Imperturbable-Madam — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.6%

Resolved

Trades

165

lifetime

Volume

$2.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 08-31 03:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Other

73% 96% +$4

Politics

13% 100% +$2

Tech

7% 100% +$2

Crypto

5% 50% $0

Sports

2% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 1100 on july 5 2026	2	$66	33	33	+0	Yes	$0	07-02 16:24
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	1	$51	51	0	+51	No	+$0	05-29 16:25
Will Assen Vassilev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	04-20 13:36
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 24	2	$49	25	25	+0	Yes	+$1	04-24 16:03
will darren bailey win the 2026 illinois governor republican primary election	2	$47	24	24	+0	Yes	+$0	03-18 02:51
highest temperature in nyc on march 19 2026 38 39f	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$0	03-19 13:50
highest temperature in munich on march 18 2026 13c	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$0	03-18 15:09
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$45	23	23	+0	Yes	+$0	04-30 15:57
will mrbeasts next video get between 79 and 80 million views on day 5	2	$43	22	22	+0	No	+$1	03-26 06:04
will mrbeasts next video get between 83 and 84 million views on week 1	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$0	03-28 08:37
Will MrBeast's video get between 60 and 62 million views on day 3?	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$0	05-04 18:55
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	06-09 18:37
Will Daniel Cameron be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-19 22:33
will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 17	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-17 15:59
Will "Lord of the Flies" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	2	$37	19	19	+0	No	+$0	05-11 10:26
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?	2	$35	18	18	+0	Yes	+$1	05-08 16:06
highest temperature in lucknow on march 17 2026 35c	2	$34	17	17	+0	Yes	+$0	03-17 12:00
israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	06-08 01:23
Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	05-17 02:24
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by May 31?	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	05-31 07:59
will mrbeasts latest video get less than 63 million views on day 4	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	04-07 17:44
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	06-15 10:47
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	2	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$0	03-31 16:52
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	2	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$0	06-18 04:16
Israeli forces enter Beirut by May 31?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	06-01 02:15
Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 4?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	05-20 07:20
Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	06-02 21:00
will claude by anthropic be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 17	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	03-17 00:36
will the drama opening weekend box office be between 12m and 13m	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	04-05 06:27
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	06-25 13:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 03:19:12	Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf50c04…
08-31 02:49:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0b23f6…
07-16 12:34:44	Will Beth Jones win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x16c753…
07-04 05:33:49	Will MrBeast's next video get between 59.25 and 60 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x80b134…
07-02 16:24:22	ethereum above 1100 on july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x5f3e27…
07-02 16:23:59	ethereum above 1100 on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x1df3b4…
06-25 13:23:25	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x489a6d…
06-25 12:12:59	Will Hope Scheppelman be the Republican nominee for CO-03?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xe5d48b…
06-18 04:16:17	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x55496f…
06-17 14:45:56	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x07bbcd…
06-15 10:47:45	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x8c26da…
06-09 18:37:06	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x8d120a…
06-09 11:24:13	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc0e79b…
06-08 01:23:01	israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x45826a…
06-06 19:01:37	israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0xe54c85…
06-02 21:00:30	Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x29e845…
06-01 19:31:49	Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x467f31…
06-01 02:15:33	Israeli forces enter Beirut by May 31?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x2d2206…
05-31 07:59:12	Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by May 31?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xc30f67…
05-30 06:10:32	Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by May 31?	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0xcc4835…
05-29 16:25:30	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x61f7eb…
05-29 07:30:19	Israeli forces enter Beirut by May 31?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x3f903a…
05-25 00:02:15	Will "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x45d483…
05-20 07:20:23	Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 4?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x9077e4…
05-19 22:33:07	Will Daniel Cameron be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xcea2bd…
05-19 19:52:33	Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xb1f341…
05-18 00:02:37	Will Daniel Cameron be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbd9625…
05-17 02:24:00	Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x0f748a…
05-15 02:43:34	Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0xf4bf1b…
05-11 10:26:56	Will "Lord of the Flies" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x8eae35…
05-11 00:02:02	Will "Lord of the Flies" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x57439a…
05-08 16:06:43	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xb07958…
05-07 02:20:33	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?	Yes	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x72a00b…
05-04 18:55:32	Will MrBeast's video get between 60 and 62 million views on day 3?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x88cf89…
05-04 18:17:18	Will MrBeast's video get between 60 and 62 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xf7bb55…
04-30 15:57:52	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x3c7c26…
04-29 20:46:32	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0xb5d9da…
04-24 16:03:04	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 24	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xbe6c25…
04-23 18:39:28	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 24	Yes	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x31ba87…
04-20 13:36:22	Will Assen Vassilev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x3ba05f…
04-18 01:46:50	Will Assen Vassilev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x2488dd…
04-14 00:00:13	any of the stolen paintings recovered by april 15	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x042eba…
04-11 15:02:51	will 30 39 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xb53b89…
