Made-Up-Cactus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.8%

Resolved

Trades

160

lifetime

Volume

$2.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 08-31 06:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

78% 97% +$20

Politics

14% 92% -$1

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

4% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	1	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	05-29 16:37
Will Google say "Advertising" or "Advertisement" during earnings call?	2	$50	25	25	+0	Yes	+$0	04-29 21:27
will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 27	2	$49	25	25	+0	Yes	+$1	03-27 16:07
highest temperature in seattle on march 17 2026 48 49f	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	03-17 07:01
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$46	23	23	+0	No	+$0	05-05 15:09
highest temperature in ankara on march 19 2026 11c	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$0	03-19 11:32
will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-31 21:25
will larry page be 3rd richest person on march 31	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-31 04:17
israel military action against yemen by april 15 2026	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	04-16 05:51
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 61 million views on day 6?	2	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	06-05 13:03
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	04-16 01:14
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-31 19:16
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	2	$37	19	19	+0	No	+$0	03-31 20:41
will the total number of tsa passengers for march 29 be less than 2600000	2	$36	18	18	+0	No	+$0	03-30 12:32
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	2	$36	18	18	+0	No	+$0	05-09 10:18
Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	06-15 11:06
will mrbeasts next video get between 69 and 70 million views on day 4	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	03-24 21:16
ethereum above 1100 on july 5 2026	1	$33	33	0	+33	Yes	+$0	07-02 16:24
highest temperature in tokyo on march 18 2026 16c	2	$32	16	16	+0	No	+$0	03-18 06:20
highest temperature in toronto on march 18 2026 3c	2	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$0	03-18 16:12
secret lives of mormon wives season 5 cancelled by april 15	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	04-15 18:55
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	06-01 02:54
Will "Hokum" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?	2	$30	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	05-04 19:10
highest temperature in atlanta on march 16 2026 62 63f	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	03-16 04:54
highest temperature in dallas on march 17 2026 68 69f	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	03-17 21:18
highest temperature in miami on march 18 2026 82forhigher	2	$26	13	13	+0	No	+$0	03-17 19:32
highest temperature in atlanta on march 16 2026 56 57f	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	03-16 04:51
Will "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	1	$25	25	0	+25	Yes	+$0	05-25 00:02
highest temperature in chicago on march 19 2026 46 47f	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$0	03-19 11:42
white house of tweets april 3 april 10 2026 120 139	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	04-09 16:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 06:24:09	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x05e668…
08-31 05:58:22	Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 11?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x2a6aff…
08-31 02:42:07	Will DeepSeek be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xac5d22…
07-16 17:26:07	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x5a9868…
07-02 16:24:02	ethereum above 1100 on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x327154…
06-25 16:01:01	Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x26dd94…
06-25 13:24:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xbeccb1…
06-25 12:14:04	Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2f9abf…
06-15 11:06:21	Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x53998c…
06-15 07:44:42	Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0xe9436f…
06-09 07:31:54	Will "David" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xdb5229…
06-05 13:03:00	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 61 million views on day 6?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xc4649d…
06-05 09:06:48	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 61 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x9e9254…
06-01 02:54:52	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x22fdcc…
05-31 19:16:03	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x300adb…
05-30 18:21:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x5901e0…
05-29 16:37:42	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xc39a55…
05-29 07:39:29	Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x764e2d…
05-25 00:02:15	Will "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xb4b22f…
05-18 13:16:06	Will "Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xa32101…
05-18 00:02:30	Will Maxine Durand win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x04d6b1…
05-11 18:24:01	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x8635a8…
05-09 10:18:39	Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xd91ee7…
05-08 20:29:47	Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x78fa30…
05-05 15:09:48	Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xfc37c7…
05-04 22:03:38	Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x7d75b2…
05-04 19:10:38	Will "Hokum" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xd63e25…
05-04 00:08:36	Will "Hokum" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x61374c…
04-29 21:27:04	Will Google say "Advertising" or "Advertisement" during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x231854…
04-28 00:16:36	Will Google say "Advertising" or "Advertisement" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x38d6a3…
04-16 05:51:56	israel military action against yemen by april 15 2026	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x69a935…
04-16 01:14:00	will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xe4df2e…
04-15 18:55:10	secret lives of mormon wives season 5 cancelled by april 15	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xe79863…
04-14 00:00:15	secret lives of mormon wives season 5 cancelled by april 15	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd41d51…
04-14 00:00:15	will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb62917…
04-14 00:00:15	israel military action against yemen by april 15 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x4527b1…
04-09 16:09:23	white house of tweets april 3 april 10 2026 120 139	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x2c5d0c…
04-07 00:00:21	will the reserve bank of india make no change to the policy repo rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x7659f1…
04-05 13:54:13	will project hail mary 3rd weekend box office be less than 35m	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x5b817b…
04-03 00:06:25	ted cruz of tweets march 27 april 3 2026 100 119	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcb78b1…
