Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$54.2K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.6%

Resolved

Trades

582

lifetime

Volume

$2.00M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$3.44K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 09-07 04:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Politics

73% 100% +$24,842

Other

15% 92% +$25,141

Crypto

12% 85% +$4,211

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	328	$576.7K	596,917	0	+596,917	No	+$20,264	02-25 03:01
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	6	$356.6K	257,008	100,109	+156,899	Yes	+$251	04-09 23:06
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$355.3K	356,319	0	+356,319	Yes	+$1,069	04-06 07:58
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	35	$200.3K	127,524	77,524	+50,000	No	+$2,595	04-19 22:23
bitcoin above 72k on march 8	2	$182.1K	182,280	0	+182,280	No	+$193	03-08 08:03
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	7	$76.1K	76,149	0	+76,149	No	+$76	03-09 00:49
will iran strike israel on march 3	3	$50.0K	50,049	0	+50,049	Yes	+$50	03-06 22:08
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	6	$46.9K	0	50,000	-50,000	Yes	-$3,136	04-23 14:37
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	27	$31.3K	54,565	0	+54,565	Yes	+$23,262	01-10 02:12
will bitcoin reach 76k march 2 8	2	$24.8K	24,814	0	+24,814	No	+$25	03-08 09:00
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	3	$21.8K	22,820	0	+22,820	Yes	+$975	03-04 16:38
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	3	$21.6K	21,644	0	+21,644	No	+$22	03-09 00:48
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	15	$17.7K	9,146	9,146	+0	Yes	+$174	03-08 22:19
bitcoin above 70k on march 8	3	$9.0K	9,133	0	+9,133	No	+$110	03-08 08:24
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?	5	$9.0K	4,818	4,818	+0	Yes	+$611	01-09 04:42
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 8	1	$7.5K	7,487	0	+7,487	No	+$7	03-08 08:00
will ethereum reach 2400 march 2 8	1	$4.6K	4,595	0	+4,595	No	+$5	03-08 08:15
will bitcoin reach 72k on march 10	4	$2.5K	7,000	0	+7,000	No	+$4,480	03-10 15:28
will bitcoin reach 78k march 2 8	2	$1.3K	1,306	0	+1,306	No	+$1	03-08 07:59
will solana reach 110 march 2 8	1	$1.0K	1,018	0	+1,018	No	+$1	03-08 08:28
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$600	0	50,000	-50,000	No	+$600	03-09 17:53
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	1	$597	0	596,917	-596,917	No	+$597	03-04 16:17
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	1	$597	0	596,917	-596,917	No	+$597	03-04 16:16
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	9	$520	0	520,308	-520,308	No	+$520	03-04 20:00
will bitcoin dip to 66k march 9 15	7	$480	1,999	0	+1,999	No	-$480	03-10 15:33
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	14	$465	0	50,000	-50,000	No	+$465	04-03 15:40
will solana reach 100 march 2 8	2	$442	443	0	+443	No	+$2	03-08 08:29
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	39	$416	0	415,837	-415,837	No	+$416	03-04 19:51
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	3	$412	276	276	+0	open	—	09-06 15:57
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$358	362	0	+362	Yes	+$4	03-08 21:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-07 04:04:25	Will GTE launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	66	6¢	$4	0x76a102…
09-07 04:04:13	Will GTE launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	261	9¢	$23	0x2e3441…
09-07 04:00:40	Will GTE launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	186	11¢	$20	0xfd369c…
09-07 04:00:24	Will GTE launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	377	8¢	$32	0x0bfd3f…
09-06 15:57:43	Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	166	76¢	$127	0x7f6769…
09-06 15:54:49	Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	81¢	$89	0x1c15b9…
09-05 14:49:24	Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	276	71¢	$196	0xf73f65…
09-05 14:44:48	Will GTE launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	447	13¢	$58	0x2aee68…
09-05 14:38:15	Will GTE launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	443	7¢	$33	0xc8aa89…
04-23 14:37:08	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	889	94¢	$838	0x9a4671…
04-21 14:58:20	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	6,000	94¢	$5,617	0xc87790…
04-20 08:08:04	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	25,272	94¢	$23,639	0x125fdb…
04-20 08:07:32	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	300	94¢	$282	0x6a519d…
04-20 08:07:24	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1,303	94¢	$1,227	0x38a15a…
04-19 22:23:40	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	32,604	99¢	$32,180	0x33894a…
04-19 22:07:58	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	16,235	94¢	$15,261	0x1e0967…
04-19 22:07:14	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	3,388	99¢	$3,344	0x9b71db…
04-19 22:05:52	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	208	99¢	$205	0x2d6418…
04-19 22:05:46	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	144	99¢	$142	0x7bb963…
04-19 22:05:24	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	813	99¢	$803	0xd40794…
04-19 01:14:24	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	20,000	98¢	$19,700	0xce3349…
04-18 01:24:24	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	1,500	98¢	$1,475	0xdd83e6…
04-18 01:24:04	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	9,000	98¢	$8,856	0x6bd4b7…
04-18 01:23:40	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5,623	99¢	$5,539	0x644ed4…
04-18 01:23:22	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	4,244	99¢	$4,189	0xc18b8b…
04-09 23:06:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	100,101	100¢	$100,001	0xbfd63f…
04-09 18:35:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	57,000	100¢	$56,943	0x56364f…
04-09 18:07:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	100,000	100¢	$99,900	0x7872a3…
04-09 16:33:55	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0xa797eb…
04-09 16:22:45	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	418	98¢	$410	0x459e34…
04-09 16:12:49	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$17	0x500840…
