Self-Reliant-Kilogram — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.6%

Resolved

Trades

102

lifetime

Volume

$847

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 05-30 15:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

44% 0% $-3

Politics

33% — —

Crypto

18% — —

Sports

5% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1772544900	2	$82	45	44	+1	open	—	03-03 13:40
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	2	$67	50	50	+0	open	—	03-07 08:22
will the us next strike iran on january 31 2026 et 836	3	$54	28	28	+0	open	—	02-01 12:32
will israel strike greater beirut by march 31	4	$48	39	39	+0	open	—	02-28 20:12
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	5	$47	42	50	-8	open	—	03-01 12:09
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$37	22	22	+0	open	—	03-16 05:21
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	3	$36	27	27	+1	open	—	04-14 21:02
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$36	75	75	+0	No	+$10	04-12 08:12
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	4	$36	67	67	+0	open	—	03-07 19:13
btc updown 5m 1772482200	2	$25	17	17	+0	open	—	03-02 20:11
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer	2	$23	17	17	+0	open	—	04-28 20:08
will trump say egg during the 2026 state of the union address 216	1	$21	32	0	+32	open	—	02-23 10:03
btc updown 5m 1772479500	3	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	03-02 19:31
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5	2	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	04-28 20:08
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 6 2026	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	02-04 08:08
cs2 ts7 vit 2026 04 19	9	$20	47	33	+14	open	—	04-19 18:04
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$18	0	153	-153	open	—	01-19 02:45
ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 ars	2	$18	14	13	+0	open	—	04-15 20:57
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	5	$17	73	73	+0	open	—	04-12 18:36
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 ags kylian mbappe	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	04-15 20:57
will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	1	$14	21	0	+21	open	—	02-23 09:00
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$13	29	0	+29	open	—	04-12 08:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$13	13	13	+0	open	—	04-02 15:30
ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 draw	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	03-11 20:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	2	$10	259	0	+259	open	—	03-31 19:56
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	05-30 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	05-04 11:50
will trump talk to vladimir putin in february	1	$9	28	0	+28	open	—	02-19 16:39
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$8	30	30	+0	open	—	03-31 19:45
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	2	$7	19	19	+0	open	—	03-07 19:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 15:45:32	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x19c09a…
05-30 15:43:36	Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x61e3dd…
05-06 19:27:30	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xfdffaa…
05-06 19:13:32	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x0b87d5…
05-04 11:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x35a53f…
05-04 11:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x12a6a2…
05-04 11:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4b960e…
04-29 18:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0fc957…
04-29 18:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xc2052e…
04-28 20:08:38	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x732308…
04-28 20:08:30	Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xbb1312…
04-28 18:11:02	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	15	30¢	$5	0x98def0…
04-28 18:10:14	Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0x776c6a…
04-19 18:04:28	cs2 ts7 vit 2026 04 19	Spirit	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x7942cd…
04-19 18:03:50	cs2 ts7 vit 2026 04 19	Spirit	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xdea164…
04-19 17:54:06	cs2 ts7 vit 2026 04 19	Spirit	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xeba096…
04-19 17:53:26	cs2 ts7 vit 2026 04 19	Spirit	SELL	14	29¢	$4	0xbc7c70…
04-19 17:45:14	cs2 ts7 vit 2026 04 19	Spirit	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x48cfcb…
04-19 17:44:36	cs2 ts7 vit 2026 04 19	Spirit	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1a121b…
04-19 17:43:42	cs2 ts7 vit 2026 04 19	Spirit	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xa06e4d…
04-19 17:38:46	cs2 ts7 vit 2026 04 19	Spirit	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1db5f1…
04-19 16:44:24	cs2 ts7 vit 2026 04 19	Spirit	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x55d42c…
04-18 19:59:32	epl che mun 2026 04 18 draw	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x64f569…
04-18 19:51:20	nba min den 2026 04 18	Timberwolves	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x6e378e…
04-15 20:57:24	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 ags kylian mbappe	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x5308f6…
04-15 20:57:16	ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 ars	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xae1a0b…
04-15 13:49:30	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 ags harry kane	No	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xad1721…
04-15 13:49:02	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 ags kylian mbappe	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x05eda0…
04-15 13:48:26	ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 ars	No	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x07d771…
04-14 21:02:24	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$26	0x3f8c51…
04-14 18:00:42	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x761f3b…
04-14 11:37:27	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	32	22¢	$7	0xabd63d…
04-14 11:35:37	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x1f5881…
04-12 18:36:03	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	55	2¢	$1	0x3dc331…
04-12 11:28:15	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	18	15¢	$3	0x2d1842…
