Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$496

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

64.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$91

Open exposure

$113

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 10-25 04:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

46% 73% -$91

Sports

30% 0% -$934

Politics

11% 100% +$529

Crypto

10% 100% +$0

Tech

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		+100	$98	99¢	$99	+$1	08-14 19:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No		+14	$14	99¢	$14	+$0	10-25 04:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba chi mia 2026 01 31	1	$536	800	+800	Bulls	-$536	02-01 01:00
nba dal hou 2026 01 31	1	$230	1,000	+1,000	Rockets	-$230	02-01 01:02
will ethereum reach 3600 in february 2026	1	$200	200	+200	No	+$0	02-26 07:30
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$200	200	+200	No	+$0	02-26 07:30
will silver si hit high 180 by end of february 127 147	1	$200	200	+200	No	+$0	02-26 07:31
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$199	200	+200	No	+$1	02-26 07:28
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-28 21:19
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-28 21:18
will sp 500 spx hit 7500 high in march 2026	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-28 21:19
will trump visit china by march 31	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-28 21:20
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$100	100	+100	Yes	+$0	03-28 21:18
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-28 21:19
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-28 21:17
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-28 21:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-28 21:18
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	1	$98	100	+100	open	—	08-14 19:30
nba lac hou 2026 02 10	1	$84	300	+300	Rockets	-$84	02-10 20:29
nba ind nyk 2026 02 10	1	$84	100	+100	Pacers	-$84	02-10 20:28
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$79	100	+100	Yes	+$21	01-25 08:41
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	1	$76	200	+200	No	-$76	02-26 07:25
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$36	200	+200	Yes	+$164	02-26 07:26
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	1	$18	200	+200	Yes	+$182	02-26 07:27
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$18	200	+200	Yes	+$182	02-26 07:24
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	1	$17	200	+200	No	-$17	02-26 07:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	1	$14	14	+14	open	—	10-25 04:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	1	$14	14	+14	No	+$0	09-18 05:17
us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	1	$13	13	+13	No	+$0	08-14 19:31
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	1	$13	13	+13	No	+$0	03-28 21:20
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	1	$12	200	+200	No	-$12	02-26 07:24
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	1	$11	11	+11	No	+$0	07-11 08:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 04:11:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x7b1064…
09-18 05:17:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xb8504e…
08-14 19:31:07	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xcbe7fb…
08-14 19:30:24	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x207a01…
07-11 08:03:04	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x378425…
06-08 22:40:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa59880…
05-02 06:47:48	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xae1cbb…
04-11 07:03:33	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb55226…
03-28 21:20:58	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3f4067…
03-28 21:20:28	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfef224…
03-28 21:19:54	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x02abcf…
03-28 21:19:34	will sp 500 spx hit 7500 high in march 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3f77ad…
03-28 21:19:20	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x271ff1…
03-28 21:18:56	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x183525…
03-28 21:18:38	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0a55a7…
03-28 21:18:20	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x06ee3f…
03-28 21:18:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3d9908…
03-28 21:17:40	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0e1329…
02-26 07:31:44	will silver si hit high 180 by end of february 127 147	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xa2a004…
02-26 07:30:56	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x8d052d…
02-26 07:30:18	will ethereum reach 3600 in february 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x55f23f…
02-26 07:28:48	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xd96576…
02-26 07:28:04	will the dhs shutdown last 21 days or more 531	No	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x3416f5…
02-26 07:27:22	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x5e208e…
02-26 07:26:40	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0xe8512a…
02-26 07:25:16	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0x4c463e…
02-26 07:24:44	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x80f1ab…
02-26 07:24:16	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x26840c…
02-26 07:23:20	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$17	0x0b26c6…
02-10 20:29:47	nba lac hou 2026 02 10	Clippers	BUY	300	28¢	$84	0xc66aeb…
02-10 20:28:23	nba ind nyk 2026 02 10	Knicks	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xacb86d…
02-01 01:02:46	nba dal hou 2026 01 31	Mavericks	BUY	1,000	23¢	$230	0x34e72a…
02-01 01:00:08	nba chi mia 2026 01 31	Heat	BUY	800	67¢	$536	0xa0894f…
01-25 08:41:50	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0xb021a1…