04-10 15:53:25	zelenskyy of tweets april 3 april 10 2026 40 59	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x336161…
04-10 04:57:37	zelenskyy of tweets april 3 april 10 2026 40 59	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x726d45…
04-07 17:44:43	will mrbeasts latest video get less than 63 million views on day 4	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xf14f27…
04-07 14:55:43	will mrbeasts latest video get less than 63 million views on day 4	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0xbb7fdb…
04-05 21:14:05	will bully kanye west be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of april 11	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe50b29…
04-05 06:27:45	will the drama opening weekend box office be between 12m and 13m	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x4d14e2…
04-05 00:01:27	will bully kanye west be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of april 11	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x228f23…
03-31 16:52:57	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x51ce51…
03-31 06:47:25	us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcde1aa…
03-30 17:25:23	will one piece season 2 be the 2 global netflix show this week 552	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xcd9569…
03-30 07:10:08	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x2d3ad8…
03-30 00:01:50	will angus king vote yea on the department of homeland security appropriations act 2026 161	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xc31126…
03-30 00:01:50	will jacky rosen vote yea on the department of homeland security appropriations act 2026 344	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x39e5a6…
03-28 08:37:41	will mrbeasts next video get between 83 and 84 million views on week 1	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x4b6493…
03-27 22:29:49	will mrbeasts next video get between 83 and 84 million views on week 1	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x67b5a4…
03-26 06:04:49	will mrbeasts next video get between 79 and 80 million views on day 5	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x1a5af3…
03-25 21:25:01	will mrbeasts next video get between 79 and 80 million views on day 5	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x55fda2…
03-19 13:50:13	highest temperature in nyc on march 19 2026 38 39f	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xfb8c2b…
03-19 12:04:37	highest temperature in taipei on march 20 2026 18corbelow	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x34acb6…
03-19 12:04:37	highest temperature in warsaw on march 20 2026 5c	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x296eb0…
03-18 15:09:15	highest temperature in munich on march 18 2026 13c	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x11edc0…
03-18 13:26:39	highest temperature in nyc on march 19 2026 38 39f	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x8ec0d3…
03-18 02:51:13	will darren bailey win the 2026 illinois governor republican primary election	Yes	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x7b20ae…
03-17 18:54:25	will love is blind the reunion be the top us netflix show this week	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x80de52…
03-17 18:08:15	highest temperature in munich on march 18 2026 13c	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0xcbbc81…
03-17 15:59:15	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 17	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xe2ff9b…
03-17 15:53:05	will 25 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8db1a6…
03-17 12:31:13	highest temperature in hong kong on march 17 2026 25c	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x9b3f97…
03-17 12:00:09	highest temperature in lucknow on march 17 2026 35c	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xa2fdcf…
03-17 10:45:11	highest temperature in lucknow on march 17 2026 35c	Yes	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x85154b…
03-17 00:36:03	will claude by anthropic be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 17	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xb1c1e7…
03-16 15:21:45	will claude by anthropic be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 17	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xba6b20…
03-16 08:21:35	will darren bailey win the 2026 illinois governor republican primary election	Yes	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0xdf1c13…
03-16 04:15:15	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 17	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x4d9adc…
03-16 01:53:53	will love is blind the reunion be the top us netflix show this week	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x8f09f5…
03-15 16:09:29	will scream 7 3rd weekend box office be between 8m and 8pt5m	Yes	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x185b4d…
03-15 11:27:39	will 25 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x962342…
03-15 08:32:37	will frankenstein win no awards at the oscars	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9efa66…
03-14 15:51:07	will frankenstein win no awards at the oscars	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xdb8efd…
03-11 12:39:07	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt4 or more in february	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf7b38c…
03-11 12:31:01	will annual inflation increase by 2pt6 in february 798 981 162 343	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xdb8721…
03-11 12:31:01	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt1 in february	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x933a95…
03-11 12:30:17	will annual inflation increase by 2pt3 in february 467 579 977 165	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x166a14…
03-10 07:20:51	will jurassic world rebirth be the top us netflix movie this week	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x59cf00…
03-10 00:00:37	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt1 in february	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xbd43d7…
03-10 00:00:37	will annual inflation increase by 2pt6 in february 798 981 162 343	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9a6e6b…
03-10 00:00:37	will annual inflation increase by 2pt3 in february 467 579 977 165	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x7dbc97…
03-10 00:00:37	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt4 or more in february	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x2943f9…
03-09 12:08:13	will the total number of tsa passengers for march 8 be between 2400000 and 2600000	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc8cf92…
03-09 00:04:05	will jurassic world rebirth be the top us netflix movie this week	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb85580…
03-08 20:40:43	will mrbeasts next video get 50 million or more views on day 2	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x84f2b6…
03-08 09:19:19	will mrbeasts next video get 50 million or more views on day 2	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xc90b51…
03-07 13:48:37	will the total number of tsa passengers for march 8 be between 2400000 and 2600000	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xdc6ded…
03-06 13:37:15	will the us add between 75k and 100k jobs in february	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa14b0d…
03-05 21:58:15	will the us add between 75k and 100k jobs in february	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xf4b1d5…
03-05 19:48:23	andrew tate of tweets february 27 march 6 2026 100 129	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x03e798…
03-04 04:55:35	highest temperature in nyc on march 3 2026 36 37f	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf54911…