03-31 21:25:11	will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x636453…
03-31 20:41:29	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xd7eaef…
03-31 04:17:07	will larry page be 3rd richest person on march 31	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x79d9b6…
03-30 12:32:02	will the total number of tsa passengers for march 29 be less than 2600000	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x410e5a…
03-30 12:00:36	will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8c4df5…
03-30 03:58:24	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0xa43ad1…
03-30 00:05:16	will larry page be 3rd richest person on march 31	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x380d75…
03-28 13:57:45	will the total number of tsa passengers for march 29 be less than 2600000	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x69ef9a…
03-27 16:07:21	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 27	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x26d0d2…
03-26 14:39:33	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 27	Yes	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x878d30…
03-24 21:16:03	will mrbeasts next video get between 69 and 70 million views on day 4	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x3c74b3…
03-24 20:53:57	will mrbeasts next video get between 69 and 70 million views on day 4	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x3790cf…
03-19 14:38:35	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 19 2026 26c	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xf9afdf…
03-19 11:42:23	highest temperature in chicago on march 19 2026 46 47f	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x75e72e…
03-19 11:32:05	highest temperature in ankara on march 19 2026 11c	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x104b5c…
03-19 09:12:11	highest temperature in ankara on march 19 2026 11c	Yes	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x839abb…
03-18 20:29:45	highest temperature in chicago on march 19 2026 46 47f	No	BUY	12	97¢	$11	0x9733b9…
03-18 16:12:01	highest temperature in toronto on march 18 2026 3c	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xde4a07…
03-18 14:58:05	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 19 2026 26c	No	BUY	7	97¢	$6	0x08e0a7…
03-18 07:40:23	will kina collins be the democratic nominee for il 07 746	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xcd8298…
03-18 06:20:17	highest temperature in tokyo on march 18 2026 16c	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x49288a…
03-18 05:25:05	highest temperature in tokyo on march 18 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x22ccbd…
03-17 21:18:29	highest temperature in dallas on march 17 2026 68 69f	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x4f370d…
03-17 19:32:03	highest temperature in miami on march 18 2026 82forhigher	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x5f938b…
03-17 16:46:49	highest temperature in miami on march 18 2026 82forhigher	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x501759…
03-17 15:53:05	will 25 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xae5229…
03-17 13:33:25	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 17	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x762b45…
03-17 12:13:39	highest temperature in toronto on march 18 2026 3c	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0xa052f1…
03-17 07:01:23	highest temperature in seattle on march 17 2026 48 49f	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x0b10be…
03-17 03:03:27	highest temperature in dallas on march 17 2026 68 69f	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x7084d6…
03-16 12:23:27	highest temperature in seattle on march 17 2026 48 49f	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x33f84f…
03-16 04:54:23	highest temperature in atlanta on march 16 2026 62 63f	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xdcf1e5…
03-16 04:51:05	highest temperature in atlanta on march 16 2026 56 57f	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x7b8af1…
03-16 04:40:57	chatgpt outage by march 15	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbf238e…
03-16 03:43:39	highest temperature in atlanta on march 16 2026 62 63f	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x06c8bc…
03-16 00:39:27	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 17	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xebed28…
03-16 00:00:33	will kina collins be the democratic nominee for il 07 746	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x579f5b…
03-15 11:27:39	will 25 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xa5f6df…
03-14 09:17:35	chatgpt outage by march 15	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x682c14…
03-13 06:21:45	andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 0 99	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x163e4f…
03-12 21:52:05	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by march 13 793 685 412	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x88ae5e…
03-12 21:10:05	andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 0 99	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xf019ab…
03-12 00:12:05	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by march 13 793 685 412	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x0ef28b…
03-11 23:39:59	will mrbeasts next video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 5	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xb101f7…
03-11 17:34:27	will mrbeasts next video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 5	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0xa2f567…
03-11 12:39:01	will a dozen eggs cost 2pt80 in february	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xdd308d…
03-10 03:31:15	will a dozen eggs cost 2pt80 in february	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x77d224…
03-09 04:59:49	will plc win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb5020f…
03-09 04:04:15	will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8ee9f6…
03-08 18:27:35	will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xe89a9f…
03-08 18:27:35	will plc win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x4538e6…
03-08 13:16:55	will mrbeasts next video get less than 30 million views on day 2	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x4f4a04…
03-08 08:10:27	will mrbeasts next video get less than 30 million views on day 2	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x639b2a…
03-07 21:32:59	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xabdec4…
03-06 13:38:13	will the february 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt6	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xfb608b…
03-05 22:50:49	will the february 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt6	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x201aee…
03-04 07:03:45	will a candidate win outright in the texas dem senate primary	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1722d2…
03-02 19:40:13	highest temperature in nyc on march 2 2026 38 39f	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x516cc6…
03-02 19:23:27	will ken paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 texas republican primary	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x8f0378…
03-02 19:00:23	will a candidate win outright in the texas dem senate primary	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa7a229…