Agonizing-Aperitif — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$209

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

61.1%

Resolved

443

Trades

892

lifetime

Volume

$7.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$21

1 position

First seen

2026-05-10

last 08-06 02:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Other

60% 63% -$128

Crypto

22% 55% -$86

Sports

17% 62% +$23

Politics

1% 17% -$6

Tech

0% 50% -$12

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-06).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Dogecoin reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?	No		+21	$21	98¢	$21	+$0	08-05 10:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$196	189	188	+0	Yes	+$149	07-19 21:49
ethereum above 1700 on july 8 2026	8	$123	68	68	+0	Yes	+$3	07-08 14:32
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 12?	13	$121	63	63	+0	Yes	+$1	05-12 22:12
bitcoin above 60k on july 9 2026	4	$95	51	51	+0	Yes	+$1	07-08 16:59
bitcoin above 60k on july 10 2026	4	$93	51	51	+0	Yes	+$2	07-09 04:53
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-17?	16	$80	84	0	+84	Yes	+$4	05-17 11:57
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$66	72	72	+0	No	-$30	07-18 22:28
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$65	158	127	+31	No	+$7	07-09 15:06
bitcoin above 62k on july 8 2026	4	$53	38	38	+0	No	-$6	07-08 15:31
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$53	447	447	+0	No	-$1	07-11 06:54
bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	2	$50	29	29	+0	Yes	+$2	07-09 13:57
bitcoin above 60k on july 11 2026	2	$49	27	27	+0	Yes	+$1	07-09 06:36
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 11?	8	$48	26	26	+0	Yes	+$0	07-11 10:17
bitcoin above 60k on july 8 2026	2	$48	27	27	+0	Yes	+$3	07-06 15:49
bitcoin above 60k on july 7 2026	2	$47	26	26	+0	Yes	+$2	07-06 15:08
ethereum above 1700 on july 9 2026	2	$45	29	29	+0	Yes	-$2	07-08 08:45
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 7?	8	$44	24	24	+0	No	+$0	07-07 09:28
bitcoin above 64k on july 10 2026	2	$43	43	43	+0	Yes	-$4	07-10 06:25
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	6	$43	23	23	+0	No	+$0	07-11 13:38
bitcoin above 62k on july 9 2026	2	$43	36	36	+0	Yes	-$5	07-08 08:29
will bitcoin reach 64k on july 9	6	$43	23	23	+0	Yes	+$0	07-10 00:31
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?	5	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	05-12 22:30
ethereum above 1700 on july 10 2026	2	$39	28	28	+0	Yes	-$2	07-08 08:45
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on July 7?	6	$39	21	21	+0	No	+$0	07-07 09:45
Will Spain win the World Cup?	2	$39	31	31	+0	Yes	-$13	07-15 08:10
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 8?	6	$38	21	21	+0	Yes	$0	07-08 14:32
United States vs. Belgium: Neither team to score first?	5	$38	24	16	+8	No	+$1	07-06 23:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$35	91	91	+0	No	-$4	05-27 11:26
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$35	64	64	+0	No	-$13	07-14 20:01
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$33	28	28	+0	No	-$12	07-30 20:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 02:07:41	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0xfd3035…
08-05 10:17:41	Will Dogecoin reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$21	0x85316c…
08-05 01:59:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	31	10¢	$3	0x6e0ad1…
08-03 16:40:39	xrp above 1 on august 7 2026	No	BUY	266	8¢	$21	0x03caeb…
08-03 16:40:23	xrp above 1 on august 6 2026	No	BUY	380	5¢	$21	0xcae91b…
08-03 02:16:38	Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	87¢	$21	0x0e383d…
08-03 00:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	266	8¢	$22	0x931c4e…
08-02 18:16:32	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 3?	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x17244b…
08-02 17:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 3?	Yes	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0xbe1a02…
08-01 16:48:33	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on August 2?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x17f8ee…
08-01 00:57:51	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	23	14¢	$3	0x6a6610…
07-31 15:52:47	Will Dogecoin reach $0.28 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0x7914d6…
07-30 21:06:56	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	27	36¢	$10	0x7e6ddf…
07-30 20:56:56	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	28	39¢	$11	0x7a7de4…
07-30 14:30:21	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	27	84¢	$22	0xe66c75…
07-30 14:30:11	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	28	81¢	$22	0x8e466c…
07-21 05:55:10	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	31	34¢	$11	0xfd0709…
07-19 21:49:15	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	188	91¢	$172	0xd3cc28…
07-18 22:28:00	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	33	15¢	$5	0xdba78b…
07-18 22:24:01	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0xcb7696…
07-18 17:25:49	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	BUY	25	86¢	$22	0xe76531…
07-17 04:03:43	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	31	70¢	$22	0x90af2e…
07-15 21:02:35	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	34	16¢	$5	0x3c15bb…
07-15 21:00:29	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	33	67¢	$22	0x070d73…
07-15 21:00:23	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	39	33¢	$13	0x5ae3e2…
07-15 08:10:16	Will Spain win the World Cup?	No	SELL	31	41¢	$13	0xa6e81a…
07-14 20:27:55	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0xcd44fb…
07-14 20:25:55	Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	52	7¢	$4	0x7a47d3…
07-14 20:01:19	Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	64	17¢	$11	0x2631a8…
07-14 05:46:56	France vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?	No	BUY	41	56¢	$23	0x8375b9…
07-14 03:00:53	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	65¢	$23	0x4d2195…
07-14 00:00:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	36	64¢	$23	0x04d085…
07-13 18:17:02	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x5e617f…
07-12 11:36:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 12?	No	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0x5eb0c8…
07-12 11:22:05	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on July 12?	No	SELL	7	76¢	$6	0xbd1a67…
07-12 11:20:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 12?	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xbfafd6…
07-12 10:32:20	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 12?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0x9484d7…
07-12 09:27:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0xfb2524…
07-12 09:20:55	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0xeaf76b…
07-12 09:09:47	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x63c3d2…
07-12 08:54:07	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 12?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0xebfede…
07-12 08:54:02	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 12?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0x96c09f…
