Bumpy-Developing-Subtitle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$42

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.3%

Resolved

Trades

124

lifetime

Volume

$5.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$47

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 05-11 07:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

59% 100% +$0

Politics

35% 0% $-19

Crypto

6% 91% $-24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	2	$843	527	527	+0	open	—	05-01 19:02
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	8	$693	506	506	+0	open	—	05-01 03:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	4	$583	522	522	+0	open	—	05-01 21:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$564	359	359	+0	open	—	05-01 21:40
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	2	$552	600	600	+0	open	—	04-30 21:02
Valorant: VARREL vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega	2	$456	600	600	+0	open	—	05-01 09:30
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	3	$407	250	250	+0	No	$-14	05-05 05:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	3	$336	240	240	+0	Yes	$-5	04-30 00:49
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	2	$278	662	662	+0	open	—	05-06 07:32
Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	2	$185	1,241	1,241	+0	open	—	05-01 21:39
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?	3	$134	120	120	+0	open	—	04-30 06:50
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$124	106	106	+0	open	—	05-09 14:19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	4	$114	240	240	+0	open	—	05-01 21:39
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	2	$80	60	60	+0	open	—	04-29 19:16
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	4	$56	100	100	+0	open	—	05-05 12:27
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	1	$31	92	0	+92	Up	$-31	05-06 14:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	3	$22	60	60	+0	open	—	04-30 00:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$12	12	0	+12	Down	+$0	05-06 14:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$7	7	0	+7	Up	+$0	05-06 09:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$7	7	0	+7	Up	+$0	05-06 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	1	$6	14	0	+14	Down	+$9	05-07 09:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	1	$6	14	0	+14	Up	$-6	05-07 09:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	1	$6	14	0	+14	Down	+$9	05-06 07:43
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-09 19:25
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-10 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-10 00:40
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-07 18:35
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-06 21:05
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-06 10:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-07 18:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 07:00:00	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x73993c…
05-11 06:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe4699f…
05-11 05:38:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xc4a3e2…
05-11 05:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1a9016…
05-11 04:45:01	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd850da…
05-11 01:25:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x81d6b3…
05-11 00:00:02	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4f21d7…
05-10 23:15:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x28a063…
05-10 23:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x212b9e…
05-10 22:15:00	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x05a8a1…
05-10 21:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x5ef208…
05-10 20:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc90bd4…
05-10 13:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0xbfa991…
05-10 13:05:00	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xedf690…
05-10 11:20:02	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbd54ea…
05-10 09:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xbb1648…
05-10 09:20:01	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x62f13e…
05-10 08:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcf158b…
05-10 07:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaa12e3…
05-10 05:20:00	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd37895…
05-10 03:45:00	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x092ccb…
05-10 02:10:00	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x527c78…
05-10 02:00:02	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x972e6b…
05-10 02:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x935b8a…
05-10 01:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x452101…
05-10 00:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd43f32…
05-10 00:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1a8a18…
05-09 22:15:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x72f585…
05-09 21:35:00	BNB Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc02b44…
05-09 19:25:00	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x45bd70…
05-09 18:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4cd512…
05-09 18:05:00	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8579a7…
05-09 17:00:02	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5fc368…
05-09 17:00:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x88d535…
05-09 16:55:01	BNB Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcb2c27…
05-09 16:40:00	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf764fd…
05-09 14:45:00	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0422bd…
05-09 14:19:06	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	106	54¢	$57	0x3e320a…
05-09 13:20:44	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	106	63¢	$67	0x25e91f…
05-07 19:25:00	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x519c64…
05-07 18:55:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9f0518…
05-07 18:35:01	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x63efb1…
05-07 16:45:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbbadbe…
05-07 16:05:02	BNB Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x055905…
05-07 14:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1b5ac5…
05-07 11:09:59	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x999b85…
05-07 09:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0xcb5d29…
05-07 09:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0xbc83dd…
05-07 09:05:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe9ad8c…
05-07 09:00:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x65f370…
05-07 08:55:00	BNB Up or Down - May 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbba548…
05-07 07:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xac0dc2…
05-07 06:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xde74aa…
05-07 06:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd745b9…
05-07 06:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x65534f…
05-07 03:10:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb7bf9b…
05-07 02:20:00	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc39d07…
05-07 01:45:00	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1dc3bb…
05-07 00:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc97500…
05-06 21:10:01	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf5386d…
05-06 21:05:02	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5682eb…
05-06 21:05:00	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd2fe4b…
05-06 20:55:00	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe8d125…
05-06 20:40:00	BNB Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4db8a6…
05-06 19:25:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd5d303…
05-06 19:05:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x5abb28…
05-06 18:20:02	BNB Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x165e7f…
05-06 18:10:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd6a679…
05-06 16:50:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x42256f…
05-06 14:40:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x80394f…
05-06 14:40:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x18240d…
05-06 14:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	92	34¢	$31	0xa9bd85…
05-06 11:20:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1baa71…
05-06 10:20:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9954bf…
05-06 10:10:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd9db47…
05-06 09:10:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xbc4605…
05-06 09:10:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x5a6978…
05-06 07:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0xb1e06e…
05-06 07:32:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	662	15¢	$99	0x2fae47…
05-05 21:37:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	662	27¢	$179	0x0451c1…
05-05 12:27:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	28¢	$23	0x542c5f…
05-05 12:10:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0x064622…
05-05 12:10:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	28¢	$3	0x67c4b5…
05-05 09:53:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x13b757…
05-05 05:30:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	65	77¢	$50	0x936ed6…
05-04 14:12:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	185	79¢	$146	0x3ce529…
05-04 10:03:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	250	84¢	$210	0xf2efbe…
05-01 21:40:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	433	55¢	$236	0x3fe635…
05-01 21:40:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	359	78¢	$280	0x68bed7…
05-01 21:39:34	Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	Yes	SELL	1,241	4¢	$49	0xbfae40…
05-01 21:39:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	31¢	$4	0x5ee38f…
05-01 20:14:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	16	55¢	$9	0x823b84…
05-01 20:11:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	359	79¢	$284	0x0fee15…
05-01 19:02:20	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	527	79¢	$416	0x2e2442…
05-01 19:01:26	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	527	81¢	$427	0x0a3bcf…
05-01 18:54:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	73	55¢	$40	0x05e79e…
05-01 18:41:36	Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	Yes	BUY	1,241	11¢	$137	0xc49ed6…
05-01 18:38:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	522	57¢	$298	0x3cff5b…
05-01 09:30:36	Valorant: VARREL vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega	ZETA DIVISION	SELL	600	36¢	$216	0xaa1666…
05-01 03:48:32	Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	G2	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0xf49ecf…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	50	$13.3K	1,813	05-22 17:33
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	50	$3.08K	588	05-11 05:43
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	49	$4.57K	475	05-11 06:08
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	48	$12.2K	932	05-11 06:09
(anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3	48	$1.43K	303	05-11 06:08
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	47	$42.2K	965	05-29 20:54
Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf	45	$965	99	05-11 06:59
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	44	$5.52K	1,256	05-11 06:59