Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$49

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

62.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

$13

1 position

First seen

2026-01-22

last 08-30 23:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

45% 67% -$50

Politics

42% 57% +$1

Sports

6% 100% +$0

Tech

6% 100% +$0

Crypto

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No		+14	$12	92¢	$13	+$1	08-16 01:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran strike on israel by january 31	2	$249	131	131	+0	No	+$0	01-27 04:10
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$124	125	0	+125	Yes	+$0	01-28 08:10
will the liberal democratic party win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	1	$123	123	0	+123	Yes	+$0	02-08 14:01
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	2	$122	96	96	+0	Yes	-$17	02-01 18:52
will president be said at the super bowl 277	1	$96	96	0	+96	Yes	+$0	02-09 10:45
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	1	$83	83	0	+83	Yes	+$0	01-30 09:33
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	1	$80	87	0	+87	Yes	+$8	01-22 04:43
miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	4	$75	39	39	+0	No	+$0	03-24 13:13
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	2	$75	38	38	+0	No	+$0	03-25 10:51
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	2	$75	38	38	+0	No	+$0	04-03 06:23
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$64	0	85	-85	No	-$21	03-02 01:30
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	3	$59	68	43	+25	Yes	+$20	02-23 12:31
nothing ever happens microstrategy	2	$50	109	109	+0	No	-$26	02-20 13:47
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	1	$48	52	0	+52	No	+$4	06-29 20:09
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$38	19	19	+0	No	+$0	03-21 06:34
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$34	22	22	+0	No	-$4	03-16 03:52
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	1	$30	33	0	+33	No	+$3	06-22 23:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	1	$17	18	0	+18	No	+$1	04-05 08:03
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	2	$16	29	29	+0	No	-$2	08-30 23:45
Fed rate hike in 2026?	1	$14	30	0	+30	Yes	-$14	08-14 00:28
Iran leadership change by December 31?	1	$12	14	0	+14	open	—	08-16 01:47
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	5	$3	186	186	+0	Yes	+$0	04-05 09:34
bitcoin above 76k on march 25	5	$3	935	935	-0	No	-$1	03-25 12:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-30 23:45:49	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	23¢	$7	0x1ab445…
08-30 14:45:49	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	31¢	$9	0x9ac291…
08-16 01:47:15	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	14	83¢	$12	0x27dc71…
08-14 00:28:42	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x8567a7…
06-29 20:09:50	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	No	BUY	52	92¢	$48	0xff9da8…
06-22 23:27:38	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0xfc4a2d…
04-05 09:34:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	82	1¢	$1	0xe5da93…
04-05 09:31:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xd7f7df…
04-05 09:25:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x3c3e1e…
04-05 09:24:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	94	1¢	$1	0x36163d…
04-05 08:03:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x6a1e8d…
04-05 07:29:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	186	1¢	$2	0x6e85a2…
04-03 06:23:55	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$37	0x705392…
03-27 14:51:35	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$37	0x357f62…
03-25 12:34:41	bitcoin above 76k on march 25	Yes	SELL	935	0¢	$1	0x5d7f51…
03-25 11:22:51	bitcoin above 76k on march 25	Yes	BUY	675	0¢	$1	0xc0cc28…
03-25 11:22:47	bitcoin above 76k on march 25	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x07358e…
03-25 11:22:29	bitcoin above 76k on march 25	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xaa25d6…
03-25 11:21:21	bitcoin above 76k on march 25	Yes	BUY	158	0¢	$0	0xff257b…
03-25 10:51:25	Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0xe0907a…
03-24 13:13:13	miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	No	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0x02eaeb…
03-24 09:23:43	miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	No	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x6330be…
03-24 08:26:03	miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x9fc5a9…
03-24 03:33:03	Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x8fbc38…
03-22 07:06:51	miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	No	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0x8c9a0b…
03-21 06:34:05	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x3235ae…
03-16 15:22:41	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	19	96¢	$19	0x66fc66…
03-16 03:52:43	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	22	68¢	$15	0x96ddbd…
03-15 13:32:51	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0x00b6d8…
03-02 01:30:29	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	11	75¢	$8	0x771fbf…
03-02 01:27:53	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0xf1d23b…
03-02 01:27:07	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xba4a0c…
03-02 01:25:31	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	52	75¢	$39	0x8ed83b…
02-23 12:31:30	Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	62¢	$27	0x627677…
02-20 13:47:26	nothing ever happens microstrategy	No	SELL	109	11¢	$12	0xcaadac…
02-14 18:53:31	Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	47¢	$31	0x07f72b…
02-14 16:14:45	Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe808e1…
02-09 10:45:17	will president be said at the super bowl 277	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xbf8d68…
02-08 14:01:13	will the liberal democratic party win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xcc5d4e…
02-01 20:00:48	nothing ever happens microstrategy	No	BUY	109	35¢	$38	0xbddfce…
02-01 18:52:20	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	96	55¢	$53	0xc35f89…
01-31 08:05:38	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	73¢	$70	0x6b2f79…
01-30 09:33:48	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x78e19a…
01-28 08:10:01	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$124	0xa61123…
01-27 04:10:47	iran strike on israel by january 31	No	SELL	131	95¢	$124	0x0d785a…
01-26 06:01:16	iran strike on israel by january 31	No	BUY	131	95¢	$124	0x912613…
01-22 04:43:06	will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	Yes	BUY	87	91¢	$80	0xc78a5b…