Critical-Disengagement — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.7%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

17 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$28

$28 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-10 17:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 64% +$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$3	6	+6	Up	$-3	05-08 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Up	+$2	05-09 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$3	6	+6	Down	+$3	05-08 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Up	+$2	05-08 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$2	10	+10	open	—	05-10 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$2	10	+10	Up	$-2	05-08 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$2	3	+3	Down	$-2	05-09 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$1	9	+9	open	—	05-10 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$1	9	+9	open	—	05-10 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-10 07:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$1	9	+9	open	—	05-10 17:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	05-10 06:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-10 06:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	1	$1	3	+3	Down	+$2	05-10 04:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	05-10 04:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$1	7	+7	Down	+$6	05-07 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$1	7	+7	Down	$-1	05-07 22:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 17:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0xee46ac…
05-10 14:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0x8da16f…
05-10 14:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	17¢	$1	0xac2a29…
05-10 14:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x2534b0…
05-10 07:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xa2ef0e…
05-10 06:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x5affec…
05-10 06:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xbc209c…
05-10 04:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb0bb0f…
05-10 04:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x975b99…
05-09 16:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x787fc1…
05-09 12:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x4c69e6…
05-08 15:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x70eaa9…
05-08 08:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x341e0b…
05-08 06:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x21ec68…
05-08 04:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x5d3fc4…
05-07 22:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x667bb8…
05-07 21:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xeb90ac…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	17	$7.02K	319	05-10 17:51
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	17	$1.86K	152	05-10 17:51
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	16	$4.13K	143	05-10 17:51
Mad-Plot 0x2709…20f5	16	$1.64K	190	05-10 17:51
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	16	$668	35	05-10 17:51
Impressive-Buck 0xbd05…0a55	15	$652	71	05-10 14:47
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	15	$652	121	05-10 17:51
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	14	$5.68K	44	05-10 17:51