Realized P&L
-$262
Unrealized P&L
+$18
Hit rate
54.1%
Resolved
444
Trades
1,273
lifetime
Volume
$8.44K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$1.46K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-30
last 11-13 14:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 64 days
Categories
Other
72% 50% -$217
Crypto
14% 51% -$99
Politics
11% 48% +$27
Sports
2% 45% +$10
Tech
1% 60% +$0
Pop-Culture
0% 83% +$17
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jerome Powell be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +160 $156 98¢ $157 +$1 11-06 15:12
Will Lula da Silva be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +159 $151 95¢ $151 -$1 11-06 17:33
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +160 $154 92¢ $148 -$6 11-10 10:04
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +159 $151 92¢ $147 -$3 11-10 11:24
Will Connor Wood win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? No +155 $141 83¢ $129 -$13 11-11 03:05
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +161 $124 78¢ $125 +$1 11-08 03:33
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.17% in November? No +80 $65 96¢ $77 +$12 11-11 15:18
Will Péter Magyar be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +75 $72 98¢ $73 +$1 11-06 19:28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +76 $49 88¢ $67 +$19 11-05 15:50
Will Marco Rubio be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +50 $48 96¢ $48 +$0 11-09 21:03
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in November? Yes +121 $36 36¢ $43 +$7 11-13 14:49
Will James Talarico be TIME Person of the Year 2026? Yes +160 $21 19¢ $30 +$9 11-06 14:05
Will Thomas Aeschi win the Swiss Federal Council by-election? No +37 $28 78¢ $29 +$1 11-12 16:49
Will Abdul El-Sayed be TIME Person of the Year 2026? Yes +161 $14 16¢ $26 +$11 11-06 14:05
Will Anton Rop win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? No +25 $20 100¢ $25 +$5 10-08 14:19
Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +25 $24 95¢ $24 -$1 10-19 16:44
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +25 $24 89¢ $22 -$1 10-11 09:23
Will France win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? No +25 $20 82¢ $20 +$0 10-05 19:02
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +25 $17 68¢ $17 $0 10-07 12:43
Will Amber Glenn win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? Yes +153 $16 10¢ $15 -$1 11-11 02:38
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +25 $11 56¢ $14 +$3 10-06 13:31
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? Yes +159 $18 8¢ $12 -$6 11-09 12:54
Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? No +15 $10 76¢ $11 +$1 10-08 03:56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026? Yes +166 $8 7¢ $11 +$3 11-06 18:48
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? Yes +25 $9 40¢ $10 +$1 10-05 19:38
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +9 $6 88¢ $8 +$2 10-12 17:41
Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? No +25 $9 26¢ $6 -$2 10-08 18:10
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +161 $29 3¢ $5 -$23 11-10 09:19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +161 $5 3¢ $4 $0 11-10 13:37
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +160 $4 2¢ $3 -$2 11-06 14:05