17	33¢	$6	0x500792…
10-26 15:54:44	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0x28eca4…