Fatal-Absence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$695

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.8%

Resolved

2,824

Trades

7,830

lifetime

Volume

$18.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 10-20 20:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 78% -$695

Other

0% 67% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	17	$727	1,239	393	+846	Down	-$136	05-05 06:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 19:40 UTC	3	$468	244	239	+5	Down	+$5	04-21 19:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 06:00 UTC	4	$410	267	262	+5	Down	+$18	04-21 06:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 21:05 UTC	3	$363	454	202	+252	Down	+$9	04-20 21:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 10:05 UTC	2	$343	210	206	+4	Up	+$36	04-20 10:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 20:25 UTC	1	$242	245	0	+245	Up	+$4	04-21 20:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	5	$226	123	123	+0	Up	+$4	05-05 10:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 14:05 UTC	1	$223	227	0	+227	Up	+$4	04-21 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	4	$217	203	203	+0	Up	-$13	05-05 06:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 05:50 UTC	2	$205	212	0	+212	Up	-$8	04-21 05:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 20:45 UTC	2	$203	123	122	+2	Up	+$3	04-21 20:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 21:40 UTC	1	$182	219	0	+219	Up	+$37	04-20 21:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 21:30 UTC	1	$179	182	0	+182	Down	+$4	04-20 21:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:25 UTC	7	$169	156	156	+0	Up	+$19	10-17 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	12	$166	229	0	+229	Up	+$64	05-05 06:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 20:50 UTC	2	$164	179	0	+179	Up	+$10	04-20 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	5	$162	109	109	+0	Up	+$12	10-17 17:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:20 UTC	11	$159	151	151	+0	Up	+$19	10-17 18:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	14	$144	742	242	+500	Down	+$24	10-20 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	3	$139	227	227	+0	Down	+$39	10-20 20:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	10	$139	145	0	+145	Up	+$6	05-05 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	4	$133	203	115	+88	Down	+$5	05-11 06:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 10:35 UTC	7	$132	159	49	+111	Down	+$6	04-22 10:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:00 UTC	3	$120	76	76	+0	Up	+$20	10-17 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$120	209	0	+209	Up	-$120	05-11 06:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 23:30 UTC	6	$116	112	10	+102	Down	+$3	04-22 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	4	$113	119	119	+0	Down	+$14	05-11 06:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	11	$111	66	64	+1	Down	+$15	05-05 18:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 19:55 UTC	4	$104	58	58	+1	Up	+$4	04-21 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$100	134	0	+134	Up	-$100	05-05 11:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 20:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf0fd92…
10-20 20:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x803580…
10-20 20:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x38bd13…
10-20 20:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x6c5117…
10-20 20:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0xd723cb…
10-20 20:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x456668…
10-20 20:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	227	39¢	$89	0x4e10d7…
10-20 20:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0xe7bcbb…
10-20 20:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0x48e3e8…
10-20 20:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xf426f7…
10-20 20:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	200	30¢	$60	0xf71725…
10-20 20:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xe9464e…
10-20 20:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xda2292…
10-20 20:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xbf50cd…
10-20 20:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x8c75c4…
10-20 20:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x703441…
10-20 20:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xce54a4…
10-20 20:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x916a5f…
10-20 20:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	42	56¢	$24	0xd286a6…
10-20 20:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xc6aa98…
10-20 20:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x2644b7…
10-20 20:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x04eaad…
10-20 20:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x99340a…
10-20 20:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	28	76¢	$21	0x51e610…
10-20 20:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x612a3f…
10-20 20:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xb2c2db…
10-20 20:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x508ff7…
10-17 18:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x94c155…
10-17 18:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x782355…
10-17 18:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xe87347…
10-17 18:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xcd60e0…
10-17 18:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe72c98…
10-17 18:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9795f2…
10-17 18:25:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:25 UTC	Up	SELL	143	60¢	$86	0xa40494…
10-17 18:25:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:25 UTC	Up	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0xa04187…
10-17 18:25:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:25 UTC	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x4304be…
10-17 18:25:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:25 UTC	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xf281b7…
10-17 18:24:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x118f1f…
10-17 18:24:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x526966…
10-17 18:24:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xb8a375…
10-17 18:22:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:20 UTC	Up	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0xc619d8…
10-17 18:22:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:20 UTC	Up	SELL	16	50¢	$8	0x205350…
10-17 18:21:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xdb1d39…
10-17 18:20:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:20 UTC	Up	SELL	92	60¢	$55	0xaa6f1c…
10-17 18:20:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:20 UTC	Up	SELL	27	60¢	$16	0x6f3ceb…
10-17 18:20:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:20 UTC	Up	SELL	16	60¢	$10	0x62514f…
10-17 18:19:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc005db…
10-17 18:19:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x88497e…
10-17 18:19:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x85d6f2…
10-17 18:19:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x508900…
10-17 18:18:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xf6b9eb…
10-17 18:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xe3644c…
10-17 18:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xab0b06…
10-17 18:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x76262b…
10-17 18:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0x924531…
10-17 18:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x26db28…
10-17 18:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x02d1cf…
10-17 18:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd9311e…
10-17 18:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x7f2ef5…
10-17 18:06:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:05 UTC	Up	SELL	19	56¢	$11	0x98c3fe…
10-17 18:06:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:05 UTC	Up	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x8c612e…
10-17 18:05:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x9b9d43…
10-17 18:05:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:05 UTC	Up	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0x439446…
10-17 18:05:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:05 UTC	Up	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0xd6bf06…
10-17 18:05:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:05 UTC	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x985e29…
10-17 18:05:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:05 UTC	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x509c51…
10-17 18:05:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x967070…
10-17 18:03:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x88bde7…
10-17 18:03:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xf65d3d…
10-17 18:02:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:00 UTC	Up	SELL	76	92¢	$70	0xfed755…
10-17 18:00:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x32830e…
10-17 18:00:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xa046aa…
10-17 17:56:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x23526f…
10-17 17:56:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:55 UTC	Up	SELL	16	69¢	$11	0x981220…
10-17 17:55:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x6567af…
10-17 17:55:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x828f15…
10-17 17:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	59	93¢	$55	0x9692af…
10-17 17:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xaead82…
10-17 17:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x38bad4…
10-17 17:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0x850ba9…
10-17 17:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x60430d…
10-17 17:28:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:25 UTC	Down	SELL	77	63¢	$49	0xcc0f9e…
10-17 17:25:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xddf718…
10-17 17:25:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xbd0f0e…
10-17 17:25:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x3c54ab…
10-17 17:25:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x2ec96b…
10-17 17:25:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xb25c2e…
10-17 17:20:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xd9bed9…
10-17 17:14:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x6870da…
10-17 17:12:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:10 UTC	Up	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x4a2d14…
10-17 17:12:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x708733…
10-17 17:03:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:00 UTC	Up	SELL	79	38¢	$30	0xcf4dd4…
10-17 17:01:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xe80e98…
10-17 17:00:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xc0496b…
10-17 17:00:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xb545e8…
05-11 20:09:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xed11bd…
05-11 20:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x14b39a…
05-11 19:59:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x1364d4…
05-11 19:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xd6e41e…
05-11 19:14:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8a2116…