Fatal-Absence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$738

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.7%

Resolved

1,514

Trades

7,664

lifetime

Volume

$17.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 05-11 20:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 69% $-738

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 2066 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	17	$727	1,239	393	+846	Down	$-136	05-05 06:45
btc updown 5m 1776800400	3	$468	244	239	+5	open	—	04-21 19:43
btc updown 5m 1776751200	4	$410	267	262	+5	open	—	04-21 06:04
btc updown 5m 1776719100	3	$363	454	202	+252	open	—	04-20 21:09
btc updown 5m 1776679500	2	$343	210	206	+4	open	—	04-20 10:08
btc updown 5m 1776803100	1	$242	245	0	+245	open	—	04-21 20:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	5	$226	123	123	+0	Up	+$4	05-05 10:34
btc updown 5m 1776780300	1	$223	227	0	+227	open	—	04-21 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	4	$217	203	203	+0	Up	$-13	05-05 06:54
btc updown 5m 1776750600	2	$205	212	0	+212	open	—	04-21 05:55
btc updown 5m 1776804300	2	$203	123	122	+2	open	—	04-21 20:46
btc updown 5m 1776721200	1	$182	219	0	+219	open	—	04-20 21:43
btc updown 5m 1776720600	1	$179	182	0	+182	open	—	04-20 21:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	12	$166	229	0	+229	Up	+$64	05-05 06:34
btc updown 5m 1776718200	2	$164	179	0	+179	open	—	04-20 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	10	$139	145	0	+145	Up	+$6	05-05 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	4	$133	203	115	+88	Down	+$5	05-11 06:33
btc updown 5m 1776854100	7	$132	159	49	+111	open	—	04-22 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$120	209	0	+209	Up	$-120	05-11 06:28
btc updown 5m 1776900600	6	$116	112	10	+102	open	—	04-22 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	4	$113	119	119	+0	Down	+$14	05-11 06:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	11	$111	66	64	+1	Down	+$15	05-05 18:24
btc updown 5m 1776801300	4	$104	58	58	+1	open	—	04-21 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$100	134	0	+134	Up	$-100	05-05 11:14
btc updown 5m 1776753600	1	$100	113	0	+113	open	—	04-21 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$100	100	0	+100	Down	+$0	05-05 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	16	$93	121	0	+121	Up	+$27	05-05 06:30
btc updown 5m 1776636900	2	$82	72	71	+1	open	—	04-19 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	9	$77	1,272	0	+1,272	Down	$-70	05-05 07:04
btc updown 5m 1776637200	1	$46	305	0	+305	open	—	04-19 22:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 20:09:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xed11bd…
05-11 20:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x14b39a…
05-11 19:59:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x1364d4…
05-11 19:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xd6e41e…
05-11 19:14:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8a2116…
05-11 18:49:53	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0xe1c914…
05-11 18:44:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x934343…
05-11 18:34:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa911cb…
05-11 18:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0x194176…
05-11 09:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x771a8c…
05-11 06:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	51	61¢	$31	0x4f1872…
05-11 06:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x6e665e…
05-11 06:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	68	48¢	$32	0x0f503c…
05-11 06:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	68	36¢	$24	0x671a2c…
05-11 06:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	51	37¢	$19	0x8ae4d3…
05-11 06:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	140	29¢	$40	0xb457ba…
05-11 06:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	63	79¢	$50	0xdb32fd…
05-11 06:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	63	38¢	$24	0x780455…
05-11 06:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	209	57¢	$120	0x692ce1…
05-10 16:04:52	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x03ea24…
05-10 15:59:53	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xab8316…
05-10 15:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xf187cd…
05-10 15:54:52	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x3bc888…
05-10 15:44:54	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xa1a32e…
05-10 15:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x8dcec4…
05-10 15:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xda820c…
05-10 15:19:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6eecb7…
05-10 15:09:54	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x5a4dc8…
05-10 15:04:53	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x272958…
05-10 14:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x3ef59f…
05-10 14:45:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x1531bd…
05-10 14:44:56	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x591df1…
05-10 14:39:56	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xd7c74f…
05-10 14:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x09128d…
05-10 14:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x0c0de3…
05-10 14:19:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd2ad4c…
05-10 14:19:52	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xb8b5f7…
05-10 14:14:58	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xaaaff2…
05-10 14:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x6f4e5a…
05-10 14:04:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x4931ee…
05-10 13:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xe01f5a…
05-10 13:59:54	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x2059ba…
05-10 13:54:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x92c460…
05-10 13:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x58dc1d…
05-10 13:49:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x3dfcfd…
05-10 13:39:53	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x648c02…
05-10 13:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xa765b4…
05-10 13:19:53	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xfc62dd…
05-10 13:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x3c3c3a…
05-10 13:09:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x272eb2…
05-10 13:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x2fe0db…
05-10 13:04:53	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x08aad9…
05-10 12:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x9bed1e…
05-10 12:55:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x5e4881…
05-10 12:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x49d6f7…
05-10 12:54:53	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xfeea41…
05-10 12:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xc2aba8…
05-10 12:45:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x69a53f…
05-10 12:44:54	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x875c1e…
05-10 12:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0xbb69e0…
05-10 12:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x91bf4f…
05-10 03:51:04	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7a3dda…
05-10 03:47:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xdc8e6e…
05-10 03:41:30	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9d5bf9…
05-10 03:36:08	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x88f356…
05-10 03:36:06	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x617652…
05-10 03:36:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x35e27c…
05-10 03:17:26	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf9393a…
05-10 03:17:04	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x75e74e…
05-10 03:16:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xcb8595…
05-10 03:11:31	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x93aabd…
05-10 03:11:12	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa099d0…
05-10 03:11:10	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x90c767…
05-10 03:01:29	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x175544…
05-10 03:01:03	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd60f4c…
05-10 02:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x14c755…
05-10 02:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x63b6b9…
05-10 02:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6d30ba…
05-10 02:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x15cfb5…
05-10 02:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb7f36d…
05-10 02:46:44	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x549333…
05-10 02:46:14	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xec3d5d…
05-10 02:46:03	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xeabada…
05-10 02:42:04	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x38d4fd…
05-10 02:41:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x5efa30…
05-10 02:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xcbaafe…
05-10 02:16:17	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x916ed1…
05-10 02:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x000c11…
05-10 01:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd27ce4…
05-10 01:46:42	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x514287…
05-10 01:46:40	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x75e0dc…
05-10 01:46:25	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x38594f…
05-10 01:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x90c92a…
05-10 01:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x710167…
05-10 01:36:24	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5d595d…
05-10 01:36:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xbac0a7…
05-10 01:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x16fcd3…
05-10 01:26:43	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x41cd71…
05-10 01:26:19	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6b7c83…
05-10 01:26:03	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1bd7cd…