Realized P&L
-$599
Unrealized P&L
+$55
Hit rate
20.2%
Resolved
5
Trades
519
lifetime
Volume
$38.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$74
Open exposure
$600
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-11 17:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
62% 25% $-603
Other
25% 100% +$4
Crypto
13%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 136 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +494 $400 82¢ $407 +$7 06-11 17:33
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -498 $-146 18¢ $-92 +$54 05-29 16:17
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +95 $20 44¢ $41 +$21 06-08 15:56
Pershing Square acquires Universal Music Group by June 30? No +28 $26 99¢ $27 +$1 05-29 17:47
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No -30 $-24 90¢ $-27 $-3 05-28 09:24
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4? Yes +43 $10 12¢ $5 $-5 05-29 19:28
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? Yes +1 $21 10¢ $0 $-21 05-29 16:45