Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

54.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$98

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-17

last 11-04 22:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

83% 49% -$10

Politics

15% 83% +$7

Tech

2% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Airbnb say "Take Rate" during earnings call?	Yes		+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	11-04 22:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 06:36
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-09 04:04
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on September 2?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-02 15:11
will xagusd reach 69 by august 17 2026	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$3	08-17 06:55
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	09-21 15:14
spy closes above 760 on september 18 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-18 00:12
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-09 12:25
will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-16 05:11
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-08 00:23
spy up or down on september 11 2026	1	$1	4	+4	Up	-$1	09-11 06:37
will xauusd dip to 4350 by september 7 2026 from september 9	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-10 00:33
will warsh say good morning during jackson hole speech on august 28	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	08-21 15:32
Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-18 22:27
will warsh say anchor during september press conference 20260909	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-15 20:48
laptop airdrop by september 9	1	$1	6	+6	Yes	-$1	09-08 18:58
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$3	08-20 19:27
next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	08-30 13:23
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $67 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	08-24 18:08
spy closes above 770 on september 23 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-23 00:33
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-20 22:27
will ewy reach 188 by september 21 2026 from september 23	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-23 18:01
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	09-23 09:57
spx up or down on september 4 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Down	+$1	09-04 01:36
will rklb reach 88 by august 17 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	08-17 23:32
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-16 13:12
us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-19 23:08
will tsla reach 352 50 by august 17 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-21 05:07
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $77.50 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	08-25 02:56
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	08-20 01:01
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-01 18:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 22:36:06	Will Airbnb say "Take Rate" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe39654…
11-01 19:39:27	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8483fa…
10-22 18:45:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x75709e…
10-22 10:45:24	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc86b1e…
10-17 23:55:26	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xbc4d69…
10-17 08:42:32	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa2963d…
10-16 08:30:37	will rklb reach 58 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3dc7bd…
10-16 00:29:04	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb428d4…
10-15 14:08:17	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe7f5b5…
10-15 05:22:41	meta headcount above in q3 68000	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xa2d0c2…
10-15 05:22:35	spy up or down on october 15 2026	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xce5a84…
10-14 21:22:06	will pltr reach 210 by october 12 2026 from october 13	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb4ed93…
10-14 13:18:41	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x5d273e…
10-14 04:50:56	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x5681ba…
10-13 20:16:22	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb6f961…
10-13 12:15:44	will nvda reach 228 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7b86d2…
10-11 15:56:40	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x2b6202…
10-10 19:51:31	Will Prologis (PLD) Q3 core FFO per diluted share be above $1.70?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x135a94…
10-10 06:42:52	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x145479…
10-08 07:44:33	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf81279…
10-07 23:36:46	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x62c2fc…
10-07 02:30:08	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1c1545…
10-06 06:27:54	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x4c5541…
10-05 22:27:34	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x74733b…
10-05 14:15:20	will ewy dip to 184 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x60a59b…
10-05 00:13:58	will mu dip to 1050 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x06f9ba…
10-02 14:49:48	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe49cd9…
10-02 06:38:57	spy up or down on october 2 2026	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x5d1952…
10-01 16:35:47	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd01184…
10-01 08:34:57	will nvda reach 236 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x049841…
09-30 23:21:12	will xagusd reach 61 by september 28 2026 from september 30	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xc97933…
09-30 13:38:27	spy up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xdc30c2…
09-30 05:03:26	will wti reach 95 by september 28 2026 from september 28	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x978e94…
09-27 19:49:20	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt25 in september	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x963b05…
09-27 10:17:29	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc48ba9…
09-27 02:15:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe6b25e…
09-26 15:05:42	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x54fd85…
09-26 06:57:12	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb8f026…
09-23 18:01:19	will ewy reach 188 by september 21 2026 from september 23	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x0b2f1c…
09-23 09:57:04	Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xa69ed9…
09-23 00:33:41	spy closes above 770 on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x34228a…
09-21 15:14:16	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x96f21b…
09-21 07:06:17	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x12f908…
09-20 22:27:01	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x1266b5…
09-19 23:08:33	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x02e8e6…
09-19 06:36:00	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x593ddd…
09-18 22:27:03	Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x0cbbbb…
09-18 00:12:49	spy closes above 760 on september 18 2026	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcea88e…
09-17 11:45:31	spy closes above 755 on september 17 2026	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0xfc87e8…
09-16 13:12:22	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x900842…
09-16 05:11:36	will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x5b2f23…
09-15 20:48:54	will warsh say anchor during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x5ea8e5…
09-13 23:22:07	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xd0d6b3…
09-11 06:37:37	spy up or down on september 11 2026	Down	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xec02e7…
09-10 22:36:33	Will Trump say "America First" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x9bf084…
09-10 00:33:00	will xauusd dip to 4350 by september 7 2026 from september 9	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc22ba1…
09-09 12:25:18	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x64d27a…
09-09 04:04:42	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x175ac0…
09-08 18:58:46	laptop airdrop by september 9	No	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xaa0867…
09-08 00:23:31	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf112b2…
09-07 09:30:18	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $127.50 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x12a90e…
09-04 01:36:16	spx up or down on september 4 2026	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xd06590…
09-02 15:11:04	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on September 2?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0xb384a7…
09-01 18:55:51	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x5c4479…
09-01 10:06:40	Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x476653…
08-30 13:23:31	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	No	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x46ecc5…
08-30 05:12:09	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x4d4838…
08-29 18:55:15	will pltr dip to 180 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0xd9cf74…
08-29 09:03:24	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x5e2453…
08-28 22:34:15	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x72d475…
08-25 12:56:36	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $184 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2d5f2d…
08-25 02:56:51	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $77.50 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x702322…
08-24 18:08:00	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $67 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc87a5d…
08-24 09:38:24	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $82.50 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xf0abe9…
08-24 01:22:46	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x9fc236…
08-23 04:03:15	will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf371b3…
08-21 15:32:34	will warsh say good morning during jackson hole speech on august 28	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x23378f…
08-21 05:07:07	will tsla reach 352 50 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x3d5991…
08-20 19:27:07	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xc75af7…
08-20 01:01:13	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x1c4394…
08-19 14:05:49	will warsh say framework during jackson hole speech on august 28	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xac3979…
08-19 04:39:57	spy up or down on august 19 2026	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x361ea2…
08-18 15:51:22	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x52f1ff…
08-18 07:38:33	spx up or down on august 18 2026	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x273140…
08-17 23:32:25	will rklb reach 88 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe76e45…
08-17 15:27:48	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xcfd714…
08-17 06:55:46	will xagusd reach 69 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xd75d8b…