Realized P&L
-$616
Unrealized P&L
+$37
Hit rate
45.0%
Resolved
23
Trades
1,725
lifetime
Volume
$113.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$66
Open exposure
$920
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 06-09 23:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
89% 39% $-616
Politics
6%
Sports
4%
Crypto
1%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 131 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +200 $152 84¢ $167 +$15 06-05 21:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +200 $168 82¢ $165 $-3 06-07 00:41
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +200 $128 62¢ $125 $-3 06-07 00:41
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes -100 $-94 94¢ $-93 +$1 06-08 18:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -77 $-116 90¢ $-70 +$46 06-07 00:01
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? Yes +92 $68 74¢ $68 $-0 06-04 11:23
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +100 $51 50¢ $50 $-0 06-06 06:30
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? No +200 $54 24¢ $49 $-5 06-05 21:55
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? No +200 $42 20¢ $41 $-1 06-05 23:54
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +200 $54 20¢ $40 $-14 06-05 05:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +200 $32 16¢ $33 +$1 06-07 00:18
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? No +200 $18 $19 +$1 06-06 20:36