Oblong-Counter-Brand — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$251

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$23.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$255

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 09-30 23:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

60% 90% +$363

Politics

30% 75% -$126

Crypto

10% 100% +$16

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	4	$3.6K	2,202	2,202	+0	No	-$124	05-23 14:32
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	1	$1.7K	1,733	0	+1,733	Yes	+$2	05-24 18:45
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	4	$1.4K	1,325	1,325	+0	Yes	-$327	06-30 09:42
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	2	$1.4K	825	825	+0	No	+$195	05-30 02:39
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	1	$1.4K	1,575	0	+1,575	No	+$205	05-14 03:48
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 13?	1	$1.3K	1,378	0	+1,378	No	+$97	05-12 17:45
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	2	$1.2K	1,001	180	+821	No	+$1	05-11 17:49
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	1	$981	982	0	+982	Yes	+$1	05-23 15:11
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	4	$815	686	686	+0	No	+$9	06-23 09:52
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 4-10?	1	$539	540	0	+540	No	+$1	05-10 16:21
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	1	$500	501	0	+501	No	+$1	05-31 17:58
spy closes above 790 on august 26 2026	1	$499	499	0	+499	No	+$0	08-26 17:46
spy closes above 740 on august 26 2026	1	$482	482	0	+482	Yes	+$0	08-26 17:46
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by May 31?	1	$459	469	0	+469	No	+$10	05-30 17:58
spy closes above 785 on august 26 2026	1	$450	450	0	+450	No	+$0	08-26 17:47
will tsla reach 442 50 by june 22 2026	1	$397	400	0	+400	No	+$3	06-26 02:09
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $440 on May 11?	1	$344	345	0	+345	No	+$1	05-11 13:34
spy closes above 745 on august 26 2026	1	$311	311	0	+311	Yes	+$0	08-26 17:47
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$300	301	0	+301	No	+$1	05-31 17:58
will solana dip to 70 on may 23	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	05-23 15:09
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	2	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	05-31 17:51
meta above 700 on june 30 2026	1	$263	265	0	+265	No	+$2	06-27 08:20
will tsla dip to 360 by june 22 2026	1	$250	320	0	+320	No	+$70	06-26 02:07
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	3	$245	198	198	+0	Yes	+$63	06-27 08:05
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $370 in May?	1	$225	231	0	+231	No	+$6	05-29 11:58
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of May 25 2026?	1	$209	213	0	+213	No	+$4	05-29 11:47
will tsla reach 427 50 by june 22 2026	1	$207	209	0	+209	No	+$2	06-26 02:10
meta above 680 on june 30 2026	1	$183	185	0	+185	No	+$2	06-27 08:20
will tsla reach 450 by june 22 2026	2	$163	164	0	+164	No	+$1	06-26 02:09
meta above 660 on june 30 2026	1	$163	165	0	+165	No	+$2	06-27 08:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 23:28:26	open above 1 on october 2 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xcde01b…
09-30 23:26:20	open above 0pt5 on october 2 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xee760e…
08-26 17:47:57	spy closes above 745 on august 26 2026	Yes	BUY	311	100¢	$311	0x2ce6e8…
08-26 17:47:33	spy closes above 785 on august 26 2026	No	BUY	450	100¢	$450	0x2b7a91…
08-26 17:46:46	spy closes above 740 on august 26 2026	Yes	BUY	482	100¢	$482	0x272364…
08-26 17:46:19	spy closes above 790 on august 26 2026	No	BUY	499	100¢	$499	0xc83464…
06-30 09:42:38	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	321	41¢	$131	0x18ce84…
06-29 22:43:46	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	321	67¢	$215	0xe1de29…
06-29 15:12:01	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,004	43¢	$427	0xabd8d6…
06-27 08:27:34	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,004	67¢	$670	0xa3cb50…
06-27 08:21:17	meta above 640 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	104	99¢	$103	0xc24c15…
06-27 08:21:08	meta above 660 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	165	99¢	$163	0x496f9f…
06-27 08:20:58	meta above 680 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	185	99¢	$183	0x49623c…
06-27 08:20:46	meta above 700 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	265	99¢	$263	0x4813a0…
06-27 08:14:52	will abnb reach 160 in june 2026	No	BUY	134	97¢	$130	0x6f28b9…
06-27 08:05:49	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	198	78¢	$154	0x33ada4…
06-26 02:12:17	Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $415-$420 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x81b7ff…
06-26 02:12:07	Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $420-$425 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x7dd763…
06-26 02:12:01	Will Tesla (TSLA) close at >$425 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xd66c07…
06-26 02:11:49	will tsla dip to 352 50 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	160	96¢	$153	0x6426ac…
06-26 02:10:50	will tsla reach 427 50 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	209	99¢	$207	0x856c63…
06-26 02:10:23	will tsla reach 435 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x469398…
06-26 02:09:55	will tsla reach 442 50 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	400	99¢	$397	0xef2f8f…
06-26 02:09:23	will tsla reach 450 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x5723f3…
06-26 02:09:16	will tsla reach 450 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	109	100¢	$108	0x58e847…
06-26 02:07:56	will tsla dip to 360 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	320	78¢	$250	0x61da56…
06-26 02:06:19	Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $415-$420 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x7e1f96…
06-26 02:06:11	Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $420-$425 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x6c8669…
06-26 02:06:02	Will Tesla (TSLA) close at >$425 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x44a3e4…
06-26 01:59:47	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $220-$225 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xf763a0…
