Finished-Hurt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$278

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.7%

Resolved

4,004

Trades

8,720

lifetime

Volume

$18.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 10-27 09:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 172 days

Categories

Other

75% 67% -$131

Crypto

22% 53% -$123

Politics

1% 69% -$2

Sports

1% 60% -$21

Tech

0% 50% -$1

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 547 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 18?	10	$280	151	151	+0	Yes	+$20	06-18 12:30
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on June 16?	7	$120	134	0	+134	Yes	+$14	06-16 19:38
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 21?	8	$112	60	60	+0	No	+$0	10-20 22:39
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 17?	4	$108	59	59	+0	Yes	+$6	06-17 20:24
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 12?	8	$107	57	57	+0	Yes	+$5	06-13 08:17
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 20?	3	$98	61	61	+0	Yes	-$4	06-20 08:03
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 22?	6	$96	66	60	+6	Yes	+$2	06-22 14:34
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 18?	6	$92	115	3	+112	Yes	+$22	06-18 15:07
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?	11	$90	115	0	+115	Yes	+$25	06-14 12:35
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 20?	10	$86	45	45	+0	No	+$1	10-19 22:25
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 13?	9	$86	44	44	+0	No	+$1	10-13 05:25
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 15?	4	$77	40	40	+0	No	+$2	10-15 20:06
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 19?	7	$75	40	40	+0	No	+$1	10-19 02:56
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 16?	6	$75	40	40	+0	No	+$0	10-15 22:08
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 20?	5	$63	71	4	+67	Yes	+$6	06-20 08:11
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?	4	$62	32	32	+0	Yes	+$2	06-17 19:45
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 18?	6	$60	88	0	+88	No	-$60	06-18 13:58
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 7?	5	$58	40	40	+0	No	+$0	10-06 21:59
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 25?	4	$56	63	0	+63	Yes	+$7	06-25 09:27
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 10?	10	$52	60	60	+0	Yes	-$9	10-10 00:00
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 3?	12	$52	52	52	+0	Yes	+$1	10-02 11:11
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 5?	4	$51	40	40	+0	No	-$3	10-04 12:00
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 17?	4	$50	59	0	+59	Yes	+$9	06-17 20:47
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 8?	3	$50	51	0	+51	Yes	+$1	06-08 09:36
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 9?	3	$50	53	0	+53	Yes	+$3	06-09 08:43
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 17?	5	$50	63	0	+63	Yes	+$13	06-17 19:45
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 20?	9	$47	60	60	+0	No	+$1	10-19 07:42
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 15?	3	$45	25	25	+0	Yes	+$5	06-16 03:32
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 20?	26	$43	31	31	+0	Yes	+$9	07-21 06:15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?	9	$43	27	27	+0	Yes	+$1	06-14 12:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 09:21:17	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	16	41¢	$7	0x01337b…
10-27 07:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x69ed54…
10-27 07:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x21def4…
10-27 05:36:11	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	1	41¢	$1	0xe2b9e8…
10-27 05:36:11	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0xb031b9…
10-27 04:48:27	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x1ec8af…
10-27 01:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 27?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x88d85d…
10-27 01:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 27?	No	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x400872…
10-26 23:32:05	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	16	43¢	$7	0x317f99…
10-26 23:26:20	Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	Yes	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x0e3050…
10-26 23:25:57	Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	Yes	SELL	19	16¢	$3	0x465da0…
10-26 22:50:29	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x37c49b…
10-26 22:50:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0xf648f3…
10-26 22:45:44	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x22414c…
10-26 22:35:17	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xed3ecb…
10-26 22:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x624910…
10-26 21:41:47	Will Salford City FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4d002a…
10-26 20:02:38	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x446f79…
10-26 19:51:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x8b0090…
10-26 14:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x3506ae…
10-26 13:32:42	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x8c3bc8…
10-26 12:53:21	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0x5e3228…
10-26 11:51:44	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	7¢	$1	0x0d5f86…
10-26 11:51:29	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xf69a99…
10-26 10:59:14	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x43ac7f…
10-26 09:48:56	Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x577352…
10-26 09:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x213595…
10-26 09:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xaf149e…
10-26 07:24:39	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x54f082…
10-26 06:53:17	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x9460cb…
10-26 02:19:03	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x9c534c…
10-26 01:55:59	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0xa46020…
10-26 01:29:44	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xc04fb9…