04-09 14:36:15	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	34	98¢	$34	0x96cbad…
04-09 14:34:45	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	33	98¢	$33	0x6903fe…
04-09 14:26:15	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0xd4021d…
04-09 13:56:13	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	12,033	98¢	$11,793	0x3dc2a3…
04-09 13:51:09	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	11,094	98¢	$10,872	0xeab78e…
04-09 01:20:23	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x672a15…
04-09 00:59:15	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xb96d98…
04-09 00:55:13	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	480	98¢	$471	0x3cf533…
04-09 00:54:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	100,000	100¢	$99,800	0xb63679…
04-08 21:04:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x55ae1f…
04-07 21:03:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0xaecf38…
04-06 07:58:27	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	154,603	100¢	$154,139	0x575e24…
04-06 00:34:41	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	200,602	100¢	$200,000	0x9897b7…
04-05 22:44:15	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	963	100¢	$960	0xa1dc27…
04-05 22:44:09	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	152	100¢	$151	0x1865ff…
04-03 15:40:31	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	2,142	0¢	$11	0x82ae97…
04-03 14:15:05	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	2,948	0¢	$15	0x0eb6ca…
04-03 11:14:17	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0xe21b59…
04-03 10:46:19	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xcb202c…
04-03 10:39:49	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	93	0¢	$0	0xb4196f…
04-03 10:38:55	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	207	0¢	$0	0x67fbeb…
04-03 10:35:41	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	281	0¢	$1	0x128d1d…
04-03 09:57:39	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	104	0¢	$0	0xa3703c…
04-03 09:55:23	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	75	0¢	$0	0x14561c…
04-03 09:54:35	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	173	0¢	$0	0xe23937…
04-03 09:53:43	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	37	0¢	$0	0x0f3b30…
04-03 09:44:05	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	67	0¢	$0	0xcd0a2f…
04-03 09:38:45	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	74	0¢	$0	0x8e59ee…
04-03 09:28:03	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	161	0¢	$0	0xe6e035…
04-03 09:14:53	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	81	0¢	$0	0xc2ec63…
04-03 09:03:29	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	144	0¢	$0	0x2c79e8…
04-03 08:53:59	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	150	0¢	$0	0x9b5b5a…
04-03 08:47:51	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1,992	0¢	$10	0xa84cb0…
04-03 08:47:25	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	34,000	0¢	$34	0xaea139…
04-03 08:47:05	Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	25,906	0¢	$26	0xb79c11…
04-03 08:46:39	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	48,331	0¢	$97	0x4ec11d…
04-03 03:01:19	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	3,347	1¢	$33	0x815a4c…
04-02 13:31:37	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	15,854	1¢	$159	0x204244…
04-02 06:37:03	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	18,917	1¢	$189	0x7b7d52…
04-01 20:59:17	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	941	1¢	$9	0x14ee7d…
04-01 20:59:01	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	941	1¢	$9	0xbd6d8a…
04-01 20:58:53	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	939	1¢	$9	0xf5d433…
04-01 20:58:33	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	939	1¢	$9	0x5e53ed…
04-01 20:53:11	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	493	1¢	$5	0x297a14…
04-01 14:48:03	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	545	1¢	$5	0x722b93…
04-01 13:40:51	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xfe5c81…
04-01 10:52:29	Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	43,542	0¢	$87	0xe2bb26…
04-01 10:32:01	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	50,000	0¢	$100	0xd6fcd2…
04-01 10:31:09	Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	21,507	0¢	$43	0x39c6fe…
04-01 10:30:43	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	16,000	0¢	$32	0x01bc40…
03-21 07:45:49	Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	387	2¢	$8	0x2bfd30…
03-21 07:39:59	Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1,493	2¢	$30	0x870c20…
03-21 06:03:41	Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	708	2¢	$14	0x4ef1d8…
03-10 17:33:03	will bitcoin reach 72k march 9 15	No	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x340711…
03-10 17:32:35	will bitcoin reach 72k march 9 15	No	BUY	508	15¢	$76	0x3b9d98…
03-10 17:32:21	will bitcoin reach 72k march 9 15	No	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x3f9951…
03-10 15:33:21	will bitcoin dip to 66k march 9 15	Yes	BUY	1,867	24¢	$448	0xbf79b9…
03-10 15:33:15	will bitcoin dip to 66k march 9 15	Yes	BUY	60	24¢	$14	0x1e01a1…
03-10 15:33:05	will bitcoin dip to 66k march 9 15	Yes	BUY	60	24¢	$14	0x257d3d…
03-10 15:30:27	will bitcoin dip to 66k march 9 15	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x8e3460…
03-10 15:30:23	will bitcoin dip to 66k march 9 15	Yes	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0x275bcb…
03-10 15:30:21	will bitcoin dip to 66k march 9 15	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0xea5331…
03-10 15:30:19	will bitcoin dip to 66k march 9 15	Yes	BUY	2	24¢	$0	0x1312cf…
03-10 15:28:29	will bitcoin reach 72k on march 10	No	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x281688…
03-10 15:28:27	will bitcoin reach 72k on march 10	No	BUY	6,087	36¢	$2,191	0x997609…
03-10 15:28:27	will bitcoin reach 72k on march 10	No	BUY	459	36¢	$165	0x0857d2…
03-10 15:28:13	will bitcoin reach 72k on march 10	No	BUY	454	36¢	$163	0xe5d91b…
03-10 15:21:29	will bitcoin reach 72k march 9 15	No	BUY	400	15¢	$60	0xf3c88d…
03-09 17:53:33	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	50,000	1¢	$600	0x041e37…