04-12 09:03:25	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x0a4767…
04-12 08:44:39	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xc1b945…
04-12 08:18:07	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x09f9a2…
04-12 08:15:23	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	37	17¢	$6	0xdf13f4…
04-12 08:12:19	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	75	31¢	$23	0xd57ccd…
04-11 14:45:45	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x16c7b2…
04-11 14:42:05	epl bre eve 2026 04 11 bre	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf559f0…
04-07 18:29:13	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 bay1	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x98864d…
04-07 18:28:37	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	11	31¢	$3	0xd597b1…
04-07 18:28:23	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 bay1	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x49b4e9…
04-06 14:30:49	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	11	32¢	$3	0x569870…
04-02 15:30:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	13	36¢	$5	0x11b7ab…
04-01 09:03:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0xcfe009…
03-31 19:56:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0xf05e20…
03-31 19:48:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0xea7a9d…
03-31 19:45:35	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xc48cb7…
03-16 05:22:05	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xdd96d4…
03-16 05:21:33	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xaa6e98…
03-15 16:41:29	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x0e78f5…
03-15 16:40:41	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x1b915f…
03-11 20:30:53	ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 draw	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x595198…
03-11 17:36:47	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x725062…
03-11 12:20:09	ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 draw	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x199e70…
03-11 12:14:09	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xf191b8…
03-10 15:30:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x9203c8…
03-07 19:14:13	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	No	SELL	19	11¢	$2	0x98049a…
03-07 19:13:57	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	No	SELL	67	20¢	$13	0xa3b5cb…
03-07 11:22:09	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	No	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x289077…
03-07 08:22:21	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xb8163f…
03-06 15:17:09	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x969cbf…
03-06 11:17:51	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	No	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0x303bac…
03-06 11:14:49	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	No	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xfbdbe6…
03-06 10:29:17	will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by march 15	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x6463f6…
03-06 10:23:39	btc updown 5m 1772792400	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf24e33…
03-04 15:02:29	btc updown 4h 1772629200	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x6a6c88…
03-04 12:10:31	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	No	BUY	34	23¢	$8	0x321467…
03-03 13:40:37	btc updown 5m 1772544900	Down	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x0c667d…
03-03 13:39:25	btc updown 5m 1772544900	Down	BUY	45	86¢	$39	0x67cc87…
03-02 20:11:09	btc updown 5m 1772482200	Down	SELL	17	87¢	$15	0xa3501d…
03-02 20:10:33	btc updown 5m 1772482200	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x2ccfa2…
03-02 20:05:55	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	Yes	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x3dbe5f…
03-02 19:31:03	btc updown 5m 1772479500	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xefd6c4…
03-02 19:29:07	btc updown 5m 1772479500	Down	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x360ebf…
03-02 19:28:59	btc updown 5m 1772479500	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xccdd32…
03-01 12:09:53	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	42	60¢	$25	0xdb2ded…
03-01 12:09:35	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x97c518…
03-01 10:16:39	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x0b42d8…
03-01 10:16:27	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	1	41¢	$1	0xbe9c71…
03-01 10:16:15	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	11	41¢	$4	0x877dff…
02-28 20:12:41	will israel strike greater beirut by march 31	Yes	SELL	28	62¢	$18	0xa72a25…
02-28 19:52:37	will israel strike greater beirut by march 31	Yes	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xa3c7bc…
02-28 07:10:43	will israel strike greater beirut by march 31	Yes	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x1d4289…
02-28 06:55:47	will israel strike greater beirut by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x0cd772…
02-23 10:03:50	will trump say egg during the 2026 state of the union address 216	Yes	BUY	32	66¢	$21	0x9cb96e…
02-23 09:42:02	will trump say cookie during the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0xba5e1d…
02-23 09:42:02	will trump say cookie during the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	16	15¢	$2	0x19ee83…
02-23 09:00:20	will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	Yes	BUY	21	66¢	$14	0x680384…
02-19 16:39:48	will trump talk to vladimir putin in february	Yes	BUY	28	31¢	$9	0x2f1839…
02-18 11:21:40	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0x194de2…
02-04 08:08:20	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 6 2026	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x572be6…
02-03 09:25:38	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0x9435ca…
02-03 09:23:50	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	BUY	1,100	0¢	$2	0x96bbb9…
02-02 18:04:50	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xab643d…
02-01 12:32:10	will the us next strike iran on january 31 2026 et 836	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x03cc70…
01-31 10:52:36	will the us next strike iran on january 31 2026 et 836	No	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xe87863…