Ornate-Viability — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$41

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

59.4%

Resolved (30d)

260

Trades (30d)

394

7,028 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$1.81K

$37.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-23

last 11-06 23:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% -$899

Other

0% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 163 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up		+12	$2	2¢	$0	-$2	11-07 04:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-03 07:00 UTC	54	$115	248	0	+248	Down	+$7	07-03 07:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 17:50 UTC	11	$91	204	0	+204	Up	+$13	07-04 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	31	$90	200	0	+200	Up	+$10	05-07 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	23	$89	200	0	+200	Up	+$11	05-07 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	25	$88	190	0	+190	Down	+$12	05-07 02:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 07:30 UTC	47	$87	198	0	+198	Up	+$13	07-03 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	25	$85	171	0	+171	Up	+$5	05-07 18:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-03 07:30 UTC	35	$85	180	0	+180	Up	-$1	07-03 07:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	82	$82	5,628	0	+5,628	Down	-$82	04-30 21:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	22	$81	190	0	+190	Down	+$9	05-07 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	22	$81	190	0	+190	Down	+$9	05-07 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	20	$80	180	0	+180	Up	$0	05-07 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	24	$80	180	0	+180	Down	+$20	05-07 01:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	23	$79	160	0	+160	Up	+$11	05-07 01:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	20	$75	170	0	+170	Up	+$5	05-07 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	22	$74	166	0	+166	Up	+$6	05-07 05:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	19	$73	160	0	+160	Down	-$3	05-07 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	20	$72	177	0	+177	Up	-$2	05-07 18:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 06:30 UTC	33	$71	193	0	+193	Down	+$25	07-03 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	20	$70	128	0	+128	Down	+$37	05-11 05:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	21	$68	160	0	+160	Up	+$12	05-07 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$68	50	50	+0	Up	+$2	09-05 21:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	21	$67	140	0	+140	Down	-$7	05-07 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	19	$67	158	0	+158	Up	+$3	05-07 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	17	$66	140	0	+140	Down	+$4	05-07 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$66	50	50	+0	Up	+$2	09-05 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	16	$65	140	0	+140	Up	+$5	05-07 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	20	$65	150	0	+150	Up	+$15	05-07 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	64	$64	3,022	0	+3,022	Down	-$64	04-30 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$64	50	50	+0	Down	+$4	09-11 17:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 04:02:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xc7dd17…
11-07 03:56:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x54e0f4…
11-06 23:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x0f1366…
11-06 22:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xd073dd…
11-06 22:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x70100a…
11-06 22:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x91f671…
11-06 22:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x2d610a…
11-06 22:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xbbf4e3…
11-06 22:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x1d7ac5…
11-06 22:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xb5e4a5…
11-06 22:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xd17e73…
11-06 22:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x47b85f…
11-06 22:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x62a674…
11-06 22:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x8fc917…
11-06 21:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xeab4c7…
11-06 21:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x915aea…
11-06 21:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb4c3c2…
11-06 21:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xc369fa…
11-06 21:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x48f13c…
11-06 21:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x12604d…
11-06 21:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x6b7c94…
11-06 21:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xa8aec2…
11-06 21:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xc6bac1…
11-06 21:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x2a2629…
11-06 21:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xa48f83…
11-06 21:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x52dcc1…
11-06 21:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x691a4f…
11-06 20:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x4824b2…
11-06 20:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x6ded16…
11-06 20:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x35cea6…
11-06 20:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xbd3757…
11-06 19:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x848d82…
11-06 19:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	23¢	$2	0xa37c68…
11-06 19:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x1319b9…
11-06 19:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x59ba58…
11-06 18:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x514dc8…
11-06 17:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xe4735d…
11-06 17:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x199b76…
11-06 17:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x3e35f6…
11-06 17:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x95e1e7…
11-06 17:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x6717ec…
11-06 17:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x1bb185…
11-06 17:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x81cd8e…
11-06 16:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x8a8087…
11-06 14:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x18673f…
11-06 14:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xf40e2d…
11-06 14:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x44ee71…
11-06 14:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xabf998…
11-06 14:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0xefc73c…
11-06 14:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xbe8083…
11-06 13:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x5f1949…
11-06 13:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x7aad04…
11-06 13:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xb4d798…
11-06 13:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x0bd13f…
11-06 13:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x7a2a0e…
11-06 13:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xd3d23f…
11-06 13:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x8a4248…
11-06 13:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xbe7dd7…
11-06 12:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x67c586…
11-06 12:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x09fc0f…
11-06 12:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x689d6f…
11-06 12:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x83fcc2…
11-06 12:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	23¢	$3	0xcddcad…
11-06 12:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x7a4674…
11-06 12:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0x53aa37…
11-06 12:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xe98adb…
11-06 12:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xb2ecea…
11-06 12:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0x8bf0a5…
11-06 12:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xf46e62…
11-06 11:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x2598ca…
11-06 11:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x014fb9…
11-06 11:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xeb6234…
11-06 11:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x03c819…
11-06 11:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x166be7…
11-06 11:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x5f3cbd…
11-06 11:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6b78f7…
11-06 11:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x365ad7…
11-06 10:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x730400…
11-06 10:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x95c18d…
11-06 10:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x39fad6…
11-06 10:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x20c1d8…
11-06 10:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x450667…
11-06 10:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x705ae3…
11-06 10:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x10eefe…
11-06 10:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb0afee…
11-06 10:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x479dde…
11-06 10:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xbda0d4…
11-06 09:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x039d2d…
11-06 09:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x98354e…
11-06 09:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xdaa9aa…
11-06 09:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x09ea46…
11-06 09:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x06bc10…
11-06 09:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xa48d57…
11-06 09:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x697cf2…
11-06 09:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xbc5834…
11-06 09:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x38c082…
11-06 09:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x33c02b…
11-06 09:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xd12bdc…
11-06 08:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x20b988…
11-06 08:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x757d68…