10-26 00:55:56	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x44e2b9…
10-25 23:41:11	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb66f93…
10-25 23:36:05	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xcf80b6…
10-25 22:11:41	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xd680a4…
10-25 21:48:47	Will there be no next GPT Terra model (5.7+) release by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x348a71…
10-25 20:50:42	Will there be no next GPT Terra model (5.7+) release by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xbe9589…
10-25 20:45:23	Will there be no next GPT Terra model (5.7+) release by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0xe10c50…
10-25 19:50:17	Will Tlaxcala FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2b7227…
10-25 19:16:05	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xa72041…
10-25 19:15:32	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x80fd7c…
10-25 18:57:21	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x9f115d…
10-25 18:02:05	Saxony-Anhalt snap election called in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x779315…
10-25 18:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xaf6952…
10-25 18:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x816d00…
10-25 17:54:20	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0xd8586c…
10-25 17:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x43f33a…
10-25 16:56:14	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0xc13a63…
10-25 16:48:02	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x2042dd…
10-25 16:47:57	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x998145…
10-25 16:22:32	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x90e4a3…
10-25 16:21:18	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x36f3ea…
10-25 15:44:14	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x38910a…
10-25 15:41:44	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc88a31…
10-25 13:34:14	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x7c52f3…
10-25 13:34:14	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	14	41¢	$6	0x11c0a3…
10-25 13:32:57	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x7e44ad…
10-25 13:22:26	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x299e5d…
10-25 13:20:17	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x26c1cd…
10-25 13:20:15	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xe426fa…
10-25 10:50:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x0dc662…
10-25 10:40:11	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x380a0e…
10-25 05:34:44	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x1ff7d0…
10-25 04:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x176801…
10-25 04:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x3d2f27…
10-25 03:27:15	Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x59f663…
10-25 02:44:18	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 98?	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0xc2a57d…
10-25 01:52:38	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x3b46e5…
10-25 01:42:50	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 98?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x7b81a7…
10-25 00:41:30	Saxony-Anhalt snap election called in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xab79a9…
10-24 22:12:45	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	16	43¢	$7	0x665166…
10-24 21:37:11	Will PSOE win 102-107 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x12a9e7…
10-24 21:27:32	Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5eba57…
10-24 21:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x5a64ce…
10-24 19:56:17	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	14	42¢	$6	0x878488…
10-24 19:56:17	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0x779f1b…
10-24 19:33:38	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x6e4bcd…
10-24 18:03:23	Will PSOE win 102-107 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x81974d…
10-24 17:43:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x95353c…
10-24 16:37:24	Will Junts win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x734eba…
10-24 16:23:57	Will Junts win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xe54db9…
10-24 15:43:51	Will Southampton FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x44921c…
10-24 15:42:05	Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8f06fb…
10-24 15:36:48	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x1c20c9…
10-24 15:34:20	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x245b27…
10-24 15:18:33	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in November 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0xf7a18d…
10-24 15:13:29	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in November 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x13cf63…
10-24 15:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on October 25?	Yes	SELL	13	42¢	$6	0x9fd360…
10-24 15:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on October 25?	Yes	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x8aa7c0…
10-24 15:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on October 25?	Yes	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x114399…
10-24 14:43:17	Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2dba1e…
10-24 14:02:39	Will PSOE win fewer than 96 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x2b7691…
10-24 13:14:53	Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd923bb…
10-24 12:45:12	Will PSOE win fewer than 96 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x436a24…
10-24 12:41:51	Will Emmanuel Macron visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x645cf9…
10-24 11:41:02	Will Emmanuel Macron visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xe75094…
10-24 11:25:03	Will Emmanuel Macron visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xb91e8e…
10-24 10:04:59	Will PP win 120-125 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x88cdff…