Realized P&L
-$7
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
64.6%
Resolved
694
Trades
1,238
lifetime
Volume
$3.27K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$36
8 positions
First seen
2026-05-26
last 11-01 23:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 87 days
Categories
Other
78% 48% -$10
Politics
15% 56% +$4
Tech
4% 53% +$2
Sports
2% 57% +$7
Crypto
1% 25% -$9
Pop-Culture
0% 33% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +10 $7 86¢ $9 +$1 10-11 23:05
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $6 73¢ $7 +$1 09-24 05:44
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? Yes — +5 $1 100¢ $5 +$4 10-31 09:55
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +5 $3 86¢ $4 +$1 09-18 18:08
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? No +5 $4 80¢ $4 +$0 10-09 18:56
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +5 $3 75¢ $4 +$0 10-10 17:59
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +5 $2 32¢ $2 $0 10-17 18:08
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? Yes +5 $2 32¢ $2 $0 10-18 03:34