07-12 08:37:01	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 12?	No	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xf3693e…
07-12 08:23:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 12?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xb6bfef…
07-12 08:19:20	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 12?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0xeb7490…
07-12 08:17:32	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0xa98d85…
07-12 08:09:08	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 12?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xee1049…
07-12 08:04:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xfa7aeb…
07-12 07:59:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on July 12?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x430420…
07-12 07:42:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 12?	No	SELL	7	78¢	$6	0xf86057…
07-12 07:41:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 12?	No	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0x0a9ac7…
07-12 07:39:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x3b0d8f…
07-12 07:38:38	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 12?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0xbbdc64…
07-12 07:38:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 12?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0xf6f6b3…
07-12 07:38:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 12?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xcfda49…
07-12 07:38:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x235b59…
07-12 07:23:44	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 12?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x114dbf…
07-12 07:20:07	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x8c483e…
07-12 07:19:19	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 12?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x40610b…
07-12 07:13:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 12?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x4f842a…
07-12 07:01:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 12?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x1e3aff…
07-12 06:29:14	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 12?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x4a5993…
07-12 06:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 12?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xa76e02…
07-12 06:18:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 12?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xf1f687…
07-12 06:11:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x79cc0a…
07-12 06:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 12?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0xbe32b3…
07-12 05:59:04	Exact Score: FC Seoul 1 - 2 Gangwon FC?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x71011f…
07-12 03:25:46	Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	No	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0x032a54…
07-12 00:52:34	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 11	No	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0x961d9f…
07-12 00:47:52	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 goals granit xhaka gte1	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x1f4207…
07-12 00:42:37	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 11	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xd1d319…
07-12 00:38:20	Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Switzerland?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x8ecb8b…
07-12 00:37:34	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 shots lautaro martinez gte3	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x221651…
07-12 00:28:23	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 assists granit xhaka gte1	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xf65056…
07-12 00:01:56	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 shots ruben vargas gte3	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x378935…
07-11 23:52:32	Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x46d3af…
07-11 23:28:02	ufc gsteve eli10 2026 07 11 ellison win by ko tko	No	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x93394c…
07-11 23:13:26	Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Switzerland?	No	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0x813b37…
07-11 23:11:29	will ethereum reach 1850 on july 11	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x90921a…
07-11 23:07:31	ufc gsteve eli10 2026 07 11 ellison win by ko tko	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x417af2…
07-11 22:47:20	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 11	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xa29d24…
07-11 22:31:53	will ethereum reach 1850 on july 11	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xf8de6d…
07-11 22:26:14	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 11	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x2fed9c…
07-11 22:17:34	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 assists lionel messi gte2	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xe09b63…
07-11 21:56:50	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 assists alexis mac allister gte1	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x2f46b2…
07-11 21:01:47	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals elliot anderson gte1	No	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x881b61…
07-11 20:21:32	Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?	No	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0xc582c1…
07-11 20:14:47	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 12?	Yes	BUY	18	30¢	$5	0xc7e9f1…
07-11 19:40:19	Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x5d1822…
07-11 19:15:35	Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0x990d1b…
07-11 19:05:05	Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Switzerland?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0xf742f7…
07-11 18:40:11	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 shots harry kane gte1	Yes	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0xebca99…
07-11 18:06:02	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 shots harry kane gte1	Yes	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0x91bca6…
07-11 18:05:23	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 shots erling haaland gte1	Yes	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0xf76cc4…
07-11 18:04:23	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 12?	Yes	BUY	17	33¢	$5	0x307294…
07-11 17:29:05	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 shots erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0x24e7d8…
07-11 16:03:14	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals elliot anderson gte1	No	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0x1e165e…
07-11 15:03:19	Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0x5dfbc6…
07-11 15:02:40	Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0x7be330…
07-11 14:29:44	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	No	BUY	41	58¢	$24	0xd95965…