06-26 01:59:07	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $225-$230 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xeca68b…
06-26 01:58:50	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $230-$235 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x8301b7…
06-26 01:58:37	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $220-$225 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x663565…
06-26 01:57:53	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $225-$230 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xf0a0f1…
06-26 01:57:46	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $230-$235 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0x223a30…
06-26 01:57:32	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at >$235 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x01f9c0…
06-26 01:54:08	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	146	46¢	$67	0xc1f7c7…
06-26 01:42:41	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	8¢	$5	0xcb7569…
06-26 01:42:11	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	7¢	$10	0xcaa852…
06-26 01:33:14	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	128	8¢	$10	0x2b92db…
06-26 01:32:23	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	46¢	$24	0x672c20…
06-23 09:52:37	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	620	60¢	$372	0x8c2295…
06-23 09:50:46	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	60¢	$40	0xac5bc8…
06-22 22:26:20	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	685	4¢	$30	0xd3fd70…
06-22 22:23:31	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	59¢	$47	0x4f497e…
06-22 22:23:07	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	606	59¢	$356	0xe35add…
05-31 17:58:33	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0xfa99e5…
05-31 17:58:22	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0x0eb9be…
05-31 17:51:01	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xdc379d…
05-31 17:49:08	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by May 31?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x379c56…
05-31 17:31:48	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb462ab…
05-30 17:58:53	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by May 31?	No	BUY	469	98¢	$459	0xa5519f…
05-30 17:58:04	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?	No	BUY	133	98¢	$130	0xd19520…
05-30 03:25:45	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	1,750	0¢	$7	0x9e83fe…
05-30 02:39:50	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	No	SELL	825	99¢	$816	0x2a87f4…
05-29 13:42:56	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	No	BUY	825	75¢	$621	0xbda4c4…
05-29 13:38:14	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $160 in May?	No	BUY	147	99¢	$146	0xb0854e…
05-29 13:37:58	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $164 in May?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xdf0dd1…
05-29 13:37:35	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $220 in May?	No	BUY	154	99¢	$152	0xf04ee7…
05-29 13:37:11	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0x15d01d…
05-29 13:04:36	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	182	71¢	$130	0x59f97d…
05-29 11:58:52	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $370 in May?	No	BUY	231	97¢	$225	0x1e8e9b…
05-29 11:58:18	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	No	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x643178…
05-29 11:47:36	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	213	98¢	$209	0x1926ef…
05-24 18:45:24	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	1,733	100¢	$1,731	0xa84fc2…
05-23 15:11:59	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	982	100¢	$981	0xebc430…
05-23 15:10:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x721833…
05-23 15:10:36	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3e2d0a…
05-23 15:10:19	Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on May 23?	No	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0x0dcef0…
05-23 15:10:10	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 on May 23?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x11d002…
05-23 15:09:58	Will Ethereum reach $2,250 on May 23?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x1160a0…
05-23 15:09:49	Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x94d576…
05-23 15:09:30	will solana dip to 70 on may 23	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x3359d9…
05-23 14:32:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	353	78¢	$275	0xfdc414…
05-23 09:17:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	900	77¢	$691	0x3a102f…
05-23 09:16:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	950	80¢	$760	0x81a06f…
05-21 00:54:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x2f6261…
05-21 00:53:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	2,202	84¢	$1,850	0x66339e…
05-14 03:48:38	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1,575	87¢	$1,370	0xa840c6…
05-12 17:45:13	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 13?	No	BUY	1,378	93¢	$1,281	0xe380b6…
05-11 17:52:52	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $705 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	75	98¢	$74	0xc658ab…
05-11 17:49:46	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	192	55¢	$106	0x33fb1e…
05-11 17:49:01	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	180	100¢	$180	0x0cd05b…
05-11 17:18:30	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 on May 11?	No	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x88e042…
05-11 13:37:25	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $410 on May 11?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x3a923e…
05-11 13:36:29	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 on May 11?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x4289d2…
05-11 13:34:11	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $440 on May 11?	No	BUY	345	100¢	$344	0xbb59c4…
05-10 16:21:58	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 4-10?	No	BUY	540	100¢	$539	0xa49014…
05-10 16:19:52	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x290f96…
05-10 16:19:26	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x07a81b…
05-10 16:18:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5eeea1…
05-10 16:18:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x878f7b…